NASDAQ$CASY

Casey's General Stores Inc · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Casey's earnings per share increased by 14% compared to the same period last year.

Casey's reported a diluted EPS increase of 14% compared to the prior year, driven by higher fuel gross profit and decreased interest expense, despite challenges from the COVID-19 pandemic. The company's inside same-store sales increased, and digital sales saw significant growth.

  • Diluted EPS increased by 14% to $1.04 compared to $0.91 for the same period last year.
  • Fuel gross profit increased 37% with a fuel margin of 32.9 cents per gallon, while fuel same-store gallons sold decreased 12.1%.
  • Inside same-store sales increased 2.1% compared to the prior year, with a margin of 39.6%.
  • Digital sales increased 95%, and Casey’s Rewards now exceeds 3.3 million members.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.01B

Previous: $2.25B-10.7%
EPS (adj)

$1.04

Previous: $0.91+14.3%
Fuel Gallons Sold

518.4K

Previous: 573.0M-99.9%
Grocery SSS Growth

5.4%

Previous: 3.5%+54.3%
Prepared Food SSS

-5.0%

Previous: 2.8%-278.6%
Total Store Count

2.2K

Previous: 70+3084.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$263M

Previous: -$364M+27.7%
Free Cash Flow

-$224M

Previous: -$330M+32.0%
Net Income

$38.6M

Previous: $34M+13.7%
Operating Income

$60.5M

Previous: $120M-49.3%
Gross Profit

$475M

Previous: $497M-4.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$389M

Previous: $43.5M+793.3%
Total Assets

$4.4B

Previous: $3.92B+12.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$7.52M

Previous: $4.47M+68.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Casey's · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.01B

Q3 2021-10.7%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Casey's · $1.99B total across 3 segments · Q3 2021

  • Fuel
    $1.1B
  • Grocery & General Merchandise
    $624M+7.2%
  • Prepared Food & Beverage
    $264M-3.5%

Forward guidance

Casey's is cooperating with the FTC regarding the Buchanan Energy acquisition and expects to complete the construction of approximately 40 new stores this fiscal year.

Tailwinds

  • The Company continues to effectively manage discretionary operating expenses while investing in our team members' and guests' safety.
  • Our balance sheet remains strong.
  • We are committed to executing our long-term strategic plan.
  • Company sold $6.9 million in renewable fuel credits in the third quarter, an increase of $5.2 million from the prior year.
  • The Company also expects to complete the construction of approximately 40 new stores this fiscal year.

Headwinds

  • Same-store gallons sold were adversely impacted by lower guest traffic due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Inside margin was adversely impacted by mix shift, both within and across categories.
  • Operating expenses for the third quarter were up primarily due to operating 36 more stores than this time last year, as well as incurring $11 million in COVID-19 related expenses, $10 million in incremental incentive compensation due to strong financial performance of the Company, $3 million in labor costs associated with the major store reset noted above.
  • In connection with the previously disclosed pending Buchanan Energy acquisition, Casey's and Buchanan Energy received a Request for Additional Information from the Federal Trade Commission ("FTC").
  • There are a number of known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors that may cause our actual results to differ materially from any future results expressed or implied by those forward-looking statements, including but not limited to the timing and integration of the pending Buchanan Energy acquisition, executing our strategic plan, the impact and duration of COVID-19 and related governmental actions

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

+0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

35 / 69 earnings

Positive

+20.0%

Q4 2026

Best reaction

-14.1%

Q2 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026+20.0%+14.6%
Q3 2026+3.8%-0.6%+14.2%
Q2 2026-5.3%-2.9%+5.4%
Q1 2026+3.7%+6.2%+5.9%
Q4 2025+0.0%-1.2%+2.3%
Q3 2025+6.2%+5.5%+20.7%
Q2 2025-1.3%+0.7%-7.4%
Q1 2025+7.3%+3.4%+4.4%
Q4 2024+16.1%+13.3%+14.5%
Q3 2024-2.7%+1.1%+3.4%
Q2 2024+1.7%-0.1%+5.6%
Q1 2024+10.0%+15.3%+12.4%
Q4 2023-4.5%-4.3%+7.0%
Q3 2023+2.9%+0.0%+1.6%
Q2 2023+7.1%+5.4%-5.7%
Q1 2023+2.2%+1.1%-7.0%
Q4 2022-4.5%-7.9%-6.8%
Q3 2022+4.3%-1.9%+17.0%
Q2 2022-7.2%-7.1%-2.4%
Q1 2022-6.5%-7.8%-8.2%
Q4 2021-4.8%-3.6%-10.1%
Q3 2021-3.1%+1.3%+5.8%
Q2 2021-4.9%-6.6%-1.5%
Q1 2021+1.7%+1.2%+5.3%
Q4 2020-4.6%-10.6%-11.6%
Q3 2020-7.4%-5.7%-16.7%
Q2 2020-9.7%-12.5%-7.2%
Q1 2020+0.4%+1.0%-5.1%
Q4 2019+9.3%+13.5%+17.1%
Q3 2019+2.0%-1.2%+0.7%
Q2 2019+6.6%+10.6%+6.7%
Q1 2019+8.5%+9.7%+6.7%
Q4 2018+2.9%+4.6%+13.0%
Q3 2018-1.9%+0.6%-3.6%
Q2 2018-14.1%-14.9%-3.8%
Q1 2018+0.9%+1.6%+4.9%
Q4 2017-8.3%-4.9%-9.8%
Q3 2017-3.6%-4.1%-3.8%
Q2 2017-0.9%-1.0%-5.0%
Q1 2017-9.1%-10.1%-11.2%
Q4 2016-4.2%-4.3%+6.4%
Q3 2016-1.1%
Q2 2016+4.8%
Q1 2016+2.5%
Q4 2015+5.9%
Q3 2015+0.1%
Q2 2015+2.8%
Q1 2015-2.3%
Q4 2014+3.8%
Q3 2014-0.1%
Q2 2014-7.5%
Q1 2014+3.7%
Q4 2013-1.4%
Q3 2013-2.7%
Q2 2013+2.8%
Q1 2013+2.6%
Q4 2012-11.1%
Q3 2012+3.8%
Q2 2012-2.0%
Q1 2012-0.5%
Q4 2009-0.1%
Q4 2011-0.1%
Q3 2010-3.6%
Q3 2011-3.6%
Q2 2010+1.3%
Q2 2011+1.3%
Q1 2010+0.9%
Q1 2011+0.9%
Q4 2010+0.9%

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