NYSE$THG

The Hanover Insurance Group Inc · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Hanover experienced a net loss due to elevated storm activity, but made progress on its margin recapture plan.

The Hanover Insurance Group reported a net loss of $69.2 million for the second quarter of 2023, compared to a net income of $22.7 million in the prior-year quarter. The combined ratio was 111.3%, with catastrophe losses significantly impacting results. However, net premiums written increased by 8.6%, and the company is focused on margin recapture and leveraging its diversified portfolio for profitable growth.

  • Combined ratio was 111.3%, or 92.8% excluding catastrophes.
  • Catastrophe losses totaled $261.6 million, driven by convective storms and hail damage, primarily affecting Personal Lines.
  • Net premiums written increased by 8.6%, with contributions from all segments.
  • Renewal price increases were 15.9% in Personal Lines, 11.4% in Specialty, and 11.3% in Core Commercial.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.5B

Previous: $1.29B+16.4%
EPS (adj)

-$1.91

Previous: $2.32-182.3%
Capital Expenditures

-$6.8M

Previous: -$9.9M+31.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$76M

Previous: $12.7M-698.4%
Net Income

-$69.2M

Previous: $22.6M-406.2%
Operating Income

-$79.4M

Previous: $115M-169.0%
Gross Profit

$71.8M

Previous: $178M-59.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$168M

Previous: $146M+14.9%
Total Assets

$14.2B

Previous: $13.6B+4.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$8.2M

Previous: $7.4M+10.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Hanover · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.5B

Q2 2023+16.4%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Hanover · $896M total across 2 segments · Q2 2023

  • Personal Lines
    $576M+0.0%
  • Specialty
    $320M+5.8%

Forward guidance

The Hanover is focused on advancing its margin recapture plan and leveraging its diversified portfolio to drive long-term, sustainable profitable growth. They are implementing pricing actions and changes to product terms and conditions to restore profitability in Personal Lines.

Tailwinds

  • Renewal pricing in Personal Lines continues to track above original expectations, with average price increases of 21.7% in homeowners and 12.0% in auto.
  • Changes to product terms and conditions in homeowners are expected to come online starting in the third quarter, foreshadowing meaningful improvement in this business.
  • Specialty business continued to deliver exceptional results, generating an 88.4% combined ratio and solid premium growth of 7.6%.
  • Core Commercial business significantly reduced ex-CAT large losses and posted an improvement in the loss ratio compared to the second quarter last year, while increasing pricing by 11.3%.
  • Expense ratio of 30.6%, keeping the company on track to achieve its savings target for the full year 2023.

Headwinds

  • Elevated storm activity presented challenges for the industry.
  • Net loss of $69.2 million, or $(1.94) per basic share, in the second quarter of 2023.
  • Personal Lines operating loss before income taxes was $194.1 million.
  • Personal Lines combined ratio was 138.0%, compared to 103.2% in the prior-year quarter.
  • Book value per share decreased by 6.4% from March 31, 2023.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

+0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.0%

Avg return

30 days after

66%

45 / 68 earnings

Positive

+8.2%

Q4 2016

Best reaction

-4.6%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.6%+4.0%+4.9%
Q4 2025+0.6%-1.4%+2.1%
Q3 2025+1.2%+4.0%+10.2%
Q1 2025-0.3%+0.7%+5.9%
Q4 2024+4.8%+5.9%+8.8%
Q3 2024-0.0%-0.8%+11.2%
Q2 2024-2.8%-3.8%+5.9%
Q1 2024+0.7%+3.8%+1.6%
Q4 2023-1.1%-1.9%-3.0%
Q3 2023-0.5%-0.1%+6.7%
Q2 2023-1.9%+0.1%-4.5%
Q1 2023+1.3%-0.4%-6.2%
Q4 2022+2.3%+0.3%+8.9%
Q3 2022-3.4%-1.5%-0.7%
Q2 2022-4.6%-5.5%-3.5%
Q1 2022+3.7%+2.2%+0.4%
Q4 2021+3.5%+4.0%+5.1%
Q3 2021-3.5%-3.4%-4.5%
Q2 2021+0.4%+2.8%+5.3%
Q1 2021+2.8%+4.4%+3.7%
Q4 2020+0.7%-0.4%+7.6%
Q3 2020-4.4%-3.8%+17.9%
Q2 2020+2.7%+3.6%+5.9%
Q1 2020+5.3%-3.7%+3.8%
Q4 2019+0.2%-0.5%-14.6%
Q3 2019+3.0%+2.0%+6.3%
Q2 2019+0.0%-1.2%+2.5%
Q1 2019+0.5%+1.3%+1.3%
Q4 2018+2.8%+3.3%+8.4%
Q3 2018-3.3%-2.3%+1.5%
Q2 2018-0.9%+0.3%-2.3%
Q1 2018-0.7%+1.2%+3.7%
Q4 2017+0.3%-2.4%-5.9%
Q3 2017+3.7%+7.1%+8.8%
Q2 2017+2.1%+2.2%+2.7%
Q1 2017-1.6%-4.0%-5.8%
Q4 2016+8.2%+4.5%+8.7%
Q3 2016+5.7%+4.2%+16.0%
Q2 2016-1.0%-2.4%-7.0%
Q1 2016-1.2%
Q4 2015-0.6%
Q3 2015+5.1%
Q2 2015+4.2%
Q1 2015+4.0%
Q4 2014+2.4%
Q3 2014+0.3%
Q2 2014+1.5%
Q1 2014+0.4%
Q4 2013+2.7%
Q3 2013-1.6%
Q2 2013+3.8%
Q1 2013+2.5%
Q4 2012+1.7%
Q3 2012-4.0%
Q2 2012-3.1%
Q1 2012-0.3%
Q4 2011+0.6%
Q3 2011-2.4%
Q2 2011+0.0%
Q1 2010+0.5%
Q1 2011-0.1%
Q4 2008+0.9%
Q4 2010+0.9%
Q3 2009+4.0%
Q3 2010+4.0%
Q2 2010+1.5%
Q2 2009+1.5%
Q4 2009+1.5%

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