NASDAQ$CFLT

Confluent Inc. · Q4 2025 earnings

Q4 2025 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Confluent reported Q4 2025 revenue of $315M (+21% YoY) with non-GAAP operating margin of 8.8%.

Total revenue was $314.8 million with subscription revenue of $301.6 million (+20%). Non-GAAP operating income was $27.6 million (8.8% margin). Non-GAAP diluted EPS was $0.12. Confluent Cloud revenue grew 23% to $169 million; customers with $100k+ ARR rose 10% to 1,521.

  • Q4 revenue $314.8M (+21%).
  • Confluent Cloud $169M (+23%).
  • Non-GAAP operating margin 8.8%.
  • 1,521 customers with $100k+ ARR.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$315M

Previous: $261M+20.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.12

Previous: $0.09+33.3%
Confluent Cloud Revenue

$169M

No prior period
Customers with $100K+ ARR

1.5K

No prior period
Net Income

-$79.2M

Previous: -$88.1M+10.0%
Operating Income

-$99.2M

Previous: -$106M+6.2%
Gross Profit

$235M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Confluent · Revenue · Quarterly

$315M

Q4 2025+20.5%vs Q4 2024
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Confluent · $200M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Subscription Revenue
    $189M+36.4%
  • Services Revenue
    $10.9M-16.1%

Forward guidance

Management emphasizes data streaming platform leadership for core workloads and agentic AI use cases.

Tailwinds

  • Margin expansion at scale continues.
  • Adjusted free cash flow $35.5M in Q4.
  • Partner ecosystem and DSP growth vectors.

Headwinds

  • GAAP net loss per share still $(0.23).
  • Competition in real-time data infrastructure.
  • Enterprise deal timing can swing quarters.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 17 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2025

Historical avgQ4 2025

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

12 / 20 earnings

Positive

+38.7%

Q4 2023

Best reaction

-43.7%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026
Q4 2025+0.1%+0.6%+0.6%
Q3 2025+7.8%+6.2%-1.0%
Q2 2025-32.8%-35.0%-24.8%
Q1 2025-18.4%-17.1%-3.3%
Q4 2024+25.1%+15.8%-12.4%
Q3 2024+13.6%+15.6%+33.9%
Q2 2024-15.1%-23.1%-12.6%
Q1 2024+9.6%+2.8%-9.4%
Q4 2023+38.7%+34.2%+38.7%
Q3 2023-43.7%-39.0%-21.0%
Q2 2023+8.6%+3.9%+0.2%
Q1 2023+13.2%+10.6%+68.6%
Q4 2022-1.7%+0.8%+5.7%
Q3 2022-12.2%-19.8%-12.1%
Q2 2022+20.5%+25.0%-7.9%
Q1 2022-29.1%-41.0%-35.2%
Q4 2021-23.7%-23.2%-58.5%
Q3 2021+22.3%+17.5%-5.1%
Q4 2020+6.9%+21.6%+42.2%
Q2 2021+6.9%+21.6%+42.2%
Q1 2021
Q3 2020
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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