NASDAQ$ADP

Automatic Data Processing Inc · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

ADP's Q3 fiscal year 2020 results were announced, showing revenue growth and increased earnings per share, but also reflecting the impact of COVID-19 on employment metrics.

ADP reported a 6% increase in revenues to $4.0 billion for Q3 fiscal year 2020. Diluted earnings per share increased by 10% to $1.90, and adjusted diluted EPS increased by 8% to $1.92. The company is revising its fiscal 2020 outlook due to the expected impact of COVID-19.

  • Revenues increased 6% to $4.0 billion; 6% organic constant currency.
  • Employer Services New Business Bookings decreased 9%.
  • Net earnings increased 9% to $821 million, and adjusted net earnings increased 8% to $829 million.
  • Diluted earnings per share increased 10% to $1.90 for the quarter, and adjusted diluted EPS increased 8% to $1.92.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$4.05B

Previous: $3.85B+5.2%
EPS (adj)

$1.92

Previous: $1.77+8.5%
U.S. Pays Per Control

1.9%

Previous: 3.1%-38.7%
Average WSEs

595.0K

Previous: 554.0K+7.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$139M

Previous: -$120M-15.8%
Free Cash Flow

$682M

Previous: $633M+7.6%
Net Income

$821M

Previous: $754M+8.9%
Operating Income

-$922M

Previous: $1.22B-175.4%
Gross Profit

$1.81B

Previous: $1.97B-8.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.71B

Previous: $1.83B-6.6%
Total Assets

$43.4B

Previous: $48.2B-10.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$33.4M

Previous: $45.2M-26.1%

Revenue & EPS history

ADP · Revenue · Quarterly

$4.05B

Q3 2020+5.2%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

ADP · $4.05B total across 2 segments · Q3 2020

  • Employer Services
    $2.81B+3.4%
  • PEO Services
    $1.24B+11.0%

Forward guidance

ADP provided its fiscal year 2020 outlook, which includes revenue growth of about 3% and adjusted diluted EPS growth of 4 to 7%.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue growth of about 3%.
  • Adjusted effective tax rate of 22.9%.
  • Diluted EPS growth of 6 to 9%.
  • Adjusted diluted EPS growth of 4 to 7%.
  • Employer Services revenue growth of 1 to 2%.

Headwinds

  • Adjusted EBIT margin down 25 to up 25 basis points.
  • Employer Services New Business Bookings decline of about 20%.
  • Employer Services client revenue retention down 30 to 50 basis points.
  • Decrease in pays per control of 2 to 2.5%.
  • PEO Services margins down 100 to 125 basis points.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.6%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

35 / 70 earnings

Positive

+10.8%

Q4 2017

Best reaction

-9.4%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026+0.0%+6.1%+11.4%
Q2 2026-1.2%-6.2%-14.5%
Q1 2026-6.6%-8.0%-8.7%
Q3 2025+1.6%+2.8%+10.1%
Q2 2025+0.8%+3.0%+5.7%
Q1 2025+0.4%+0.7%+6.6%
Q4 2024+1.4%+0.2%+7.0%
Q3 2024+0.1%+0.4%+1.3%
Q2 2024+3.6%+4.1%+4.7%
Q1 2024-9.0%-10.1%-4.1%
Q4 2023+4.3%+2.8%+5.2%
Q3 2023+2.1%+4.5%+0.4%
Q2 2023-5.7%-7.0%-7.3%
Q1 2023-1.2%+1.7%+11.0%
Q4 2022+9.9%+10.7%+14.9%
Q3 2022+3.3%-1.3%+1.1%
Q2 2022-9.4%-4.9%-5.8%
Q1 2022+1.9%+1.5%+4.9%
Q4 2021+0.5%+0.8%+0.5%
Q3 2021-3.8%-2.3%+0.1%
Q2 2021+1.3%+1.1%+5.8%
Q1 2021+8.3%+10.6%+20.0%
Q4 2020-9.4%-8.3%-3.6%
Q3 2020+2.6%+1.0%+2.4%
Q2 2020-1.8%-2.4%-13.2%
Q1 2020-0.4%-0.6%+4.9%
Q4 2019-0.4%-3.2%+2.9%
Q3 2019-3.6%-2.5%-2.6%
Q2 2019+4.4%+7.2%+14.9%
Q1 2019+2.7%+3.0%+7.4%
Q4 2018-1.4%+0.4%+8.7%
Q3 2018+3.6%+5.7%+11.7%
Q2 2018-0.3%-5.6%-6.0%
Q1 2018-2.7%-2.3%-1.4%
Q4 2017+10.8%+10.2%-1.3%
Q3 2017-4.7%-7.0%-2.9%
Q2 2017-4.6%-4.5%+3.5%
Q1 2017+2.8%+4.2%+9.6%
Q4 2016-6.3%-7.3%-5.4%
Q3 2016-1.9%
Q2 2016+0.8%
Q1 2016-2.2%
Q4 2015-3.1%
Q3 2015+0.7%
Q2 2015+2.4%
Q1 2015+2.2%
Q4 2014-0.7%
Q3 2014+0.8%
Q2 2014-1.0%
Q1 2014-1.7%
Q4 2013-0.7%
Q3 2013+1.9%
Q2 2013+2.0%
Q1 2013-0.7%
Q4 2012-1.4%
Q3 2012-1.6%
Q2 2012-1.6%
Q1 2012-0.7%
Q4 2011-0.7%
Q3 2011+0.7%
Q3 2010+0.7%
Q2 2011+0.1%
Q1 2011-0.7%
Q4 2008-0.2%
Q4 2010-0.2%
Q2 2009+0.7%
Q2 2010+0.7%
Q1 2009+1.7%
Q1 2010+1.7%
Q4 2009+1.7%

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