NYSE$UWMC

UWM Holdings Corp · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

UWM Holdings Corporation announced its fourth quarter and full year 2024 results, with total loan origination volume of $38.7 billion for Q4 2024 and $139.4 billion for the full year 2024.

UWM Holdings Corporation reported a net income of $40.6 million for the fourth quarter of 2024, a significant improvement from a net loss in the same period last year. The company achieved a total loan origination volume of $38.7 billion and a total gain margin of 105 basis points for the quarter.

  • Total loan origination volume for Q4 2024 was $38.7 billion, compared to $39.5 billion in Q3 2024 and $24.4 billion in Q4 2023.
  • Net income for Q4 2024 was $40.6 million, an increase from $31.9 million in Q3 2024 and a significant turnaround from a net loss of $461.0 million in Q4 2023.
  • The total gain margin for Q4 2024 was 105 basis points, a decrease from 118 basis points in Q3 2024 but an increase from 92 basis points in Q4 2023.
  • Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2024 was $118.2 million, up from $107.2 million in Q3 2024 and $99.6 million in Q4 2023.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$560M

Previous: $520M+7.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.02

Previous: -$0.23+108.7%
Total Origination Volume

$38.7B

Previous: $24.4B+58.6%
Total Gain Margin

1.1%

Previous: 0.9%+14.1%
Adjusted EBITDA

$118M

Previous: $99.6M+18.7%
MSR UPB

$242B

Previous: $299B-19.1%
MSR WAC

4.8%

Previous: 4.4%+7.4%
MSR Weighted Average Age

24

Previous: 21+14.3%
Purchase Originations

$21.9B

Previous: $20.7B+5.7%
Refinance Originations

$16.8B

Previous: $3.69B+355.5%
Net Income

$40.6M

Previous: -$461M+108.8%
Operating Income

$42.3M

Previous: -$468M+109.0%

Revenue & EPS history

UWM · Revenue · Quarterly

$560M

Q4 2024+7.8%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 5 of 14 quarters(36%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

UWM · $677M total across 4 segments · Q3 2023

  • Loan Production Income
    $289M+67.6%
  • Loan Servicing Income
    $200M+1.9%
  • Interest Income
    $94.8M+21.3%
  • MSR Fair Value Change
    $92.9M-60.8%

Forward guidance

For the first quarter of 2025, UWM anticipates production to be in the range of $28 billion to $35 billion, with a gain margin from 90 to 115 basis points.

Tailwinds

  • Anticipated loan production volume for Q1 2025 is expected to be between $28 billion and $35 billion.
  • Expected gain margin for Q1 2025 is projected to be between 90 and 115 basis points.
  • The company's winning formula coupled with the momentum of the broker channel is expected to continue to be a championship combination.
  • Continued investment in people and technology is expected to allow for double the volume without adding to fixed costs.
  • The broker channel is noted as incredibly strong and posting a higher share of the industry.

Headwinds

  • The industry faced a challenging year in 2024, with the lowest year for existing home sales since 1995.
  • Interest rate environment remains a factor influencing refinance volume.
  • Macroeconomic and U.S. residential real estate market conditions, including changes in U.S. monetary policies, could impact results.
  • Reliance on warehouse and MSR facilities carries the risk of a decrease in collateral value causing unanticipated margin calls.
  • The ability to sell loans in the secondary market and dependence on government-sponsored entities are ongoing risks.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

-1.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.5%

Avg return

30 days after

29%

6 / 21 earnings

Positive

+28.2%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-16.8%

Q1 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.2%-11.2%-28.4%
Q4 2025-9.0%-5.0%-25.0%
Q3 2025-10.1%-3.4%+1.2%
Q1 2025-14.7%-11.3%-13.8%
Q4 2024-5.8%-0.2%-14.6%
Q3 2024-6.0%-9.2%-2.4%
Q2 2024-6.5%-3.8%+2.3%
Q1 2024-0.7%+2.8%+2.8%
Q4 2023-4.9%-4.6%+8.2%
Q3 2023+4.3%+6.9%+15.6%
Q2 2023-1.6%-4.0%-16.3%
Q1 2023-16.8%-11.3%-7.4%
Q4 2022+12.7%+11.7%+15.3%
Q3 2022+28.2%+22.3%+44.7%
Q2 2022-0.5%+1.0%-9.2%
Q1 2022+0.3%+8.9%+18.1%
Q4 2021+7.4%-4.1%+4.4%
Q3 2021-1.5%-2.2%-3.8%
Q2 2021-7.0%-7.6%-8.5%
Q1 2021-2.4%+7.9%+43.1%
Q4 2020+0.6%-7.9%-16.0%
Q4 2019

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