NASDAQ$ALT

Altimmune Inc · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Altimmune reported financial results for Q4 2021 and provided a corporate update.

Altimmune reported a revenue of $3.3 million for the three months ended December 31, 2021, compared to $2.3 million in the same period in 2020. The net loss for the three months ended December 31, 2021 was $23.9 million, or $0.57 net loss per share, compared to $10.6 million in the same period in 2020, or $0.29 net loss per share. The company had cash, cash equivalents, short-term investments and restricted cash totaling $190.3 million at December 31, 2021.

  • Data readouts from multiple clinical trials expected during the next 6 to 12 months
  • Strong cash position of $190.3 million as of December 31, 2021
  • Initiation of the Phase 2 MOMENTUM trial of pemvidutide in obesity expected in the first quarter of 2022
  • Topline data from the extension trial expected in Q4 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.28M

Previous: $2.31M+41.7%
EPS (adj)

-$0.57

Previous: -$0.17-235.3%
Capital Expenditures

$147K

Previous: $104K+41.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$22.1M

Previous: -$13.5M-63.6%
Net Income

-$23.9M

Previous: -$49M+51.3%
Operating Income

-$24M

Previous: -$54.8M+56.2%
Gross Profit

-$17.8M

Previous: -$12.7M-40.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$190M

Previous: $116M+64.2%
Total Assets

$219M

Previous: $245M-10.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.32M

Previous: $710K+85.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Altimmune · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.28M

Q4 2021+41.7%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 6 of 16 quarters(38%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Altimmune anticipates value-creating data readouts from multiple clinical trials in the next 12 months and expects to read out their HepTcell trial in the first half of 2023.

Tailwinds

  • Phase 1b nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) trial data readout expected in Q3 2022
  • Interim analysis planned to assess changes in body weight after 24 weeks of treatment, with an expected readout in Q4 2022
  • Topline data from the extension trial expected in Q4 2022
  • Results of a drug-drug interaction trial of pemvidutide expected in the first half of 2022
  • Study readout for Phase 2 clinical trial in chronic hepatitis B subjects, with study readout expected H1 2023

Headwinds

  • Potential impacts due to crises, including conflicts and wars (like the ongoing conflict in Ukraine) and pandemics (like the COVID-19 pandemic), such as delays in regulatory review, manufacturing and supply chain interruptions, access to clinical sites, enrollment, adverse effects on healthcare systems and disruption of the global economy
  • The reliability of the results of studies relating to human safety and possible adverse effects resulting from the administration of the Company’s product candidates
  • The Company’s ability to manufacture clinical trial materials on the timelines anticipated
  • The success of future product advancements, including the success of future clinical trials
  • Timing of key milestones for clinical assets

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

+2.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+5.6%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

21 / 35 earnings

Positive

+35.0%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-25.1%

Q3 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.0%-8.8%-15.3%
Q4 2025-17.6%-9.6%-21.8%
Q3 2025+5.1%+14.1%+39.7%
Q1 2025-4.2%-7.2%+19.0%
Q4 2024+8.1%+0.3%-10.4%
Q3 2024+29.5%+3.5%+16.9%
Q2 2024+12.2%+14.7%+12.7%
Q1 2024+0.8%+9.2%-9.8%
Q4 2023+17.7%+18.3%-16.1%
Q3 2023+1.1%-6.4%+146.4%
Q2 2023+2.0%-4.7%-16.9%
Q1 2023+2.2%-6.6%-19.7%
Q4 2022+1.9%-2.0%-64.3%
Q3 2022+10.3%+12.7%+4.2%
Q2 2022+35.0%+37.3%+55.4%
Q1 2022+31.0%+34.3%+117.0%
Q4 2021+2.2%+12.1%-18.7%
Q3 2021-0.5%+1.3%-12.3%
Q2 2021+6.6%+14.9%+56.8%
Q1 2021+5.2%+4.7%+23.0%
Q4 2020-18.6%-19.5%-29.3%
Q3 2020-25.1%-18.6%-1.1%
Q2 2020-13.5%-5.5%-54.3%
Q1 2020+21.4%+21.6%+103.8%
Q4 2019-7.1%-6.5%-2.8%
Q3 2019-8.0%-10.9%-1.7%
Q2 2019-6.5%-6.5%-0.9%
Q1 2019+2.7%-4.7%-3.5%
Q4 2018+3.4%+6.6%-0.7%
Q3 2018-6.8%-9.1%-31.5%
Q2 2018+4.9%+0.3%-21.0%
Q1 2018+10.8%-1.9%+1.7%
Q4 2017-8.3%-5.9%-36.0%
Q3 2017-1.0%-7.1%-25.1%
Q2 2017-10.3%-12.0%+11.6%
Q1 2017
Q4 2016
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q4 2012
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2011
Q1 2012
Q4 2011
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q4 2010
Q3 2010
Q2 2010
Q1 2010

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