NYSE$THG

The Hanover Insurance Group Inc · Q2 2022 earnings

Q2 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported second quarter net income and operating income with a combined ratio of 96.2% and combined ratio, excluding catastrophes, of 90.2%.

The Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. reported a net income of $22.6 million, or $0.63 per diluted share, in the second quarter of 2022. Operating income was $83.9 million, or $2.32 per diluted share, for the second quarter of 2022. Net premiums written increased by 10.4%.

  • Net premiums written increase of 10.4%, with strong growth from each segment
  • Rate increases of 6.9% in Core Commercial, 8.0% in Specialty and 3.2% in Personal Lines
  • Catastrophe losses of $77.4 million, or 6.0 points of the combined ratio, including favorable development on prior-year catastrophes
  • Net investment income of $70.5 million, below the prior-year quarter due to the elevated level of partnership income in the second quarter of 2021

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.29B

Previous: $1.29B-0.0%
EPS (adj)

$2.32

Previous: $2.85-18.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$9.9M

Previous: -$3.6M-175.0%
Free Cash Flow

$12.7M

Previous: $125M-89.8%
Net Income

$22.6M

Previous: $129M-82.4%
Operating Income

$115M

Previous: $137M-16.2%
Gross Profit

$178M

Previous: $304M-41.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$146M

Previous: $106M+37.1%
Total Assets

$13.6B

Previous: $13.7B-0.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$7.4M

Previous: $5.4M+37.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Hanover · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.29B

Q2 2022-0%vs Q2 2021
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Hanover · $879M total across 2 segments · Q2 2022

  • Personal Lines
    $576M+21.0%
  • Specialty
    $302M

Forward guidance

The company expects the ex-CAT combined ratio to be in the range of 90.5% to 91.5%. In addition, they expect pre-tax net investment income to be in the range of $280 to $285 million.

Tailwinds

  • The company anticipates some continuing near-term pressure within Personal Lines
  • The company has full confidence in their ability to achieve their 14% long-term operating ROE target
  • The company will leverage their specialized capabilities
  • The company will deliver substantial shareholder value
  • The current rising interest rate environment to be a long-term positive as robust insurance cashflow and maturing assets are reinvested at higher yields

Headwinds

  • Continued elevated inflation
  • Supply chain disruption
  • Increase of one point from the original 2022 outlook for ex-CAT combined ratio
  • The updated range incorporates their year-to-date performance
  • Assumes no additional prior-year development

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2022

Historical avgQ2 2022

+0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.0%

Avg return

30 days after

66%

45 / 68 earnings

Positive

+8.2%

Q4 2016

Best reaction

-4.6%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.6%+4.0%+4.9%
Q4 2025+0.6%-1.4%+2.1%
Q3 2025+1.2%+4.0%+10.2%
Q1 2025-0.3%+0.7%+5.9%
Q4 2024+4.8%+5.9%+8.8%
Q3 2024-0.0%-0.8%+11.2%
Q2 2024-2.8%-3.8%+5.9%
Q1 2024+0.7%+3.8%+1.6%
Q4 2023-1.1%-1.9%-3.0%
Q3 2023-0.5%-0.1%+6.7%
Q2 2023-1.9%+0.1%-4.5%
Q1 2023+1.3%-0.4%-6.2%
Q4 2022+2.3%+0.3%+8.9%
Q3 2022-3.4%-1.5%-0.7%
Q2 2022-4.6%-5.5%-3.5%
Q1 2022+3.7%+2.2%+0.4%
Q4 2021+3.5%+4.0%+5.1%
Q3 2021-3.5%-3.4%-4.5%
Q2 2021+0.4%+2.8%+5.3%
Q1 2021+2.8%+4.4%+3.7%
Q4 2020+0.7%-0.4%+7.6%
Q3 2020-4.4%-3.8%+17.9%
Q2 2020+2.7%+3.6%+5.9%
Q1 2020+5.3%-3.7%+3.8%
Q4 2019+0.2%-0.5%-14.6%
Q3 2019+3.0%+2.0%+6.3%
Q2 2019+0.0%-1.2%+2.5%
Q1 2019+0.5%+1.3%+1.3%
Q4 2018+2.8%+3.3%+8.4%
Q3 2018-3.3%-2.3%+1.5%
Q2 2018-0.9%+0.3%-2.3%
Q1 2018-0.7%+1.2%+3.7%
Q4 2017+0.3%-2.4%-5.9%
Q3 2017+3.7%+7.1%+8.8%
Q2 2017+2.1%+2.2%+2.7%
Q1 2017-1.6%-4.0%-5.8%
Q4 2016+8.2%+4.5%+8.7%
Q3 2016+5.7%+4.2%+16.0%
Q2 2016-1.0%-2.4%-7.0%
Q1 2016-1.2%
Q4 2015-0.6%
Q3 2015+5.1%
Q2 2015+4.2%
Q1 2015+4.0%
Q4 2014+2.4%
Q3 2014+0.3%
Q2 2014+1.5%
Q1 2014+0.4%
Q4 2013+2.7%
Q3 2013-1.6%
Q2 2013+3.8%
Q1 2013+2.5%
Q4 2012+1.7%
Q3 2012-4.0%
Q2 2012-3.1%
Q1 2012-0.3%
Q4 2011+0.6%
Q3 2011-2.4%
Q2 2011+0.0%
Q1 2010+0.5%
Q1 2011-0.1%
Q4 2008+0.9%
Q4 2010+0.9%
Q3 2009+4.0%
Q3 2010+4.0%
Q2 2010+1.5%
Q2 2009+1.5%
Q4 2009+1.5%

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