NYSE$TNET

TriNet Group Inc. · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

TriNet reported modest revenue growth but faced a net loss due to restructuring costs. Strong Worksite Employee retention was a key highlight.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.28B

Previous: $1.25B+2.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.44

Previous: $1.60-72.5%
Insurance Cost Ratio

95.0%

No prior period
Average WSEs

355.2K

Previous: 337.9K+5.1%
Total WSEs

360.7K

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA

$60M

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

4.7%

No prior period
Net Income

-$23M

Previous: $67M-134.3%
Operating Income

-$37M

Previous: $86M-143.0%

Revenue & EPS history

TriNet · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.28B

Q4 2024+2.6%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

TriNet · $1.04B total across 1 segment · Q3 2023

  • Insurance Service Revenues
    $1.04B-1.4%

Forward guidance

TriNet expects revenue to remain stable in FY25, with an emphasis on insurance repricing and operational efficiencies to drive margin improvement.

Tailwinds

  • Strong Worksite Employee retention supports future revenue stability.
  • Continued focus on insurance repricing to optimize costs.
  • Investments in benefits and tech-enabled service models expected to drive efficiencies.
  • Revenue expected to range between $4.9B and $5.1B in FY25.
  • Adjusted EPS guidance set between $3.25 and $4.75.

Headwinds

  • Restructuring costs will continue to impact short-term profitability.
  • Lower Adjusted EBITDA margin guidance (7%-9% vs. 9.6% in FY24).
  • Ongoing insurance cost pressures affecting profitability.
  • Macroeconomic conditions may impact client demand and pricing strategy.
  • Expected decline in professional service revenue in FY25.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+0.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.1%

Avg return

30 days after

50%

27 / 54 earnings

Positive

+25.2%

Q4 2018

Best reaction

-39.2%

Q2 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.3%-1.1%+6.7%
Q4 2025-10.8%-7.7%-19.6%
Q3 2025-2.7%-4.4%-6.6%
Q2 2025-1.6%-0.4%+2.9%
Q1 2025-0.4%+1.0%+4.6%
Q4 2024-14.8%-21.7%-18.6%
Q3 2024-9.8%-6.5%+1.5%
Q2 2024-4.6%-4.2%-5.7%
Q1 2024-18.5%-19.7%-15.2%
Q4 2023+12.4%+8.9%+11.0%
Q3 2023-2.6%-8.9%-0.1%
Q2 2023+4.6%+9.0%+9.9%
Q1 2023+10.9%+12.5%+9.5%
Q4 2022+11.7%+15.5%-2.7%
Q3 2022-11.6%-12.1%-5.0%
Q2 2022+0.8%+2.0%+7.1%
Q1 2022-1.5%-4.2%-16.1%
Q4 2021+2.6%+3.6%+7.2%
Q3 2021+1.6%+4.4%+9.9%
Q2 2021+7.6%+13.2%+24.7%
Q1 2021-9.3%-8.2%-9.6%
Q4 2020-7.0%-5.3%-4.2%
Q3 2020-3.1%-4.6%+6.4%
Q2 2020+13.6%+6.7%+9.9%
Q1 2020+19.2%+6.1%+20.1%
Q4 2019+19.5%+14.7%-7.8%
Q3 2019-13.1%-14.3%-6.2%
Q2 2019+6.1%+0.7%-10.3%
Q1 2019+1.2%+5.5%+1.7%
Q4 2018+25.2%+26.2%+26.7%
Q3 2018+3.7%+2.6%-0.5%
Q2 2018-5.4%-5.0%+3.1%
Q1 2018+1.9%+0.8%+5.0%
Q4 2017+12.5%+11.8%+10.5%
Q3 2017+20.5%+20.4%+28.9%
Q2 2017+19.6%+17.6%+4.8%
Q1 2017+10.5%+7.2%+7.2%
Q4 2016+5.6%+5.2%+5.4%
Q3 2016+8.0%+5.4%+31.7%
Q2 2016-3.6%-3.1%-3.2%
Q1 2016+9.6%
Q4 2015-8.2%
Q3 2015-4.6%
Q2 2015-39.2%
Q1 2015-21.1%
Q4 2012-0.1%
Q4 2014-7.7%
Q3 2013+0.8%
Q3 2014-0.6%
Q2 2013+1.4%
Q2 2014+11.3%
Q1 2013-1.3%
Q4 2013-1.3%
Q1 2014-1.3%

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