NYSE$THG

The Hanover Insurance Group Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Hanover's Q3 2023 results were impacted by severe weather, but underlying performance showed strength, particularly in Core Commercial and Specialty segments. The company is taking actions to address catastrophe losses and enhance profitability.

The Hanover reported a net income of $8.6 million, or $0.24 per diluted share, in Q3 2023, compared to $0.5 million, or $0.01 per diluted share, in the prior-year quarter. The combined ratio was 104.4%, impacted by catastrophe losses of $195.8 million. However, the combined ratio excluding catastrophes was 90.7%.

  • Combined ratio was 104.4%, but 90.7% excluding catastrophes.
  • Catastrophe losses totaled $195.8 million, driven by severe convective storm activity.
  • Net premiums written increased by 6.0%, with contributions from each segment.
  • Net investment income increased by 15.3% to $84.2 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.52B

Previous: $1.37B+11.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.19

Previous: $0.99-80.8%
Capital Expenditures

-$9.7M

Previous: -$13.9M+30.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$1.1M

Previous: -$13.7M+92.0%
Net Income

$8.6M

Previous: $200K+4200.0%
Operating Income

$13.7M

Previous: $53.9M-74.6%
Gross Profit

$159M

Previous: $150M+5.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$295M

Previous: $165M+78.7%
Total Assets

$12.3B

Previous: $13.7B-10.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$8.6M

Previous: $7.7M+11.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Hanover · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.52B

Q3 2023+11%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 15 quarters(53%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Hanover · $914M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Personal Lines
    $592M+10.6%
  • Specialty
    $322M+6.1%

Forward guidance

The Hanover is well-positioned in the market with a proven business strategy, broad and innovative capabilities, tremendous distribution partners, strong balance sheet, and exceptional talent, which will enable it to execute on long-term targets while delivering increased value for shareholders.

Tailwinds

  • Achieve additional price increases in the personal lines market.
  • Reshape the book of business.
  • Reach target profitability objectives.
  • Deliver adjustments on renewals in early 2024.
  • Drive additional growth in net investment income in the future.

Headwinds

  • Severe weather affecting results.
  • Elevated catastrophe loss trends.
  • Elevated homeowners current accident year loss and LAE ratio, excluding catastrophes.
  • Decrease in the fair value of fixed maturity investments.
  • Uncertainty around ultimate losses incurred, especially for “longer-tail” liability businesses

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.0%

Avg return

30 days after

66%

45 / 68 earnings

Positive

+8.2%

Q4 2016

Best reaction

-4.6%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.6%+4.0%+4.9%
Q4 2025+0.6%-1.4%+2.1%
Q3 2025+1.2%+4.0%+10.2%
Q1 2025-0.3%+0.7%+5.9%
Q4 2024+4.8%+5.9%+8.8%
Q3 2024-0.0%-0.8%+11.2%
Q2 2024-2.8%-3.8%+5.9%
Q1 2024+0.7%+3.8%+1.6%
Q4 2023-1.1%-1.9%-3.0%
Q3 2023-0.5%-0.1%+6.7%
Q2 2023-1.9%+0.1%-4.5%
Q1 2023+1.3%-0.4%-6.2%
Q4 2022+2.3%+0.3%+8.9%
Q3 2022-3.4%-1.5%-0.7%
Q2 2022-4.6%-5.5%-3.5%
Q1 2022+3.7%+2.2%+0.4%
Q4 2021+3.5%+4.0%+5.1%
Q3 2021-3.5%-3.4%-4.5%
Q2 2021+0.4%+2.8%+5.3%
Q1 2021+2.8%+4.4%+3.7%
Q4 2020+0.7%-0.4%+7.6%
Q3 2020-4.4%-3.8%+17.9%
Q2 2020+2.7%+3.6%+5.9%
Q1 2020+5.3%-3.7%+3.8%
Q4 2019+0.2%-0.5%-14.6%
Q3 2019+3.0%+2.0%+6.3%
Q2 2019+0.0%-1.2%+2.5%
Q1 2019+0.5%+1.3%+1.3%
Q4 2018+2.8%+3.3%+8.4%
Q3 2018-3.3%-2.3%+1.5%
Q2 2018-0.9%+0.3%-2.3%
Q1 2018-0.7%+1.2%+3.7%
Q4 2017+0.3%-2.4%-5.9%
Q3 2017+3.7%+7.1%+8.8%
Q2 2017+2.1%+2.2%+2.7%
Q1 2017-1.6%-4.0%-5.8%
Q4 2016+8.2%+4.5%+8.7%
Q3 2016+5.7%+4.2%+16.0%
Q2 2016-1.0%-2.4%-7.0%
Q1 2016-1.2%
Q4 2015-0.6%
Q3 2015+5.1%
Q2 2015+4.2%
Q1 2015+4.0%
Q4 2014+2.4%
Q3 2014+0.3%
Q2 2014+1.5%
Q1 2014+0.4%
Q4 2013+2.7%
Q3 2013-1.6%
Q2 2013+3.8%
Q1 2013+2.5%
Q4 2012+1.7%
Q3 2012-4.0%
Q2 2012-3.1%
Q1 2012-0.3%
Q4 2011+0.6%
Q3 2011-2.4%
Q2 2011+0.0%
Q1 2010+0.5%
Q1 2011-0.1%
Q4 2008+0.9%
Q4 2010+0.9%
Q3 2009+4.0%
Q3 2010+4.0%
Q2 2010+1.5%
Q2 2009+1.5%
Q4 2009+1.5%

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