NYSE$SON

Sonoco Products Co · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported financial results for the fourth quarter and full year, both ending December 31, 2020.

Sonoco's fourth-quarter net sales were $1.38 billion, up from $1.31 billion in 2019. Base earnings for the quarter were $0.82 per diluted share, compared with $0.75 in 2019. The company achieved record cash flow from operations and free cash flow in 2020.

  • Fourth-quarter 2020 GAAP loss per diluted share was $(0.12), compared with GAAP earnings per diluted share of $0.44 in 2019.
  • Base net income attributable to Sonoco for the quarter was $0.82 per diluted share, compared with $0.75 in 2019.
  • Fourth-quarter 2020 net sales were $1.38 billion, up from $1.31 billion in 2019.
  • On November 30, 2020, Sonoco sold its Europe contract packaging business for $120 million in cash, net of working capital and other adjustments.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.38B

Previous: $1.31B+5.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.82

Previous: $0.75+9.3%
Capital Expenditures

$77.5M

Previous: $48.9M+58.3%
Free Cash Flow

$349M

Previous: $138M+152.9%
Net Income

-$11.3M

Previous: $44.9M-125.1%
Operating Income

$17.2M

Previous: $81.9M-79.0%
Gross Profit

$275M

Previous: $247M+11.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$565M

Previous: $145M+288.8%
Total Assets

$5.28B

Previous: $5.13B+2.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.06M

Previous: $2.53M+60.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Sonoco · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.38B

Q4 2020+5.4%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Sonoco · $1.13B total across 2 segments · Q4 2020

  • Consumer Packaging
    $616M
  • Industrial Paper Packaging
    $509M

Forward guidance

Sonoco projects full-year 2021 base earnings to be in the range of $3.40 to $3.60 per diluted share and expects first-quarter 2021 base earnings to be in the range of $0.80 to $0.90 per diluted share. Full-year 2021 operating cash flow and free cash flow are expected to be in a range of $570 million to $600 million and $270 million and $300 million, respectively.

Tailwinds

  • Consumer Packaging segment should continue to benefit from consumers' at-home eating habits.
  • Demand in Industrial Paper Packaging served markets continues to show sequential improvement.
  • Expect solid demand in pharmaceutical and industrial markets.
  • Expect demand for cold-chain shipping solutions for FDA-approved COVID vaccines and therapeutics to expand as last-mile distribution systems become more organized.
  • Remain confident that Sonoco is well-positioned for when the grip of the pandemic weakens and will continue to invest to reinforce the long-term potential of our core businesses, while remaining committed to returning value to our shareholders.

Headwinds

  • Continue to face a negative price/cost relationship due to escalating year-over-year recovered paper, freight and other operating costs.
  • The ultimate impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Sonoco's full-year 2021 results remains uncertain.
  • Assuming that global business activity will begin to return to pre-pandemic levels after mid-2021.
  • Expect first-quarter 2021 base earnings to be lower compared to the first quarter of 2020, which included earnings from the divested Europe contract packaging business.
  • The Company's effective tax rate varies quarter to quarter leading to differences in our expected annual and quarterly effective tax rates.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

-0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

27 / 68 earnings

Positive

+9.7%

Q4 2025

Best reaction

-12.3%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.6%-0.6%-2.5%
Q4 2025+9.7%+9.3%+0.3%
Q3 2025-0.2%-3.2%-1.1%
Q1 2025-12.3%-3.8%-2.6%
Q4 2024-3.7%-3.2%-3.0%
Q3 2024-2.5%-4.2%-1.1%
Q2 2024-1.0%-6.8%+6.4%
Q1 2024-1.0%-0.8%+4.7%
Q4 2023+2.8%+0.0%+2.4%
Q3 2023+5.6%+7.5%+7.6%
Q2 2023+1.4%-2.1%-1.1%
Q1 2023-1.7%-0.8%-1.3%
Q4 2022-0.3%+0.4%-6.6%
Q3 2022-9.7%-10.6%-5.4%
Q2 2022+3.9%+5.3%+8.9%
Q1 2022-4.4%-8.5%-14.6%
Q4 2021-2.0%+0.4%-2.7%
Q3 2021-3.3%-3.7%-0.7%
Q2 2021-5.1%-4.1%-1.6%
Q1 2021+0.1%-0.4%+3.6%
Q4 2020-2.8%-3.0%+2.5%
Q3 2020-4.2%-9.2%+3.3%
Q2 2020+2.1%-0.1%+2.9%
Q1 2020+2.4%-4.4%-6.9%
Q4 2019+0.0%-0.1%-17.2%
Q3 2019-0.4%+0.1%+1.1%
Q2 2019-4.5%-5.0%-10.8%
Q1 2019-1.1%+0.6%+3.7%
Q4 2018-3.1%-1.3%-2.7%
Q3 2018+5.3%+1.8%+9.0%
Q2 2018+6.5%+5.2%+4.8%
Q1 2018+3.6%+3.6%+3.8%
Q4 2017-1.8%-3.3%-5.3%
Q3 2017+4.0%+2.4%+0.8%
Q2 2017-6.9%-6.7%-8.8%
Q1 2017+3.2%+2.9%-2.4%
Q4 2016-3.2%-2.1%-2.1%
Q3 2016-0.4%-2.2%+5.2%
Q2 2016+1.0%+1.8%+1.8%
Q1 2016-3.3%
Q4 2015+1.0%
Q3 2015+0.6%
Q2 2015-4.8%
Q1 2015-2.5%
Q4 2014+1.1%
Q3 2014+3.4%
Q2 2014-1.8%
Q1 2014+0.7%
Q4 2013+1.1%
Q3 2013+3.3%
Q2 2013+2.3%
Q1 2013-1.9%
Q4 2012+0.7%
Q3 2012+0.2%
Q2 2012-1.4%
Q1 2012+0.9%
Q4 2011+2.7%
Q3 2011+4.2%
Q2 2011-6.8%
Q1 2010-0.6%
Q1 2011-0.3%
Q4 2008-1.6%
Q4 2010-1.6%
Q3 2009-0.8%
Q3 2010-0.8%
Q4 2009-0.0%
Q2 2009-0.0%
Q2 2010-0.0%

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