NASDAQ$CASY

Casey's General Stores Inc · Q2 2021 earnings

Q2 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Casey's reported a strong second quarter of fiscal year 2021, driven by favorable fuel margins and higher inside sales.

Casey's General Stores reported diluted earnings per share of $3, a 36% increase, driven by stronger fuel margins and higher inside sales volumes. The company also announced an agreement to acquire Buchanan Energy and raised the dividend.

  • Diluted earnings per share rose 36% to $3 per share.
  • Fuel gross profit was up 45% compared to the prior year, with a fuel margin of $0.353 per gallon.
  • Same-store inside sales were up 3.5% for the quarter, with an average margin of 41%.
  • The Board voted to raise the dividend at the December meeting.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.22B

Previous: $2.49B-10.9%
EPS (adj)

$3.00

Previous: $2.21+35.7%
Grocery SSS Growth

6.6%

No prior period
Prepared Food SSS

-3.6%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$159M

Previous: -$242M+34.4%
Free Cash Flow

-$46.8M

Previous: -$160M+70.8%
Net Income

$112M

Previous: $82M+36.6%
Operating Income

$157M

Previous: $184M-14.5%
Gross Profit

$567M

Previous: $557M+1.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$405M

Previous: $44M+820.2%
Total Assets

$4.32B

Previous: $3.87B+11.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$7.47M

Previous: $2.38M+213.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Casey's · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.22B

Q2 2021-10.9%vs Q2 2020
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Casey's · $2.18B total across 3 segments · Q2 2021

  • Grocery & General Merchandise
    $1.06B+5.8%
  • Fuel
    $833M
  • Prepared Food & Beverage
    $289M-3.0%

Forward guidance

Casey's is cautious in its outlook over the winter months due to the surge in COVID cases and related restrictions, which have started to take a toll on guest traffic.

Tailwinds

  • Developing news around vaccine progress should give all of us cause for optimism
  • Balance sheet will remain strong post close, which will enable us to continue to execute on our strategic plan to accelerate further unit growth.
  • The rewards members are stickier guests, so to speak.
  • The guest experience in that digital space has been a positive one.
  • The company is well positioned financially to take on whatever challenges and opportunities may come our way in the back half of this fiscal year.

Headwinds

  • COVID cases have surged throughout the Midwest
  • Traffic start to slow a little bit.
  • Mid teens decline in fuel gallons sold quarter to date.
  • Prepared food remains pressured and is trending down mid-single digits so far this quarter.
  • Restrictions may increase.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2021

Historical avgQ2 2021

+0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

35 / 69 earnings

Positive

+20.0%

Q4 2026

Best reaction

-14.1%

Q2 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026+20.0%+14.6%
Q3 2026+3.8%-0.6%+14.2%
Q2 2026-5.3%-2.9%+5.4%
Q1 2026+3.7%+6.2%+5.9%
Q4 2025+0.0%-1.2%+2.3%
Q3 2025+6.2%+5.5%+20.7%
Q2 2025-1.3%+0.7%-7.4%
Q1 2025+7.3%+3.4%+4.4%
Q4 2024+16.1%+13.3%+14.5%
Q3 2024-2.7%+1.1%+3.4%
Q2 2024+1.7%-0.1%+5.6%
Q1 2024+10.0%+15.3%+12.4%
Q4 2023-4.5%-4.3%+7.0%
Q3 2023+2.9%+0.0%+1.6%
Q2 2023+7.1%+5.4%-5.7%
Q1 2023+2.2%+1.1%-7.0%
Q4 2022-4.5%-7.9%-6.8%
Q3 2022+4.3%-1.9%+17.0%
Q2 2022-7.2%-7.1%-2.4%
Q1 2022-6.5%-7.8%-8.2%
Q4 2021-4.8%-3.6%-10.1%
Q3 2021-3.1%+1.3%+5.8%
Q2 2021-4.9%-6.6%-1.5%
Q1 2021+1.7%+1.2%+5.3%
Q4 2020-4.6%-10.6%-11.6%
Q3 2020-7.4%-5.7%-16.7%
Q2 2020-9.7%-12.5%-7.2%
Q1 2020+0.4%+1.0%-5.1%
Q4 2019+9.3%+13.5%+17.1%
Q3 2019+2.0%-1.2%+0.7%
Q2 2019+6.6%+10.6%+6.7%
Q1 2019+8.5%+9.7%+6.7%
Q4 2018+2.9%+4.6%+13.0%
Q3 2018-1.9%+0.6%-3.6%
Q2 2018-14.1%-14.9%-3.8%
Q1 2018+0.9%+1.6%+4.9%
Q4 2017-8.3%-4.9%-9.8%
Q3 2017-3.6%-4.1%-3.8%
Q2 2017-0.9%-1.0%-5.0%
Q1 2017-9.1%-10.1%-11.2%
Q4 2016-4.2%-4.3%+6.4%
Q3 2016-1.1%
Q2 2016+4.8%
Q1 2016+2.5%
Q4 2015+5.9%
Q3 2015+0.1%
Q2 2015+2.8%
Q1 2015-2.3%
Q4 2014+3.8%
Q3 2014-0.1%
Q2 2014-7.5%
Q1 2014+3.7%
Q4 2013-1.4%
Q3 2013-2.7%
Q2 2013+2.8%
Q1 2013+2.6%
Q4 2012-11.1%
Q3 2012+3.8%
Q2 2012-2.0%
Q1 2012-0.5%
Q4 2009-0.1%
Q4 2011-0.1%
Q3 2010-3.6%
Q3 2011-3.6%
Q2 2010+1.3%
Q2 2011+1.3%
Q1 2010+0.9%
Q1 2011+0.9%
Q4 2010+0.9%

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