NASDAQ$FOSL

Fossil Group Inc. · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Fossil Group's financial performance declined due to category softness and strategic exits, but gross margins expanded and operating expenses decreased, driven by the TAG Plan.

Fossil Group reported a decrease in worldwide net sales to $288 million, a 16% drop compared to the previous year, impacted by strategic actions to exit the smartwatch category and optimize retail stores. However, gross margins expanded by 240 basis points to 49.4%, and operating expenses decreased by 16% due to efficiencies from the TAG Plan. The company's operating loss improved to $24 million from $46 million year-over-year, and inventory decreased by 31% to $226 million.

  • Net sales decreased by 16% to $288 million, impacted by strategic exits and overall category softness.
  • Gross margins expanded 240 basis points to 49.4% due to the Transform and Grow (TAG) Plan.
  • Operating expenses decreased by 16% due to lower compensation costs from TAG Plan efficiencies.
  • Operating loss improved to $24 million compared to $46 million in the prior year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$288M

Previous: $344M-16.4%
EPS

-$0.60

Previous: -$0.93+35.5%
Operating Margin

-8.5%

No prior period
Inventory

$226M

No prior period
SG&A Expenses

$161M

No prior period
OpEx % of Net Sales

57.9%

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA

-$15.6M

No prior period
Gross Margin

49.4%

No prior period
Total Operating Expenses

$167M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$4.72M

Previous: -$7.15M+33.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$36.7M

Previous: -$68M+46.1%
Net Income

-$31.9M

Previous: -$60.8M+47.5%
Operating Income

-$24.5M

Previous: -$46.4M+47.3%
Gross Profit

$142M

Previous: $162M-12.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$106M

Previous: $116M-8.5%
Total Assets

$812M

Previous: $1.06B-23.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$553K

Previous: $1.53M-63.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Fossil · Revenue · Quarterly

$288M

Q3 2024-16.4%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 6 of 11 quarters(55%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Fossil · $225M total across 4 segments · Q1 2026

  • Watches
    $190M
  • Jewelry
    $20.1M
  • Leathers
    $10.6M
  • Other
    $3.52M

Forward guidance

Fossil Group expects worldwide net sales to be approximately $1.1 billion and adjusted operating margin to be in the range of (6)% to (8)% for the full year 2024. The company anticipates generating positive free cash flow in full year 2024, including tax refunds of approximately $57 million received in the second quarter.

Tailwinds

  • Company expects to generate positive free cash flow in full year 2024.
  • Tax refunds of approximately $57 million were received in the second quarter of 2024.
  • The company remains on track with its TAG Plan.
  • TAG Plan is expected to generate additional annualized operating income benefits of at least $100 million in 2024.
  • Strategic review to optimize business model and capital structure.

Headwinds

  • Worldwide net sales are expected to be approximately $1.1 billion.
  • Net sales reflect consumer and channel softness.
  • Approximately $100 million of negative impact related to the exit of its smartwatch business.
  • Closure of owned retail stores negatively impacted net sales.
  • Fiscal year adjusted operating margin is expected to be in the range of (6)% to (8)%.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+5.9%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

29 / 65 earnings

Positive

+102.3%

Q4 2017

Best reaction

-37.8%

Q3 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.6%-6.1%
Q4 2025+16.8%+14.3%+24.8%
Q3 2025-9.2%-3.3%+85.7%
Q2 2025+31.5%+74.6%+72.4%
Q1 2025+18.0%+34.1%+5.6%
Q4 2024+29.1%+3.1%-23.6%
Q3 2024-10.8%-6.9%+51.5%
Q2 2024+1.8%-0.9%-2.8%
Q1 2024-4.7%+6.2%+25.8%
Q4 2023-5.6%-1.2%+4.7%
Q3 2023-34.3%-35.4%-28.1%
Q2 2023-10.4%-16.3%-17.9%
Q1 2023-9.2%-32.3%-27.2%
Q4 2022-13.4%-15.3%-24.9%
Q3 2022+10.3%+17.7%+21.6%
Q2 2022-4.2%-12.1%-40.2%
Q1 2022-10.2%-10.9%-23.3%
Q4 2021-28.3%-36.3%-25.3%
Q3 2021+16.7%+13.0%-28.2%
Q2 2021+9.1%+7.6%-3.7%
Q1 2021+0.7%+20.8%+38.6%
Q3 2020+18.1%+42.9%+111.3%
Q2 2020+10.2%+18.9%+50.1%
Q1 2020+27.1%+136.2%+29.2%
Q4 2019-19.4%-19.6%-36.2%
Q3 2019-23.4%-36.5%-42.9%
Q2 2019+9.1%-4.4%+34.6%
Q1 2019+17.0%+9.1%-10.4%
Q4 2018-5.9%-8.2%-9.6%
Q3 2018-7.7%-16.9%-25.7%
Q2 2018-18.9%-18.7%-19.4%
Q1 2018+23.1%+27.5%+90.6%
Q4 2017+102.3%+73.1%+38.4%
Q3 2017-18.8%-5.4%-3.9%
Q2 2017-20.8%-26.8%-21.7%
Q1 2017-16.9%-24.4%-38.5%
Q4 2016-15.2%-9.8%-27.1%
Q3 2016-0.6%+5.7%+27.0%
Q2 2016-0.6%+2.9%-8.4%
Q1 2016-27.9%
Q4 2015+32.9%
Q3 2015-37.8%
Q2 2015-6.0%
Q1 2015-5.6%
Q4 2014-15.0%
Q3 2014+9.0%
Q2 2014-6.5%
Q1 2014-10.8%
Q4 2013+5.3%
Q3 2013-1.3%
Q2 2013+12.8%
Q1 2013+10.7%
Q4 2012-2.1%
Q3 2012-10.8%
Q2 2012+25.2%
Q1 2012+4.8%
Q4 2011+3.6%
Q3 2011+1.2%
Q2 2011+9.5%
Q4 2009+6.9%
Q1 2011+3.1%
Q3 2010-1.3%
Q4 2010-1.1%
Q2 2010-1.1%
Q1 2010-4.6%

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