NASDAQ$CROX

Crocs Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Crocs Inc. reported record fourth quarter and full year 2023 revenue and EPS.

Crocs, Inc. announced a record year, with revenues of nearly $4 billion, an 11% increase. The fourth quarter exceeded expectations across all metrics, with Crocs Brand growing across all regions and channels. The company made progress in returning the HEYDUDE Brand to a pull-market position, resulting in improved gross margins and healthy inventory levels.

  • Revenues were $960 million, an increase of 1.6% from the same period last year, or 1.5% on a constant currency basis.
  • Diluted earnings per share were $4.16 as compared to $2.20 for the same period last year due to an increased tax benefit.
  • Adjusted diluted earnings per share decreased 2.6% to $2.58 compared to $2.65 for the same period last year.
  • During the quarter $277 million of debt was repaid, and we reduced gross leverage to 1.5x and net leverage to 1.3x.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$960M

Previous: $945M+1.6%
EPS (adj)

$2.58

Previous: $2.65-2.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$29.2M

Previous: $14.6M-300.3%
Net Income

$254M

Previous: $138M+84.1%
Operating Income

$210M

Previous: $220M-4.8%
Gross Profit

$531M

Previous: $496M+6.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.57M

Previous: $5.84M-4.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Crocs · Revenue · Quarterly

$960M

Q4 2023+1.6%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 14 of 15 quarters(93%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Crocs · $247M total across 1 segment · Q3 2023

  • HEYDUDE Brand
    $247M-8.4%

Forward guidance

The company expects revenue growth of 3% to 5% compared to 2023. Adjusted diluted earnings per share of $12.05 to $12.50.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue growth of 3% to 5% compared to 2023
  • Revenues for the Crocs Brand to grow 4% to 6%
  • Revenues for the HEYDUDE Brand flat to slightly up
  • Adjusted operating margin of approximately 25%
  • Adjusted diluted earnings per share of $12.05 to $12.50

Headwinds

  • Revenues to be down 1.5% to up 0.5% compared to first quarter 2023
  • HEYDUDE Brand to contract 23% to 20% compared to first quarter 2023
  • Adjusted operating margin of approximately 22% for Q1 2024
  • Adjusted diluted earnings per share of $2.15 to $2.25 for Q1 2024
  • Combined GAAP tax rate of approximately 21.5% and Non-GAAP effective tax rate of approximately 18%

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.5%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

34 / 65 earnings

Positive

+27.3%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-23.3%

Q2 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.6%+2.8%+18.4%
Q4 2025+19.0%+20.8%-5.8%
Q3 2025-2.4%-7.1%+0.3%
Q1 2025+9.8%+19.4%+0.7%
Q4 2024+23.9%+20.8%+11.0%
Q3 2024-21.0%-23.1%-23.5%
Q2 2024-8.2%-5.7%+8.8%
Q1 2024+6.9%+13.1%+17.2%
Q4 2023+9.8%+6.7%+18.3%
Q3 2023-4.0%-3.4%+21.9%
Q2 2023-9.7%-10.7%-20.2%
Q1 2023-16.3%-18.7%-27.8%
Q4 2022+4.6%-5.5%-4.6%
Q3 2022+27.3%+23.7%+55.1%
Q2 2022-4.9%-8.3%-8.2%
Q1 2022-15.7%-24.9%-15.7%
Q4 2021-18.9%-21.7%-17.9%
Q3 2021+10.2%+13.5%+29.1%
Q2 2021+9.4%+7.3%+18.3%
Q1 2021+16.0%+18.0%+20.0%
Q4 2020-6.5%-7.7%-6.5%
Q3 2020+3.2%+0.2%+14.8%
Q2 2020-3.8%-2.6%+10.1%
Q1 2020-7.7%+1.8%+14.6%
Q4 2019-22.7%-23.0%-46.8%
Q3 2019+5.0%+7.4%+4.7%
Q2 2019+7.2%+8.7%-2.4%
Q1 2019-13.9%-18.0%-32.0%
Q4 2018-11.9%-11.5%-9.7%
Q3 2018+18.3%+23.8%+16.6%
Q2 2018+0.8%+2.3%+14.7%
Q1 2018+3.7%+5.6%+22.4%
Q4 2017-8.2%-3.9%+15.5%
Q3 2017+2.5%+9.7%+12.0%
Q2 2017+10.0%+16.2%+15.8%
Q1 2017+11.9%+5.0%+15.5%
Q4 2016+8.4%+7.2%+6.3%
Q3 2016-2.8%+8.3%-2.6%
Q2 2016-23.3%-23.9%-22.5%
Q1 2016+23.5%
Q4 2015-6.4%
Q3 2015-8.0%
Q2 2015+11.3%
Q1 2015+8.2%
Q4 2014+4.8%
Q3 2014-2.2%
Q2 2014+12.2%
Q1 2014+1.6%
Q4 2013+2.9%
Q3 2013-6.7%
Q2 2013-21.7%
Q1 2013+5.1%
Q4 2012+1.4%
Q4 2011-1.0%
Q3 2012-22.2%
Q2 2012+16.7%
Q1 2011+0.7%
Q1 2012-9.6%
Q4 2009-3.9%
Q3 2011+3.6%
Q3 2010+3.6%
Q4 2010-9.6%
Q2 2010-9.6%
Q2 2011-9.6%
Q1 2010+0.2%

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