NASDAQ$ANNX

Annexon Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Annexon's portfolio progressed and reported fourth quarter and full year 2023 financial results.

Annexon reported a net loss of $27.9 million for the quarter ended December 31, 2023. The company's cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments totaled approximately $260 million as of December 31, 2023, providing an anticipated runway into mid-2026. Key milestones include the expected pivotal Phase 3 data for ANX005 in Guillain-Barré Syndrome (GBS) in the second quarter of 2024 and the planned initiation of the pivotal Phase 3 ANX007 ARCHER II trial in Geographic Atrophy (GA) in mid-2024.

  • Completed enrollment of Phase 3 clinical trial for ANX005 in GBS and expect topline data in Q2 2024.
  • Initiation of pivotal Phase 3 ANX007 ARCHER II trial in GA expected in mid-2024.
  • Clinical proof-of-concept data with ANX1502 oral inhibitor of the classical pathway expected in the second half of 2024.
  • Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments of approximately $260 million as of December 31, 2023, and anticipated runway into mid-2026.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$4.87M

No prior period
EPS (adj)

-$0.36

Previous: -$0.48+25.0%
R&D expenses

$23.3M

Previous: $28.5M-18.5%
G&A expenses

$6.74M

Previous: $8.16M-17.4%
Total operating expenses

$30M

No prior period
Interest and other income

$2.12M

No prior period
Wtd. avg. shares (basic & diluted)

78.2M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$7K

Previous: $282K-102.5%
Net Income

-$27.9M

Previous: -$34.4M+18.9%
Operating Income

-$30M

Previous: -$36.7M+18.2%
Gross Profit

$4.03M

No prior period
R&D Expense

$23.3M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$4.37M

Previous: $4.83M-9.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Annexon · Revenue · Quarterly

$4.87M

Q4 2023

Forward guidance

Annexon anticipates several milestones in 2024, including topline data from the pivotal Phase 3 trial of ANX005 in GBS, the initiation of Phase 3 trials for ANX007 in GA, and proof-of-concept data for ANX1502 in CAD.

Tailwinds

  • ANX005 in GBS: Topline data from pivotal, randomized, placebo-controlled Phase 3 trial expected in the second quarter of 2024.
  • ANX005 in GBS: Initial data from RWE comparability protocol with IGOS expected in first half 2025 to support a planned BLA submission.
  • ANX007 in GA: Global pivotal Phase 3 ARCHER II trial vs. sham control expected to initiate in mid-2024.
  • ANX007 in GA: Pivotal Phase 3 head-to-head ARROW trial vs. SYFOVRE® (pegcetacoplan injection) planned to initiate in the second half of 2024.
  • ANX1502 in CAD: Proof-of-concept (POC) trial evaluating the pharmacodynamics and efficacy of an oral tablet formulation in CAD anticipated to provide initial data in the second half of 2024, with plans for program expansion in autoimmune indications upon completion of clinical POC.

Headwinds

  • Risks related to the ongoing off-treatment follow-up portion of the ARCHER trial and final results from the ARCHER trial.
  • The company’s history of net operating losses.
  • The company’s ability to obtain necessary capital to fund its clinical programs.
  • The early stages of clinical development of the company’s product candidates.
  • The company’s ability to obtain regulatory approval of and successfully commercialize its product candidates.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+3.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

64%

14 / 22 earnings

Positive

+23.1%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-8.1%

Q4 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026-6.9%-4.6%-7.4%
Q3 2025-0.7%-9.1%+69.1%
Q1 2025+9.4%+8.8%+37.6%
Q4 2024+3.3%+15.5%-23.4%
Q3 2024-6.6%-16.6%-32.2%
Q2 2024+3.8%+11.3%+12.8%
Q1 2024+1.5%-8.8%+27.2%
Q4 2023+17.6%+8.0%-30.9%
Q3 2023+16.7%+22.4%+23.8%
Q2 2023-1.2%-2.1%-26.6%
Q1 2023+4.2%+3.7%-40.7%
Q4 2022+3.8%-8.0%-15.0%
Q3 2022-0.4%+16.6%+15.8%
Q2 2022+3.1%+17.2%+10.2%
Q1 2022+23.1%+25.0%+51.2%
Q4 2021-5.1%-11.0%-43.8%
Q3 2021+1.3%+0.2%-3.4%
Q2 2021-4.6%-13.7%+11.6%
Q1 2021+1.1%+9.3%+12.6%
Q4 2020-8.1%-17.4%-29.5%
Q3 2020+3.5%+9.1%+13.0%
Q2 2020+6.6%-1.2%+8.9%
Q1 2020
Q4 2019
Q3 2019
Q2 2019
Q1 2019
Q4 2018
Q3 2018
Q2 2018
Q1 2018

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