NASDAQ$ALT

Altimmune Inc · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced financial results for Q3 2022 and provided a business update.

Altimmune reported minimal revenue and a net loss of $23.5 million for the third quarter of 2022. The company is focused on advancing pemvidutide for obesity and NASH, with data readouts expected in the near term.

  • Topline 24-week data from Phase 1b trial in subjects with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) expected mid-December 2022
  • Interim 24-week readout from MOMENTUM Phase 2 obesity trial expected Q1 2023
  • A 68.5% relative reduction in liver fat content was achieved at the 1.8 mg dose at Week 12, with 94.4% of subjects achieving a 30% reduction of liver fat
  • Randomization and first dosing of all subjects is complete in 48-week Phase 2 MOMENTUM obesity trial – 24-week interim analysis of approximately 160 subjects expected in Q1 2023

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2K

Previous: $158K-98.7%
EPS (adj)

-$0.48

Previous: -$0.81+40.7%
Cash and Short-term Investments

$202M

Previous: $200M+1.0%
R&D Expenses

$20.3M

No prior period
G&A Expenses

$4.49M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$88K

Previous: -$12M+99.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$23.6M

Previous: -$45.5M+48.1%
Net Income

-$23.5M

Previous: -$33.5M+29.8%
Operating Income

-$24.8M

Previous: -$33.2M+25.5%
Gross Profit

-$20.3M

Previous: -$29M+30.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$127M

Previous: $175M-27.1%
Total Assets

$225M

Previous: $237M-4.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.13M

Previous: $1.5M+42.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Altimmune · Revenue · Quarterly

$2K

Q3 2022-98.7%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 9 of 12 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Altimmune anticipates several key milestones in the near future, including data readouts from clinical trials of pemvidutide for NAFLD and obesity, and HepTcell for chronic hepatitis B.

Tailwinds

  • Topline 24-week data from NAFLD trial (12-week extension) expected mid-December 2022
  • 24-week interim analysis of MOMENTUM Phase 2 obesity trial expected in Q1 2023
  • Data readout from Phase 1b trial of subjects with type 2 diabetes expected in Q1 2023
  • Data readout from Phase 2 clinical trial of HepTcell in chronic hepatitis B expected in H2 2023
  • Pemvidutide demonstrated promising reductions in liver fat content, serum ALT levels and body weight in a 12-week Phase 1b clinical trial

Headwinds

  • Potential impacts from the ongoing conflict in Ukraine and COVID-19, such as delays in regulatory review, manufacturing and supply chain interruptions
  • Risks relating to the reliability of the results of studies relating to human safety and possible adverse effects resulting from the administration of the Company’s product candidates
  • The Company’s ability to manufacture clinical trial materials on the timelines anticipated
  • The success of future product advancements, including the success of future clinical trials
  • Forward-looking statements are subject to numerous assumptions, risks, and uncertainties, which change over time

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+2.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+5.6%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

21 / 35 earnings

Positive

+35.0%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-25.1%

Q3 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-2.0%-8.8%-15.3%
Q4 2025-17.6%-9.6%-21.8%
Q3 2025+5.1%+14.1%+39.7%
Q1 2025-4.2%-7.2%+19.0%
Q4 2024+8.1%+0.3%-10.4%
Q3 2024+29.5%+3.5%+16.9%
Q2 2024+12.2%+14.7%+12.7%
Q1 2024+0.8%+9.2%-9.8%
Q4 2023+17.7%+18.3%-16.1%
Q3 2023+1.1%-6.4%+146.4%
Q2 2023+2.0%-4.7%-16.9%
Q1 2023+2.2%-6.6%-19.7%
Q4 2022+1.9%-2.0%-64.3%
Q3 2022+10.3%+12.7%+4.2%
Q2 2022+35.0%+37.3%+55.4%
Q1 2022+31.0%+34.3%+117.0%
Q4 2021+2.2%+12.1%-18.7%
Q3 2021-0.5%+1.3%-12.3%
Q2 2021+6.6%+14.9%+56.8%
Q1 2021+5.2%+4.7%+23.0%
Q4 2020-18.6%-19.5%-29.3%
Q3 2020-25.1%-18.6%-1.1%
Q2 2020-13.5%-5.5%-54.3%
Q1 2020+21.4%+21.6%+103.8%
Q4 2019-7.1%-6.5%-2.8%
Q3 2019-8.0%-10.9%-1.7%
Q2 2019-6.5%-6.5%-0.9%
Q1 2019+2.7%-4.7%-3.5%
Q4 2018+3.4%+6.6%-0.7%
Q3 2018-6.8%-9.1%-31.5%
Q2 2018+4.9%+0.3%-21.0%
Q1 2018+10.8%-1.9%+1.7%
Q4 2017-8.3%-5.9%-36.0%
Q3 2017-1.0%-7.1%-25.1%
Q2 2017-10.3%-12.0%+11.6%
Q1 2017
Q4 2016
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016
Q4 2015
Q3 2015
Q2 2015
Q1 2015
Q4 2014
Q3 2014
Q2 2014
Q1 2014
Q4 2012
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2011
Q1 2012
Q4 2011
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q4 2010
Q3 2010
Q2 2010
Q1 2010

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