NASDAQ$ADP

Automatic Data Processing Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

ADP's Q4 2023 earnings report indicated revenue growth and increased profitability, driven by strong performance in Employer Services and effective management of client funds.

ADP reported an 8% increase in revenue to $4.5 billion for the fourth quarter, with net earnings up 24% to $777 million. Adjusted diluted EPS increased by 26% to $1.89. The company's Employer Services segment saw revenue growth of 11%, while PEO Services revenues increased by 4%.

  • Revenues increased by 8% to $4.5 billion, and 9% on an organic constant currency basis.
  • Net earnings increased by 24% to $777 million, and adjusted net earnings increased 25% to $781 million.
  • Diluted EPS increased by 25% to $1.87, and adjusted diluted EPS increased 26% to $1.89.
  • Employer Services revenues increased 11% on a reported basis and on an organic constant currency basis.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$4.48B

Previous: $4.13B+8.5%
EPS (adj)

$1.89

Previous: $1.50+26.0%
U.S. Pays Per Control

3.0%

Previous: 7.0%-57.1%
Average WSEs

722.0K

Previous: 704.0K+2.6%
Net Income

$777M

Previous: $625M+24.2%
Operating Income

$1.01B

Previous: $803M+25.2%
Gross Profit

$1.99B

Previous: $1.61B+23.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$2.08B

Previous: $1.44B+45.1%
Total Assets

$51B

Previous: $63.1B-19.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$43.8M

Previous: $55.5M-21.1%

Revenue & EPS history

ADP · Revenue · Quarterly

$4.48B

Q4 2023+8.5%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

ADP · $4.48B total across 2 segments · Q4 2023

  • Employer Services
    $3.02B+11.0%
  • PEO Services
    $1.46B+3.6%

Forward guidance

ADP provided its fiscal 2024 outlook, including revenue growth of 6% to 7%, adjusted EBIT margin expansion of 60 to 80 basis points, and adjusted diluted EPS growth of 10% to 12%.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue growth of 6% to 7%
  • Adjusted EBIT margin expansion of 60 to 80 basis points
  • Adjusted effective tax rate of about 23%
  • Diluted EPS growth of 10% to 12%
  • Adjusted diluted EPS growth of 10% to 12%

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.6%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

35 / 70 earnings

Positive

+10.8%

Q4 2017

Best reaction

-9.4%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026+0.0%+6.1%+11.4%
Q2 2026-1.2%-6.2%-14.5%
Q1 2026-6.6%-8.0%-8.7%
Q3 2025+1.6%+2.8%+10.1%
Q2 2025+0.8%+3.0%+5.7%
Q1 2025+0.4%+0.7%+6.6%
Q4 2024+1.4%+0.2%+7.0%
Q3 2024+0.1%+0.4%+1.3%
Q2 2024+3.6%+4.1%+4.7%
Q1 2024-9.0%-10.1%-4.1%
Q4 2023+4.3%+2.8%+5.2%
Q3 2023+2.1%+4.5%+0.4%
Q2 2023-5.7%-7.0%-7.3%
Q1 2023-1.2%+1.7%+11.0%
Q4 2022+9.9%+10.7%+14.9%
Q3 2022+3.3%-1.3%+1.1%
Q2 2022-9.4%-4.9%-5.8%
Q1 2022+1.9%+1.5%+4.9%
Q4 2021+0.5%+0.8%+0.5%
Q3 2021-3.8%-2.3%+0.1%
Q2 2021+1.3%+1.1%+5.8%
Q1 2021+8.3%+10.6%+20.0%
Q4 2020-9.4%-8.3%-3.6%
Q3 2020+2.6%+1.0%+2.4%
Q2 2020-1.8%-2.4%-13.2%
Q1 2020-0.4%-0.6%+4.9%
Q4 2019-0.4%-3.2%+2.9%
Q3 2019-3.6%-2.5%-2.6%
Q2 2019+4.4%+7.2%+14.9%
Q1 2019+2.7%+3.0%+7.4%
Q4 2018-1.4%+0.4%+8.7%
Q3 2018+3.6%+5.7%+11.7%
Q2 2018-0.3%-5.6%-6.0%
Q1 2018-2.7%-2.3%-1.4%
Q4 2017+10.8%+10.2%-1.3%
Q3 2017-4.7%-7.0%-2.9%
Q2 2017-4.6%-4.5%+3.5%
Q1 2017+2.8%+4.2%+9.6%
Q4 2016-6.3%-7.3%-5.4%
Q3 2016-1.9%
Q2 2016+0.8%
Q1 2016-2.2%
Q4 2015-3.1%
Q3 2015+0.7%
Q2 2015+2.4%
Q1 2015+2.2%
Q4 2014-0.7%
Q3 2014+0.8%
Q2 2014-1.0%
Q1 2014-1.7%
Q4 2013-0.7%
Q3 2013+1.9%
Q2 2013+2.0%
Q1 2013-0.7%
Q4 2012-1.4%
Q3 2012-1.6%
Q2 2012-1.6%
Q1 2012-0.7%
Q4 2011-0.7%
Q3 2011+0.7%
Q3 2010+0.7%
Q2 2011+0.1%
Q1 2011-0.7%
Q4 2008-0.2%
Q4 2010-0.2%
Q2 2009+0.7%
Q2 2010+0.7%
Q1 2009+1.7%
Q1 2010+1.7%
Q4 2009+1.7%

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