NASDAQ$CSGP

CoStar Group Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

CoStar Group's Q4 2020 revenue increased by 19% year-over-year, with traffic to marketplaces growing by 29%.

CoStar Group reported a strong Q4 2020, with revenue reaching $444 million, a 19% increase year-over-year. The company's marketplaces saw a 29% growth in traffic, and adjusted EBITDA increased by 18% to $167 million.

  • Revenue for Q4 2020 reached $444 million, a 19% increase compared to Q4 2019.
  • Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2020 was $167 million, an 18% increase year-over-year.
  • Traffic to CoStar Group's marketplaces grew by 29% in Q4 2020.
  • Apartments.com revenues grew 22% and LoopNet marketplace network revenue grew 20%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$444M

Previous: $375M+18.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.29

Previous: $0.28+3.6%
Adjusted EBITDA

$167M

Previous: $142M+17.7%
Free Cash Flow

$131M

Previous: $108M+21.3%
Net Income

$35.8M

Previous: $87.9M-59.3%
Operating Income

$55.2M

Previous: $101M-45.3%
Gross Profit

$366M

Previous: $300M+22.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$3.76B

Previous: $1.07B+250.8%
Total Assets

$6.92B

Previous: $3.85B+79.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$12.7M

Previous: $13.3M-4.6%

Revenue & EPS history

CoStar · Revenue · Quarterly

$444M

Q4 2020+18.6%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

CoStar · $311M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • CoStar
    $233M+9.7%
  • LoopNet
    $67.5M+14.6%
  • Residential
    $10.3M-46.8%

Forward guidance

The Company expects revenue in the range of $1.925 billion to $1.945 billion for the full year of 2021 and adjusted EBITDA in a range of $640 million to $650 million.

Tailwinds

  • Expects revenue in the range of $1.925 billion to $1.945 billion for the full year of 2021, representing growth of approximately 17% year-over-year at the midpoint of the range.
  • Expects revenue for the first quarter of 2021 in the range of $450 million to $455 million, representing revenue growth of 15% year-over-year at the midpoint of the range.
  • The Company expects adjusted EBITDA in a range of $640 million to $650 million for the full year of 2021, an increase of 17% at the midpoint of the range compared to 2020.
  • For the first quarter of 2021, the Company expects adjusted EBITDA in a range of $140 million to $145 million.
  • Expect full year 2021 non-GAAP net income per diluted share in a range of $10.83 to $11.03 based on 39.7 million shares.

Headwinds

  • Homesnap is expected to have negative adjusted EBITDA of approximately $5 million for the year.
  • For the first quarter of 2021, we expect non-GAAP net income per diluted share in a range of $2.33 to $2.43 based on 39.5 million shares.
  • Given the risk factors, rapidly evolving economic environment, and uncertainties and assumptions discussed in this release and in our quarterly reports on Form 10-Q and annual reports on Form 10-K, including uncertainties as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic and responses to it by, and the impact on, global economies, actual results may differ materially.
  • Uncertainty surrounding the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, including volatility in the international and U.S. economy, worker absenteeism or decreased productivity, quarantines or other travel or health-related restrictions
  • The length and severity of the COVID-19 pandemic

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+1.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.0%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

39 / 66 earnings

Positive

+16.2%

Q2 2013

Best reaction

-17.6%

Q4 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.8%-4.2%-10.9%
Q4 2025+2.7%-8.1%-19.1%
Q3 2025-10.1%-11.3%-12.1%
Q2 2025+1.9%+0.3%-1.3%
Q1 2025-10.3%-6.8%-11.1%
Q4 2024+5.0%+2.7%+4.0%
Q3 2024-5.9%-3.7%-0.5%
Q2 2024+1.1%+4.0%+0.1%
Q1 2024+7.8%+8.6%+0.4%
Q4 2023+3.2%+4.2%+20.1%
Q3 2023-3.2%-3.6%+14.5%
Q2 2023-6.8%-9.8%-12.2%
Q1 2023+2.4%+9.5%+10.3%
Q4 2022-7.0%-8.8%-15.1%
Q3 2022+12.1%+16.1%+12.1%
Q2 2022+13.1%+17.9%+17.7%
Q1 2022+1.7%+1.5%-5.2%
Q4 2021-17.6%-5.0%+3.8%
Q3 2021-9.4%-13.2%-19.6%
Q2 2021-2.6%-0.5%-7.2%
Q1 2021-7.6%-8.4%-9.5%
Q4 2020-4.6%-6.0%-8.4%
Q3 2020-4.5%-0.9%+5.9%
Q2 2020+15.3%+18.2%+17.7%
Q1 2020+5.4%+0.8%+4.7%
Q4 2019-3.5%-5.6%-17.5%
Q3 2019-3.8%-4.1%-0.4%
Q2 2019+7.6%+8.6%+5.5%
Q1 2019-2.6%+0.2%+5.6%
Q4 2018+10.5%+16.0%+12.3%
Q3 2018-6.7%-7.8%-6.8%
Q2 2018+1.6%-2.1%+0.9%
Q1 2018+2.1%-2.1%+1.0%
Q4 2017-0.1%+0.4%+2.7%
Q3 2017+3.0%+4.9%+10.5%
Q2 2017-2.7%-2.3%+0.6%
Q1 2017+9.5%+12.2%+19.8%
Q4 2016-4.6%-3.5%-1.7%
Q3 2016-9.2%-11.6%-3.9%
Q2 2016-7.5%-8.3%-7.2%
Q1 2016+6.3%
Q4 2015-0.9%
Q3 2015+6.0%
Q2 2015-1.8%
Q1 2015+2.1%
Q4 2014+4.8%
Q3 2014+6.8%
Q2 2014+7.9%
Q1 2014-6.8%
Q4 2013+0.1%
Q3 2013+0.1%
Q2 2013+16.2%
Q1 2013-0.3%
Q4 2012+4.9%
Q3 2012+6.9%
Q2 2012+4.7%
Q1 2011+0.1%
Q1 2012+3.9%
Q4 2009+4.3%
Q4 2011+4.3%
Q3 2010+7.6%
Q3 2011+7.6%
Q2 2010+3.2%
Q4 2010+3.2%
Q2 2011+3.2%
Q1 2010-0.9%

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