NASDAQ$CASY

Casey's General Stores Inc · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Casey's reported a strong first quarter with increased inside sales and robust fuel margin.

Casey's announced strong first quarter results with diluted EPS up 28% from the same period a year ago. The company saw increases in inside same-store sales and total fuel gross profit, driven by prepared food and dispensed beverages, as well as a favorable fuel margin environment.

  • Diluted EPS increased by 28% year-over-year, reaching $4.09.
  • Inside same-store sales grew by 6.3% compared to the previous year, with a margin of 39.8%.
  • Fuel gallons decreased 2.3% on a same-store basis, but fuel margin was 44.7 cents per gallon.
  • Total fuel gross profit increased by 31.4% compared to the prior year, reaching $308.2 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$4.45B

Previous: $3.18B+40.0%
EPS (adj)

$4.09

Previous: $3.19+28.2%
Grocery SSS Growth

5.5%

Previous: 17.0%-67.6%
Prepared Food SSS

8.4%

Previous: 10.8%-22.2%
Total Store Count

2.5K

Previous: 2.4K+3.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$82.1M

Previous: -$45M-82.2%
Free Cash Flow

$70.9M

Previous: $74.1M-4.4%
Net Income

$153M

Previous: $119M+28.3%
Operating Income

$217M

Previous: $169M+28.2%
Gross Profit

$760M

Previous: $648M+17.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$312M

Previous: $199M+57.0%
Total Assets

$5.68B

Previous: $5.08B+11.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$16.2M

Previous: $8.62M+87.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Casey's · Revenue · Quarterly

$4.45B

Q1 2023+40%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Casey's · $4.36B total across 3 segments · Q1 2023

  • Fuel
    $3.1B+57.4%
  • Grocery & General Merchandise
    $923M+10.5%
  • Prepared Food & Beverage
    $344M+11.4%

Forward guidance

The Company's fiscal 2023 outlook previously disclosed remains unchanged. The Company expects same-store inside sales to increase 4% to 6% and maintain an inside margin of approximately 40%. The Company expects same-store fuel gallons to be flat to 2% higher. Total operating expenses are expected to increase approximately 9% to 10%. The Company expects to add approximately 80 stores in fiscal 2023, and expects to exceed our stated three year commitment of 345 units. Interest expense is expected to be approximately $55 million. Depreciation and amortization is expected to be approximately $320 million and the purchase of property plant and equipment is expected to be approximately $450 to $500 million, including approximately $135 million in one-time store remodel costs for recently acquired stores. The tax rate is expected to be approximately 24% to 26% for the year.

Tailwinds

  • Expects same-store inside sales to increase 4% to 6%
  • Maintain an inside margin of approximately 40%
  • Expects same-store fuel gallons to be flat to 2% higher
  • Expects to add approximately 80 stores in fiscal 2023
  • Expects to exceed stated three year commitment of 345 units

Headwinds

  • Total operating expenses are expected to increase approximately 9% to 10%
  • Interest expense is expected to be approximately $55 million
  • Depreciation and amortization is expected to be approximately $320 million
  • Purchase of property plant and equipment is expected to be approximately $450 to $500 million, including approximately $135 million in one-time store remodel costs for recently acquired stores.
  • Tax rate is expected to be approximately 24% to 26% for the year

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

+0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

35 / 69 earnings

Positive

+20.0%

Q4 2026

Best reaction

-14.1%

Q2 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026+20.0%+14.6%
Q3 2026+3.8%-0.6%+14.2%
Q2 2026-5.3%-2.9%+5.4%
Q1 2026+3.7%+6.2%+5.9%
Q4 2025+0.0%-1.2%+2.3%
Q3 2025+6.2%+5.5%+20.7%
Q2 2025-1.3%+0.7%-7.4%
Q1 2025+7.3%+3.4%+4.4%
Q4 2024+16.1%+13.3%+14.5%
Q3 2024-2.7%+1.1%+3.4%
Q2 2024+1.7%-0.1%+5.6%
Q1 2024+10.0%+15.3%+12.4%
Q4 2023-4.5%-4.3%+7.0%
Q3 2023+2.9%+0.0%+1.6%
Q2 2023+7.1%+5.4%-5.7%
Q1 2023+2.2%+1.1%-7.0%
Q4 2022-4.5%-7.9%-6.8%
Q3 2022+4.3%-1.9%+17.0%
Q2 2022-7.2%-7.1%-2.4%
Q1 2022-6.5%-7.8%-8.2%
Q4 2021-4.8%-3.6%-10.1%
Q3 2021-3.1%+1.3%+5.8%
Q2 2021-4.9%-6.6%-1.5%
Q1 2021+1.7%+1.2%+5.3%
Q4 2020-4.6%-10.6%-11.6%
Q3 2020-7.4%-5.7%-16.7%
Q2 2020-9.7%-12.5%-7.2%
Q1 2020+0.4%+1.0%-5.1%
Q4 2019+9.3%+13.5%+17.1%
Q3 2019+2.0%-1.2%+0.7%
Q2 2019+6.6%+10.6%+6.7%
Q1 2019+8.5%+9.7%+6.7%
Q4 2018+2.9%+4.6%+13.0%
Q3 2018-1.9%+0.6%-3.6%
Q2 2018-14.1%-14.9%-3.8%
Q1 2018+0.9%+1.6%+4.9%
Q4 2017-8.3%-4.9%-9.8%
Q3 2017-3.6%-4.1%-3.8%
Q2 2017-0.9%-1.0%-5.0%
Q1 2017-9.1%-10.1%-11.2%
Q4 2016-4.2%-4.3%+6.4%
Q3 2016-1.1%
Q2 2016+4.8%
Q1 2016+2.5%
Q4 2015+5.9%
Q3 2015+0.1%
Q2 2015+2.8%
Q1 2015-2.3%
Q4 2014+3.8%
Q3 2014-0.1%
Q2 2014-7.5%
Q1 2014+3.7%
Q4 2013-1.4%
Q3 2013-2.7%
Q2 2013+2.8%
Q1 2013+2.6%
Q4 2012-11.1%
Q3 2012+3.8%
Q2 2012-2.0%
Q1 2012-0.5%
Q4 2009-0.1%
Q4 2011-0.1%
Q3 2010-3.6%
Q3 2011-3.6%
Q2 2010+1.3%
Q2 2011+1.3%
Q1 2010+0.9%
Q1 2011+0.9%
Q4 2010+0.9%

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