NASDAQ$CFLT

Confluent Inc. · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced financial results for the third quarter of 2024, surpassing $1 billion in total revenue run rate.

Confluent's Q3 2024 results demonstrated robust top-line growth, achieving over $250 million in total revenue and exceeding all guided metrics. The company drove record gross margins and positive non-GAAP operating and free cash flow margins. Given this performance, Confluent is raising its full-year 2024 subscription revenue guidance and now targets positive non-GAAP operating margin and free cash flow margin for the year.

  • Subscription revenue reached $240 million, a 27% increase year-over-year.
  • Confluent Cloud revenue was $130 million, up 42% year-over-year.
  • The company has 1,346 customers with $100,000 or greater in ARR, reflecting a 14% increase year-over-year.
  • Exceeded all guided metrics for Q3, including year-over-year subscription revenue growth of 27%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$250M

Previous: $200M+25.0%
EPS

-$0.23

Previous: $0.02-1250.0%
Confluent Cloud Revenue

$130M

No prior period
Customers with $100K+ ARR

1.4K

Previous: 1.2K+14.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$1.9M

Previous: -$1.72M-10.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$3.65M

Previous: -$118M+96.9%
Net Income

-$74.1M

Previous: -$92.7M+20.0%
Operating Income

-$93.7M

Previous: -$109M+13.8%
Gross Profit

$186M

Previous: $144M+29.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$323M

Previous: $317M+1.8%
Total Assets

$2.61B

Previous: $2.36B+10.4%
R&D Expense

$103M

Previous: $91.3M+12.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$98.3M

Previous: $89.5M+9.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Confluent · Revenue · Quarterly

$250M

Q3 2024+25%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Confluent · $200M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Subscription Revenue
    $189M+36.4%
  • Services Revenue
    $10.9M-16.1%

Forward guidance

For the fourth quarter of 2024, Confluent expects subscription revenue between $245 and $246 million and a non-GAAP operating margin of approximately 2%. For the full fiscal year 2024, the company anticipates subscription revenue between $916.5 and $917.5 million and a non-GAAP operating margin of around 2%. They are also targeting positive non-GAAP operating margin and free cash flow margin for 2024.

Tailwinds

  • Targeting positive non-GAAP operating margin for 2024.
  • Targeting positive free cash flow margin for 2024.
  • Expecting subscription revenue between $245 and $246 million for Q4 2024.
  • Anticipating a non-GAAP operating margin of approximately 2% for Q4 2024.
  • Forecasting subscription revenue between $916.5 and $917.5 million for FY 2024.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 17 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

12 / 20 earnings

Positive

+38.7%

Q4 2023

Best reaction

-43.7%

Q3 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026
Q4 2025+0.1%+0.6%+0.6%
Q3 2025+7.8%+6.2%-1.0%
Q2 2025-32.8%-35.0%-24.8%
Q1 2025-18.4%-17.1%-3.3%
Q4 2024+25.1%+15.8%-12.4%
Q3 2024+13.6%+15.6%+33.9%
Q2 2024-15.1%-23.1%-12.6%
Q1 2024+9.6%+2.8%-9.4%
Q4 2023+38.7%+34.2%+38.7%
Q3 2023-43.7%-39.0%-21.0%
Q2 2023+8.6%+3.9%+0.2%
Q1 2023+13.2%+10.6%+68.6%
Q4 2022-1.7%+0.8%+5.7%
Q3 2022-12.2%-19.8%-12.1%
Q2 2022+20.5%+25.0%-7.9%
Q1 2022-29.1%-41.0%-35.2%
Q4 2021-23.7%-23.2%-58.5%
Q3 2021+22.3%+17.5%-5.1%
Q4 2020+6.9%+21.6%+42.2%
Q2 2021+6.9%+21.6%+42.2%
Q1 2021
Q3 2020
Q2 2020
Q1 2020

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