NASDAQ$FOSL

Fossil Group Inc. · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Fossil Group's financial performance was reported with net sales decreasing due to COVID-19 impacts, but e-commerce and China showed strength. Operating income improved driven by gross margin expansion and cost reductions.

Fossil Group reported a decrease in worldwide net sales by 19% to $435 million, but outperformed topline expectations due to growth in e-commerce and Mainland China. The company achieved an operating income of $18 million, a significant improvement from the previous year's operating loss of $9 million, driven by gross margin expansion and cost reduction efforts.

  • Worldwide net sales decreased by 19% to $435 million, or 20% in constant currency.
  • Owned e-commerce sales increased by 66% and third-party marketplace e-commerce sales increased by 44% in constant currency.
  • Gross margin expanded by 120 basis points to 52.8%.
  • Operating expenses were reduced by $75 million, or 26% year-over-year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$435M

Previous: $539M-19.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.40

Previous: -$0.15+366.7%
Gross Margin

52.8%

Previous: 51.6%+2.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$7.1M

Previous: -$14.1M+49.5%
Free Cash Flow

$9.13M

Previous: -$39M+123.4%
Net Income

$16.2M

Previous: -$24.9M+165.1%
Operating Income

$17.5M

Previous: -$9.15M+291.3%
Gross Profit

$230M

Previous: $279M-17.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$324M

Previous: $147M+119.4%
Total Assets

$1.52B

Previous: $1.64B-7.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.18M

Previous: $4.27M-25.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Fossil · Revenue · Quarterly

$435M

Q3 2020-19.3%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 6 of 16 quarters(38%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Fossil · $435M total across 4 segments · Q3 2020

  • Watches
    $357M-19.8%
  • Leathers
    $38M-29.6%
  • Jewelry
    $29M+3.6%
  • Other
    $11M-8.3%

Forward guidance

The Company anticipates that impacts from COVID-19 will continue to pressure sales in the fourth quarter of 2020, with ongoing strength in e-commerce channels offset by contraction in Fossil retail stores and the wholesale channel. Worldwide net sales are expected to decline in the range of 40% to 30%.

Tailwinds

  • Ongoing strength in e-commerce channels

Headwinds

  • Impacts from COVID-19 will continue to pressure sales
  • Contraction in Fossil retail stores
  • Contraction in the wholesale channel
  • Worldwide net sales are expected to decline in the range of 40% to 30%

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+5.9%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

29 / 65 earnings

Positive

+102.3%

Q4 2017

Best reaction

-37.8%

Q3 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.6%-6.1%+6.6%
Q4 2025+16.8%+14.3%+24.8%
Q3 2025-9.2%-3.3%+85.7%
Q2 2025+31.5%+74.6%+72.4%
Q1 2025+18.0%+34.1%+5.6%
Q4 2024+29.1%+3.1%-23.6%
Q3 2024-10.8%-6.9%+51.5%
Q2 2024+1.8%-0.9%-2.8%
Q1 2024-4.7%+6.2%+25.8%
Q4 2023-5.6%-1.2%+4.7%
Q3 2023-34.3%-35.4%-28.1%
Q2 2023-10.4%-16.3%-17.9%
Q1 2023-9.2%-32.3%-27.2%
Q4 2022-13.4%-15.3%-24.9%
Q3 2022+10.3%+17.7%+21.6%
Q2 2022-4.2%-12.1%-40.2%
Q1 2022-10.2%-10.9%-23.3%
Q4 2021-28.3%-36.3%-25.3%
Q3 2021+16.7%+13.0%-28.2%
Q2 2021+9.1%+7.6%-3.7%
Q1 2021+0.7%+20.8%+38.6%
Q3 2020+18.1%+42.9%+111.3%
Q2 2020+10.2%+18.9%+50.1%
Q1 2020+27.1%+136.2%+29.2%
Q4 2019-19.4%-19.6%-36.2%
Q3 2019-23.4%-36.5%-42.9%
Q2 2019+9.1%-4.4%+34.6%
Q1 2019+17.0%+9.1%-10.4%
Q4 2018-5.9%-8.2%-9.6%
Q3 2018-7.7%-16.9%-25.7%
Q2 2018-18.9%-18.7%-19.4%
Q1 2018+23.1%+27.5%+90.6%
Q4 2017+102.3%+73.1%+38.4%
Q3 2017-18.8%-5.4%-3.9%
Q2 2017-20.8%-26.8%-21.7%
Q1 2017-16.9%-24.4%-38.5%
Q4 2016-15.2%-9.8%-27.1%
Q3 2016-0.6%+5.7%+27.0%
Q2 2016-0.6%+2.9%-8.4%
Q1 2016-27.9%
Q4 2015+32.9%
Q3 2015-37.8%
Q2 2015-6.0%
Q1 2015-5.6%
Q4 2014-15.0%
Q3 2014+9.0%
Q2 2014-6.5%
Q1 2014-10.8%
Q4 2013+5.3%
Q3 2013-1.3%
Q2 2013+12.8%
Q1 2013+10.7%
Q4 2012-2.1%
Q3 2012-10.8%
Q2 2012+25.2%
Q1 2012+4.8%
Q4 2011+3.6%
Q3 2011+1.2%
Q2 2011+9.5%
Q4 2009+6.9%
Q1 2011+3.1%
Q3 2010-1.3%
Q4 2010-1.1%
Q2 2010-1.1%
Q1 2010-4.6%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro