NASDAQ$CASY

Casey's General Stores Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Casey's reported fourth-quarter results with EPS of $1.49 and inside same-store sales up 6.5%.

Casey's announced its Q4 results, with diluted EPS at $1.49 compared to $1.60 in the prior year. Inside same-store sales increased by 6.5%, while fuel same-store gallons were flat. The company added 81 new stores during the fiscal year, ending with a total of 2,521 stores.

  • Diluted EPS was $1.49, a decrease from $1.60 in the prior year.
  • Inside same-store sales increased by 6.5%, with an inside margin of 39.6%.
  • Fuel same-store gallons remained flat, with a fuel margin of 34.6 cents per gallon.
  • Casey's increased the quarterly dividend by 13% to $0.43 per share.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.33B

Previous: $3.46B-3.8%
EPS (adj)

$1.49

Previous: $1.60-6.9%
Fuel Gallons Sold

635.9M

Previous: 621.1M+2.4%
Grocery SSS Growth

7.1%

Previous: 4.3%+65.1%
Prepared Food SSS

4.9%

Previous: 7.6%-35.5%
Total Store Count

2.5K

Previous: 2.5K+2.8%
Capital Expenditures

$175M

Previous: $98.3M+78.4%
Free Cash Flow

$70.1M

Previous: $154M-54.5%
Net Income

$56.1M

Previous: $59.8M-6.2%
Operating Income

$72.6M

Previous: $72.7M-0.1%
Gross Profit

$688M

Previous: $657M+4.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$379M

Previous: $159M+138.5%
Total Assets

$5.94B

Previous: $5.51B+7.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$12.3M

Previous: $8.59M+42.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Casey's · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.33B

Q4 2023-3.8%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Casey's · $3.26B total across 3 segments · Q4 2023

  • Fuel
    $2.14B-8.8%
  • Grocery & General Merchandise
    $810M+8.8%
  • Prepared Food & Beverage
    $314M+7.1%

Forward guidance

Casey's expects inside same-store sales to increase 3% to 5% and to improve inside margin to approximately 40% to 41%. The Company expects same-store fuel gallons sold to be between negative 1% to positive 1%. Total operating expenses are expected to increase approximately 5% to 7%. The Company expects to add approximately 110 stores in fiscal 2024. Net interest expense is expected to be approximately $55 million. Depreciation and amortization is expected to be approximately $340 million and the purchase of property and equipment is expected to be approximately $500 to $550 million. The tax rate is expected to be approximately 24% to 26% for the year.

Tailwinds

  • Inside same-store sales to increase 3% to 5%.
  • Inside margin to improve to approximately 40% to 41%.
  • Same-store fuel gallons sold to be between negative 1% to positive 1%.
  • Expects to add approximately 110 stores in fiscal 2024.
  • Tax rate is expected to be approximately 24% to 26% for the year.

Headwinds

  • Total operating expenses are expected to increase approximately 5% to 7%.
  • Net interest expense is expected to be approximately $55 million.
  • Depreciation and amortization is expected to be approximately $340 million
  • Purchase of property and equipment is expected to be approximately $500 to $550 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

35 / 69 earnings

Positive

+20.0%

Q4 2026

Best reaction

-14.1%

Q2 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026+20.0%+14.6%
Q3 2026+3.8%-0.6%+14.2%
Q2 2026-5.3%-2.9%+5.4%
Q1 2026+3.7%+6.2%+5.9%
Q4 2025+0.0%-1.2%+2.3%
Q3 2025+6.2%+5.5%+20.7%
Q2 2025-1.3%+0.7%-7.4%
Q1 2025+7.3%+3.4%+4.4%
Q4 2024+16.1%+13.3%+14.5%
Q3 2024-2.7%+1.1%+3.4%
Q2 2024+1.7%-0.1%+5.6%
Q1 2024+10.0%+15.3%+12.4%
Q4 2023-4.5%-4.3%+7.0%
Q3 2023+2.9%+0.0%+1.6%
Q2 2023+7.1%+5.4%-5.7%
Q1 2023+2.2%+1.1%-7.0%
Q4 2022-4.5%-7.9%-6.8%
Q3 2022+4.3%-1.9%+17.0%
Q2 2022-7.2%-7.1%-2.4%
Q1 2022-6.5%-7.8%-8.2%
Q4 2021-4.8%-3.6%-10.1%
Q3 2021-3.1%+1.3%+5.8%
Q2 2021-4.9%-6.6%-1.5%
Q1 2021+1.7%+1.2%+5.3%
Q4 2020-4.6%-10.6%-11.6%
Q3 2020-7.4%-5.7%-16.7%
Q2 2020-9.7%-12.5%-7.2%
Q1 2020+0.4%+1.0%-5.1%
Q4 2019+9.3%+13.5%+17.1%
Q3 2019+2.0%-1.2%+0.7%
Q2 2019+6.6%+10.6%+6.7%
Q1 2019+8.5%+9.7%+6.7%
Q4 2018+2.9%+4.6%+13.0%
Q3 2018-1.9%+0.6%-3.6%
Q2 2018-14.1%-14.9%-3.8%
Q1 2018+0.9%+1.6%+4.9%
Q4 2017-8.3%-4.9%-9.8%
Q3 2017-3.6%-4.1%-3.8%
Q2 2017-0.9%-1.0%-5.0%
Q1 2017-9.1%-10.1%-11.2%
Q4 2016-4.2%-4.3%+6.4%
Q3 2016-1.1%
Q2 2016+4.8%
Q1 2016+2.5%
Q4 2015+5.9%
Q3 2015+0.1%
Q2 2015+2.8%
Q1 2015-2.3%
Q4 2014+3.8%
Q3 2014-0.1%
Q2 2014-7.5%
Q1 2014+3.7%
Q4 2013-1.4%
Q3 2013-2.7%
Q2 2013+2.8%
Q1 2013+2.6%
Q4 2012-11.1%
Q3 2012+3.8%
Q2 2012-2.0%
Q1 2012-0.5%
Q4 2009-0.1%
Q4 2011-0.1%
Q3 2010-3.6%
Q3 2011-3.6%
Q2 2010+1.3%
Q2 2011+1.3%
Q1 2010+0.9%
Q1 2011+0.9%
Q4 2010+0.9%

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