NYSE$THG

The Hanover Insurance Group Inc · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

The Hanover reported a net loss but operating income increased, driven by growth in profitable businesses and improved combined ratio, excluding catastrophes.

The Hanover Insurance Group reported a net loss of $40.0 million for the first quarter of 2020, compared to a net income of $122.4 million in the prior-year quarter. However, operating income increased to $86.8 million, up from $80.7 million in the prior-year quarter. The combined ratio improved to 95.2%, and net premiums written increased by 3.5%.

  • Operating income of $2.23 per diluted share, up 13.8% from the prior-year quarter.
  • First quarter combined ratio of 95.2%, improved from 95.8% in the first quarter 2019; combined ratio, excluding catastrophes of 91.9%, improved from 92.2%.
  • Net premiums written increase of 3.5% primarily reflected growth in most profitable businesses.
  • Price increases of 5.9% in Core Commercial Lines and 5.1% in Personal Lines.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.06B

Previous: $1.22B-13.4%
EPS (adj)

$2.23

Previous: $1.96+13.8%
Combined Ratio

95.2%

Previous: 95.8%-0.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$3.2M

Previous: -$3.9M+17.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$43.2M

Previous: $119M-136.5%
Net Income

-$40M

Previous: $122M-132.7%
Operating Income

$117M

Previous: $110M+6.6%
Gross Profit

$91.1M

Previous: $290M-68.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$144M

Previous: $169M-14.6%
Total Assets

$12.3B

Previous: $12B+2.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$5M

Previous: $4.2M+19.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Hanover · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.06B

Q1 2020-13.4%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Hanover · $1.14B total across 2 segments · Q1 2020

  • Core Commercial
    $708M
  • Personal Lines
    $429M

Forward guidance

The company did not provide specific forward guidance but expressed confidence in managing through the impacts of COVID-19 and delivering superior industry results.

Tailwinds

  • Strong financial position
  • Thoughtful and conservative underwriting practices
  • Diversified and carefully constructed product portfolio
  • Broad-based profitability
  • Solid balance sheet and ample liquidity

Headwinds

  • Unprecedented times defined by the COVID-19 global pandemic
  • Uncertainty related to the impacts of COVID-19
  • Potential for economic disruption
  • Market volatility
  • Potential for increased claims

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

+0.9%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.0%

Avg return

30 days after

66%

45 / 68 earnings

Positive

+8.2%

Q4 2016

Best reaction

-4.6%

Q2 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+5.6%+4.0%+4.9%
Q4 2025+0.6%-1.4%+2.1%
Q3 2025+1.2%+4.0%+10.2%
Q1 2025-0.3%+0.7%+5.9%
Q4 2024+4.8%+5.9%+8.8%
Q3 2024-0.0%-0.8%+11.2%
Q2 2024-2.8%-3.8%+5.9%
Q1 2024+0.7%+3.8%+1.6%
Q4 2023-1.1%-1.9%-3.0%
Q3 2023-0.5%-0.1%+6.7%
Q2 2023-1.9%+0.1%-4.5%
Q1 2023+1.3%-0.4%-6.2%
Q4 2022+2.3%+0.3%+8.9%
Q3 2022-3.4%-1.5%-0.7%
Q2 2022-4.6%-5.5%-3.5%
Q1 2022+3.7%+2.2%+0.4%
Q4 2021+3.5%+4.0%+5.1%
Q3 2021-3.5%-3.4%-4.5%
Q2 2021+0.4%+2.8%+5.3%
Q1 2021+2.8%+4.4%+3.7%
Q4 2020+0.7%-0.4%+7.6%
Q3 2020-4.4%-3.8%+17.9%
Q2 2020+2.7%+3.6%+5.9%
Q1 2020+5.3%-3.7%+3.8%
Q4 2019+0.2%-0.5%-14.6%
Q3 2019+3.0%+2.0%+6.3%
Q2 2019+0.0%-1.2%+2.5%
Q1 2019+0.5%+1.3%+1.3%
Q4 2018+2.8%+3.3%+8.4%
Q3 2018-3.3%-2.3%+1.5%
Q2 2018-0.9%+0.3%-2.3%
Q1 2018-0.7%+1.2%+3.7%
Q4 2017+0.3%-2.4%-5.9%
Q3 2017+3.7%+7.1%+8.8%
Q2 2017+2.1%+2.2%+2.7%
Q1 2017-1.6%-4.0%-5.8%
Q4 2016+8.2%+4.5%+8.7%
Q3 2016+5.7%+4.2%+16.0%
Q2 2016-1.0%-2.4%-7.0%
Q1 2016-1.2%
Q4 2015-0.6%
Q3 2015+5.1%
Q2 2015+4.2%
Q1 2015+4.0%
Q4 2014+2.4%
Q3 2014+0.3%
Q2 2014+1.5%
Q1 2014+0.4%
Q4 2013+2.7%
Q3 2013-1.6%
Q2 2013+3.8%
Q1 2013+2.5%
Q4 2012+1.7%
Q3 2012-4.0%
Q2 2012-3.1%
Q1 2012-0.3%
Q4 2011+0.6%
Q3 2011-2.4%
Q2 2011+0.0%
Q1 2010+0.5%
Q1 2011-0.1%
Q4 2008+0.9%
Q4 2010+0.9%
Q3 2009+4.0%
Q3 2010+4.0%
Q2 2010+1.5%
Q2 2009+1.5%
Q4 2009+1.5%

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