NASDAQ$ASML

ASML Holding NV · Q3 2025 earnings

Q3 2025 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

ASML Q3 2025: €7.5B net sales and €2.1B net income; full-year sales growth ~15% guided

ASML reported Q3 2025 total net sales of €7.5 billion with a gross margin of 51.6% and net income of €2.1 billion, or €5.49 basic EPS. Net bookings were €5.4 billion including €3.6 billion in EUV systems. The company shipped 66 new and 6 used lithography systems in the quarter. ASML expects Q4 2025 total net sales of €9.2–€9.8 billion with gross margin of 51–53%, and full-year 2025 total net sales growth of around 15% versus 2024 with gross margin around 52%. Management stated it does not expect 2026 total net sales to be below 2025 levels. An interim dividend of €1.60 per share was declared payable November 6, 2025.

  • Q3 total net sales of €7.5B and net income of €2.1B (€5.49 EPS) were in line with guidance; gross margin 51.6%.
  • Net bookings of €5.4B included €3.6B in EUV; 66 new lithography systems sold in the quarter.
  • Q4 guidance: total net sales €9.2–€9.8B with gross margin 51–53%; full-year 2025 sales growth ~15%.
  • Shipped first TWINSCAN XT:260 i-line scanner for advanced packaging; EUV adoption gaining momentum including High NA.
  • Interim dividend of €1.60 per share; ~€148M of shares repurchased in Q3 under the 2022–2025 buyback program.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

€7.52B

Previous: €8.2B-8.4%
EPS (adj)

€5.49

Previous: €5.80-5.3%
New lithography systems sold

66

No prior period
EUV net bookings

€3.6B

No prior period
Q4 gross margin

51.6%

No prior period
Q4 net bookings

€5.4B

No prior period
Net Income

€2.13B

Previous: €2.28B-6.8%
Gross Profit

€3.88B

Previous: €4.17B-6.9%
Cash & Equivalents

€5.13B

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

ASML · Revenue · Quarterly

€7.52B

Q3 2025-8.4%vs Q3 2024
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

ASML · €7.7B total across 2 segments · Q1 2025

  • Net system sales
    €5.7B
  • Installed Base Management
    €2B

Forward guidance

ASML expects Q4 2025 total net sales of €9.2–€9.8B with gross margin of 51–53%; full-year 2025 total net sales growth of around 15% with gross margin around 52%. Management does not expect 2026 sales below 2025.

Tailwinds

  • Continued positive momentum around AI-driven investments in leading-edge logic and advanced DRAM.
  • EUV adoption gaining momentum; first advanced packaging scanner shipped.
  • Very strong Q4 expected to drive full-year growth.

Headwinds

  • China customer demand expected to decline significantly in 2026 versus strong 2024–2025 levels.
  • Q3 gross margin of 51.6% below Q2's 53.7%.
  • 2022–2025 €12B buyback program unlikely to complete in full by year-end.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2025

Historical avgQ3 2025

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.2%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

35 / 68 earnings

Positive

+11.7%

Q4 2023

Best reaction

-21.6%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.1%-4.1%+13.2%
Q4 2025-2.2%-5.0%-13.0%
Q3 2025+3.0%+6.0%+2.4%
Q2 2025-8.3%-12.6%-9.8%
Q1 2025-7.1%-8.6%+9.5%
Q4 2024+4.3%+7.0%+3.8%
Q3 2024-21.6%-17.1%-20.6%
Q2 2024-13.5%-11.9%-14.0%
Q1 2024-9.0%-10.7%-5.3%
Q4 2023+11.7%+13.4%+19.9%
Q3 2023-3.4%-3.4%+12.7%
Q2 2023-10.7%-9.6%-13.4%
Q1 2023-1.5%-2.5%+7.9%
Q4 2022+2.1%-2.9%-7.7%
Q3 2022+9.6%+18.5%+48.7%
Q2 2022+8.8%+8.1%+9.4%
Q1 2022+0.5%-2.8%-13.7%
Q4 2021-1.2%-3.9%-9.4%
Q3 2021-1.7%-1.6%+7.0%
Q2 2021+6.7%+10.2%+15.2%
Q1 2021+4.9%+8.7%+3.6%
Q4 2020+3.9%+3.3%+8.2%
Q3 2020-4.6%-4.9%+3.6%
Q2 2020-2.9%-1.3%-6.5%
Q1 2020+1.2%+0.9%+1.2%
Q4 2019-1.4%-4.7%+2.5%
Q3 2019-5.2%-2.7%+2.8%
Q2 2019+10.6%+11.1%+3.8%
Q1 2019+1.1%+0.9%-1.2%
Q4 2018+5.9%+9.2%+15.9%
Q3 2018-2.9%-3.0%-7.0%
Q2 2018+5.3%+8.0%-3.4%
Q1 2018-8.3%-10.1%-7.2%
Q4 2017+9.1%+10.3%+3.1%
Q3 2017-0.2%+1.0%+2.3%
Q2 2017+7.4%+7.3%+6.3%
Q1 2017-0.5%+2.2%+3.2%
Q4 2016+5.1%+5.4%+9.5%
Q3 2016+1.2%+2.9%+2.2%
Q2 2016-0.1%+0.8%+1.0%
Q1 2016-3.9%
Q4 2015+8.8%
Q3 2015+1.4%
Q2 2015-2.6%
Q1 2015-4.9%
Q4 2014+3.7%
Q3 2014-2.9%
Q2 2014+2.5%
Q1 2014+1.9%
Q4 2013+1.4%
Q3 2013+2.5%
Q2 2013-0.9%
Q1 2013-1.3%
Q4 2012+8.4%
Q3 2012-0.5%
Q2 2012+1.5%
Q1 2012+1.2%
Q4 2011+0.9%
Q3 2011-7.1%
Q2 2011+3.7%
Q1 2011-0.1%
Q4 2008-6.4%
Q4 2010-6.4%
Q3 2010-1.9%
Q2 2010+0.7%
Q1 2010+1.4%
Q4 2009+2.7%
Q4 2007+2.7%

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