NASDAQ$CASY

Casey's General Stores Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Casey's reported strong Q3 2022 earnings, driven by inside sales and fuel gallons sold.

Casey's General Stores announced record third-quarter earnings, with diluted EPS up 64% year-over-year to $1.71. Strong inside sales and fuel gallons sold drove the results, with total fuel gross profit increasing by 39.6%. The company also completed the acquisition of 40 stores from Pilot Corporation.

  • Diluted EPS increased by 64% compared to the same period last year, reaching $1.71.
  • Inside same-store sales grew by 7.6% year-over-year, with a margin of 39.4%.
  • Fuel gallons sold increased by 5.7% on a same-store basis, with a fuel margin of 38.3 cents per gallon.
  • The breakfast menu relaunch exceeded expectations, with breakfast daypart same-store sales up 17%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.05B

Previous: $2.01B+51.8%
EPS (adj)

$1.71

Previous: $1.04+64.4%
Grocery SSS Growth

7.7%

Previous: 5.4%+42.6%
Prepared Food SSS

7.4%

Previous: -5.0%+248.0%
Total Store Count

2.4K

Previous: 2.2K+9.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$228M

Previous: -$263M+13.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$164M

Previous: -$224M+26.9%
Net Income

$64M

Previous: $38.6M+65.7%
Operating Income

$98M

Previous: $60.5M+61.8%
Gross Profit

$589M

Previous: $475M+24.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$187M

Previous: $389M-51.9%
Total Assets

$5.4B

Previous: $4.4B+22.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$11.9M

Previous: $7.52M+58.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Casey's · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.05B

Q3 2022+51.8%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Casey's · $2.98B total across 3 segments · Q3 2022

  • Fuel
    $1.95B+77.3%
  • Grocery & General Merchandise
    $733M+17.3%
  • Prepared Food & Beverage
    $293M+10.9%

Forward guidance

The Company is reiterating its fiscal 2022 outlook, previously disclosed in the second quarter. The Company expects same-store fuel and inside sales to increase by mid-single digit percentages for the fiscal year. Total operating expenses for the year are expected to increase high-teen percentages. For the fourth quarter, operating expenses are expected to increase 11-13%. The Company expects to add approximately 225 units during fiscal 2022. Interest expense is expected to be approximately $55 million. Depreciation and amortization is expected to be approximately $310 million and the purchase of property and equipment is expected to be approximately $400 million. The tax rate is expected to be approximately 24.0% - 26.0% for the year.

Tailwinds

  • Same-store fuel sales are expected to increase by mid-single digit percentages for the fiscal year.
  • Same-store inside sales are expected to increase by mid-single digit percentages for the fiscal year.
  • The Company expects to add approximately 225 units during fiscal 2022.
  • Depreciation and amortization is expected to be approximately $310 million.
  • The tax rate is expected to be approximately 24.0% - 26.0% for the year.

Headwinds

  • Total operating expenses for the year are expected to increase high-teen percentages.
  • For the fourth quarter, operating expenses are expected to increase 11-13%.
  • Interest expense is expected to be approximately $55 million.
  • The purchase of property and equipment is expected to be approximately $400 million.
  • Executing our strategic plan, the impact and duration of COVID-19 and related governmental actions

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

35 / 69 earnings

Positive

+20.0%

Q4 2026

Best reaction

-14.1%

Q2 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026+20.0%+14.6%
Q3 2026+3.8%-0.6%+14.2%
Q2 2026-5.3%-2.9%+5.4%
Q1 2026+3.7%+6.2%+5.9%
Q4 2025+0.0%-1.2%+2.3%
Q3 2025+6.2%+5.5%+20.7%
Q2 2025-1.3%+0.7%-7.4%
Q1 2025+7.3%+3.4%+4.4%
Q4 2024+16.1%+13.3%+14.5%
Q3 2024-2.7%+1.1%+3.4%
Q2 2024+1.7%-0.1%+5.6%
Q1 2024+10.0%+15.3%+12.4%
Q4 2023-4.5%-4.3%+7.0%
Q3 2023+2.9%+0.0%+1.6%
Q2 2023+7.1%+5.4%-5.7%
Q1 2023+2.2%+1.1%-7.0%
Q4 2022-4.5%-7.9%-6.8%
Q3 2022+4.3%-1.9%+17.0%
Q2 2022-7.2%-7.1%-2.4%
Q1 2022-6.5%-7.8%-8.2%
Q4 2021-4.8%-3.6%-10.1%
Q3 2021-3.1%+1.3%+5.8%
Q2 2021-4.9%-6.6%-1.5%
Q1 2021+1.7%+1.2%+5.3%
Q4 2020-4.6%-10.6%-11.6%
Q3 2020-7.4%-5.7%-16.7%
Q2 2020-9.7%-12.5%-7.2%
Q1 2020+0.4%+1.0%-5.1%
Q4 2019+9.3%+13.5%+17.1%
Q3 2019+2.0%-1.2%+0.7%
Q2 2019+6.6%+10.6%+6.7%
Q1 2019+8.5%+9.7%+6.7%
Q4 2018+2.9%+4.6%+13.0%
Q3 2018-1.9%+0.6%-3.6%
Q2 2018-14.1%-14.9%-3.8%
Q1 2018+0.9%+1.6%+4.9%
Q4 2017-8.3%-4.9%-9.8%
Q3 2017-3.6%-4.1%-3.8%
Q2 2017-0.9%-1.0%-5.0%
Q1 2017-9.1%-10.1%-11.2%
Q4 2016-4.2%-4.3%+6.4%
Q3 2016-1.1%
Q2 2016+4.8%
Q1 2016+2.5%
Q4 2015+5.9%
Q3 2015+0.1%
Q2 2015+2.8%
Q1 2015-2.3%
Q4 2014+3.8%
Q3 2014-0.1%
Q2 2014-7.5%
Q1 2014+3.7%
Q4 2013-1.4%
Q3 2013-2.7%
Q2 2013+2.8%
Q1 2013+2.6%
Q4 2012-11.1%
Q3 2012+3.8%
Q2 2012-2.0%
Q1 2012-0.5%
Q4 2009-0.1%
Q4 2011-0.1%
Q3 2010-3.6%
Q3 2011-3.6%
Q2 2010+1.3%
Q2 2011+1.3%
Q1 2010+0.9%
Q1 2011+0.9%
Q4 2010+0.9%

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