NASDAQ$CROX

Crocs Inc · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Crocs reported record revenues and double-digit operating margin for the fourth quarter of 2019.

Crocs, Inc. reported a strong fourth quarter and full year 2019, with record revenues driven by focus on core clog and sandal categories and impactful marketing. The company's expense structure reduction led to stronger earnings growth, despite concerns over the coronavirus impact in Asia.

  • Revenues were $263.0 million, a growth of 21.8% over Q4 2018.
  • Wholesale revenues increased by 22.4%.
  • E-commerce revenues increased by 34.3%.
  • Diluted net income per common share was $0.29, compared to a diluted net loss per common share of $1.72 in Q4 2018.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$263M

Previous: $216M+21.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.12

Previous: -$0.10+220.0%
Capital Expenditures

$3.72M

Previous: $6.76M-44.9%
Free Cash Flow

$13M

Previous: $21.5M-39.4%
Net Income

$19.9M

Previous: -$10.9M+282.9%
Operating Income

$8.36M

Previous: -$13.9M+160.0%
Gross Profit

$126M

Previous: $99.8M+26.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$108M

Previous: $123M-12.3%
Total Assets

$739M

Previous: $469M+57.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.39M

Previous: $3.79M-10.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Crocs · Revenue · Quarterly

$263M

Q4 2019+21.8%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Crocs · $247M total across 1 segment · Q3 2023

  • HEYDUDE Brand
    $247M-8.4%

Forward guidance

Crocs expects revenues for Q1 2020 to be between $305 and $325 million, negatively impacted by $20 to $30 million due to the coronavirus. Full year 2020 revenues are expected to be up 8% to 12% over 2019, also impacted by the coronavirus.

Headwinds

  • Revenues for Q1 2020 will be negatively impacted by approximately $20 to $30 million due to disruptions to our Asia business from COVID-19.
  • Revenues for Q1 2020 will be negatively impacted by approximately $3 million due to currency.
  • Many of our partner stores in China are closed temporarily.
  • Operating margin to be between 9% and 12%, including $3 million of non-recurring expenses for store closures and other provisions in Asia as a result of business disruptions from the coronavirus.
  • 2020 revenues will be negatively impacted by $40 to $60 million as a result of disruptions to our Asia business from the coronavirus and approximately $10 million of currency

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.5%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

34 / 65 earnings

Positive

+27.3%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-23.3%

Q2 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.6%+2.8%+18.4%
Q4 2025+19.0%+20.8%-5.8%
Q3 2025-2.4%-7.1%+0.3%
Q1 2025+9.8%+19.4%+0.7%
Q4 2024+23.9%+20.8%+11.0%
Q3 2024-21.0%-23.1%-23.5%
Q2 2024-8.2%-5.7%+8.8%
Q1 2024+6.9%+13.1%+17.2%
Q4 2023+9.8%+6.7%+18.3%
Q3 2023-4.0%-3.4%+21.9%
Q2 2023-9.7%-10.7%-20.2%
Q1 2023-16.3%-18.7%-27.8%
Q4 2022+4.6%-5.5%-4.6%
Q3 2022+27.3%+23.7%+55.1%
Q2 2022-4.9%-8.3%-8.2%
Q1 2022-15.7%-24.9%-15.7%
Q4 2021-18.9%-21.7%-17.9%
Q3 2021+10.2%+13.5%+29.1%
Q2 2021+9.4%+7.3%+18.3%
Q1 2021+16.0%+18.0%+20.0%
Q4 2020-6.5%-7.7%-6.5%
Q3 2020+3.2%+0.2%+14.8%
Q2 2020-3.8%-2.6%+10.1%
Q1 2020-7.7%+1.8%+14.6%
Q4 2019-22.7%-23.0%-46.8%
Q3 2019+5.0%+7.4%+4.7%
Q2 2019+7.2%+8.7%-2.4%
Q1 2019-13.9%-18.0%-32.0%
Q4 2018-11.9%-11.5%-9.7%
Q3 2018+18.3%+23.8%+16.6%
Q2 2018+0.8%+2.3%+14.7%
Q1 2018+3.7%+5.6%+22.4%
Q4 2017-8.2%-3.9%+15.5%
Q3 2017+2.5%+9.7%+12.0%
Q2 2017+10.0%+16.2%+15.8%
Q1 2017+11.9%+5.0%+15.5%
Q4 2016+8.4%+7.2%+6.3%
Q3 2016-2.8%+8.3%-2.6%
Q2 2016-23.3%-23.9%-22.5%
Q1 2016+23.5%
Q4 2015-6.4%
Q3 2015-8.0%
Q2 2015+11.3%
Q1 2015+8.2%
Q4 2014+4.8%
Q3 2014-2.2%
Q2 2014+12.2%
Q1 2014+1.6%
Q4 2013+2.9%
Q3 2013-6.7%
Q2 2013-21.7%
Q1 2013+5.1%
Q4 2012+1.4%
Q4 2011-1.0%
Q3 2012-22.2%
Q2 2012+16.7%
Q1 2011+0.7%
Q1 2012-9.6%
Q4 2009-3.9%
Q3 2011+3.6%
Q3 2010+3.6%
Q4 2010-9.6%
Q2 2010-9.6%
Q2 2011-9.6%
Q1 2010+0.2%

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