NASDAQ$AXON

Axon Enterprise Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Axon's Q4 2020 performance highlighted by revenue growth and strong demand for TASER devices and cloud software.

Axon Enterprise reported a record $681 million in revenue for 2020, a 28% increase year-over-year, with Q4 2020 revenue growing 32% to $226 million. The company saw strong profitability and global demand for TASER devices, and raised its 2021 outlook.

  • Q4 2020 revenue grew 32% year over year to $226 million.
  • The quarter benefitted from a $20 million TASER 7 order from an international customer.
  • Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) grew 37% year over year to $221 million.
  • Net income per diluted share was $0.40, while Non-GAAP EPS was $1.00.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$226M

Previous: $172M+31.6%
EPS (adj)

$1.00

Previous: $0.41+143.9%
Annual Recurring Revenue

$221M

Previous: $161M+37.2%
Capital Expenditures

$6.61M

Previous: $3.83M+72.6%
Free Cash Flow

$27.7M

Previous: $41.9M-33.9%
Net Income

$25.8M

Previous: -$12.4M+308.7%
Operating Income

$5.78M

Previous: -$14.4M+140.1%
Gross Profit

$141M

Previous: $92.6M+52.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$155M

Previous: $172M-9.8%
Total Assets

$1.38B

Previous: $846M+63.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$53.4M

Previous: $48.3M+10.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Axon · Revenue · Quarterly

$226M

Q4 2020+31.6%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Axon · $136M total across 1 segment · Q4 2020

  • TASER
    $136M+61.7%

Forward guidance

Axon expects to achieve revenue in the range of $740 million to $780 million and Adjusted EBITDA to $125 million to $140 million for 2021. The company expects Q1 2021 revenue to grow approximately 12% year over year.

Tailwinds

  • Expects to achieve revenue in the range of $740 million to $780 million.
  • Raising expectations for Adjusted EBITDA to $125 million to $140 million.
  • Expects stock-based compensation expense to be at least $115 million for the full year.
  • Expects capital expenditures to be approximately $65 million to $70 million in 2021.
  • Expects Q1 2021 revenue to grow approximately 12% year over year.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+3.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+6.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+6.7%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

35 / 64 earnings

Positive

+31.3%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-17.1%

Q4 2012

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.4%+3.1%+27.9%
Q4 2025+1.1%+29.3%-2.8%
Q3 2025+13.7%-17.2%-22.0%
Q1 2025+14.2%+20.4%+31.6%
Q4 2024+15.3%+5.9%+7.7%
Q3 2024+31.3%+29.5%+49.7%
Q2 2024+22.0%+27.6%+24.0%
Q1 2024-1.8%-4.7%-11.4%
Q4 2023+13.9%+15.7%+15.2%
Q3 2023+5.9%+0.5%+8.5%
Q2 2023+11.6%+17.6%+20.3%
Q1 2023-13.1%-9.2%-12.2%
Q4 2022+13.4%+13.3%+11.7%
Q3 2022+15.8%+23.2%+15.7%
Q2 2022+8.5%+11.4%+5.6%
Q1 2022-4.0%+11.8%+15.0%
Q4 2021+9.6%+16.1%+8.4%
Q3 2021+4.3%+6.8%-13.4%
Q2 2021+0.8%-3.8%-3.3%
Q1 2021-4.6%-6.6%-0.1%
Q4 2020+2.5%+2.9%-14.6%
Q3 2020+16.7%+13.3%+18.2%
Q2 2020-9.5%-14.5%-10.8%
Q1 2020+30.2%+26.2%+40.3%
Q4 2019-3.8%-2.9%-7.5%
Q3 2019+25.0%+22.5%+37.6%
Q2 2019-11.4%-10.3%-5.4%
Q1 2019-4.9%-1.0%+3.3%
Q4 2018-4.4%-6.2%-7.2%
Q3 2018-16.1%-13.6%-26.4%
Q2 2018-10.6%-8.1%+5.1%
Q1 2018+21.6%+27.4%+41.4%
Q4 2017+23.7%+37.6%+39.6%
Q3 2017-7.7%-8.9%+4.8%
Q2 2017-10.5%-13.1%-16.4%
Q1 2017+4.8%+3.8%-2.4%
Q4 2016-6.7%-12.5%-11.0%
Q3 2016+19.3%+22.3%+6.0%
Q2 2016+1.9%-0.1%-7.5%
Q1 2016+2.9%
Q4 2015+11.2%
Q3 2015-13.8%
Q2 2015-14.1%
Q1 2015+15.3%
Q4 2014-13.2%
Q3 2014+14.4%
Q2 2014+4.9%
Q1 2014-10.7%
Q4 2013+7.3%
Q3 2013+13.5%
Q2 2013-0.2%
Q1 2013+7.8%
Q4 2012-17.1%
Q3 2012-1.7%
Q2 2012-1.1%
Q1 2012+0.0%
Q4 2011-0.5%
Q3 2010-2.7%
Q3 2011-2.7%
Q2 2010-2.7%
Q2 2011-2.7%
Q1 2011+4.8%
Q4 2010-4.8%
Q1 2010+6.1%

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