NASDAQ$ADP

Automatic Data Processing Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

ADP's Q1 2021 performance reflected strength and diversification amidst the COVID-19 pandemic, with revenues decreasing slightly but net earnings and EPS increasing.

ADP reported a slight decrease in revenue but an increase in net earnings and adjusted EPS for Q1 2021. The company raised its guidance for the remainder of fiscal 2021 due to strong performance and an improved outlook.

  • Revenues decreased 1% to $3.5 billion; decreased 1% organic constant currency.
  • Employer Services New Business Bookings grew 2%, reflecting record first quarter bookings.
  • Net earnings increased 3% to $602 million, and adjusted net earnings increased 4% to $605 million.
  • Diluted earnings per share (EPS) increased 4% to $1.40 for the quarter; adjusted diluted EPS increased 5% to $1.41.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.47B

Previous: $3.5B-0.7%
EPS (adj)

$1.41

Previous: $1.34+5.2%
U.S. Pays Per Control

-9.0%

Previous: 2.0%-550.0%
Average WSEs

547.0K

Previous: 563.0K-2.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$43.5M

Previous: -$56.8M+23.4%
Free Cash Flow

$559M

Previous: $526M+6.3%
Net Income

$602M

Previous: $582M+3.4%
Operating Income

-$1.01B

Previous: -$1.06B+5.2%
Gross Profit

$1.44B

Previous: $1.45B-1.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.61B

Previous: $1.4B+14.9%
Total Assets

$42.4B

Previous: $37.7B+12.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$33.8M

Previous: $37.1M-8.9%

Revenue & EPS history

ADP · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.47B

Q1 2021-0.7%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

ADP · $3.47B total across 2 segments · Q1 2021

  • Employer Services
    $2.38B-2.6%
  • PEO Services
    $1.1B+3.7%

Forward guidance

ADP provided its fiscal year 2021 outlook, including revenue, adjusted EBIT margin, adjusted effective tax rate and adjusted diluted EPS.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue decline of (1)% to growth of 1%.
  • Adjusted EBIT margin decline of (150) to (100) basis points.
  • Adjusted effective tax rate of 23.1%.
  • Diluted EPS decline of (4)% to flat.
  • Adjusted diluted EPS decline of (7)% to (3)%.

Headwinds

  • Employer Services revenue decline of (2)% to flat
  • Employer Services margin decline of (150) to (100) basis points.
  • Employer Services client revenue retention decline of (50) basis points to flat.
  • Decrease in pays per control of (4)% to (3)%.
  • PEO Services revenue flat to growth of 3%.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.6%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

35 / 70 earnings

Positive

+10.8%

Q4 2017

Best reaction

-9.4%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026+0.0%+6.1%+11.4%
Q2 2026-1.2%-6.2%-14.5%
Q1 2026-6.6%-8.0%-8.7%
Q3 2025+1.6%+2.8%+10.1%
Q2 2025+0.8%+3.0%+5.7%
Q1 2025+0.4%+0.7%+6.6%
Q4 2024+1.4%+0.2%+7.0%
Q3 2024+0.1%+0.4%+1.3%
Q2 2024+3.6%+4.1%+4.7%
Q1 2024-9.0%-10.1%-4.1%
Q4 2023+4.3%+2.8%+5.2%
Q3 2023+2.1%+4.5%+0.4%
Q2 2023-5.7%-7.0%-7.3%
Q1 2023-1.2%+1.7%+11.0%
Q4 2022+9.9%+10.7%+14.9%
Q3 2022+3.3%-1.3%+1.1%
Q2 2022-9.4%-4.9%-5.8%
Q1 2022+1.9%+1.5%+4.9%
Q4 2021+0.5%+0.8%+0.5%
Q3 2021-3.8%-2.3%+0.1%
Q2 2021+1.3%+1.1%+5.8%
Q1 2021+8.3%+10.6%+20.0%
Q4 2020-9.4%-8.3%-3.6%
Q3 2020+2.6%+1.0%+2.4%
Q2 2020-1.8%-2.4%-13.2%
Q1 2020-0.4%-0.6%+4.9%
Q4 2019-0.4%-3.2%+2.9%
Q3 2019-3.6%-2.5%-2.6%
Q2 2019+4.4%+7.2%+14.9%
Q1 2019+2.7%+3.0%+7.4%
Q4 2018-1.4%+0.4%+8.7%
Q3 2018+3.6%+5.7%+11.7%
Q2 2018-0.3%-5.6%-6.0%
Q1 2018-2.7%-2.3%-1.4%
Q4 2017+10.8%+10.2%-1.3%
Q3 2017-4.7%-7.0%-2.9%
Q2 2017-4.6%-4.5%+3.5%
Q1 2017+2.8%+4.2%+9.6%
Q4 2016-6.3%-7.3%-5.4%
Q3 2016-1.9%
Q2 2016+0.8%
Q1 2016-2.2%
Q4 2015-3.1%
Q3 2015+0.7%
Q2 2015+2.4%
Q1 2015+2.2%
Q4 2014-0.7%
Q3 2014+0.8%
Q2 2014-1.0%
Q1 2014-1.7%
Q4 2013-0.7%
Q3 2013+1.9%
Q2 2013+2.0%
Q1 2013-0.7%
Q4 2012-1.4%
Q3 2012-1.6%
Q2 2012-1.6%
Q1 2012-0.7%
Q4 2011-0.7%
Q3 2011+0.7%
Q3 2010+0.7%
Q2 2011+0.1%
Q1 2011-0.7%
Q4 2008-0.2%
Q4 2010-0.2%
Q2 2009+0.7%
Q2 2010+0.7%
Q1 2009+1.7%
Q1 2010+1.7%
Q4 2009+1.7%

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