NYSE$SON

Sonoco Products Co · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Sonoco's Q3 2023 results benefited from better than expected productivity and cost management, achieving sequential growth in sales, net income, and Adjusted EBITDA.

Sonoco reported Q3 2023 results with a net sales of $1.7 billion. GAAP earnings per share was $1.32 and adjusted earnings per share was $1.46. The company generated $617 million of operating cash flow in the first nine months of 2023. They raised full-year Adjusted EPS and Adjusted EBITDA guidance based on improved productivity and cost controls.

  • Achieved fully diluted earnings per share of $1.32 and Adjusted earnings per share (diluted) of $1.46.
  • Generated sequential growth in Sales, Net Income, and Adjusted EBITDA and improved Net Income Margin and Adjusted EBITDA Margin to 7.6% and 16.4%, respectively.
  • Continued near record results in the flexible packaging and the rigid paper container businesses in the Consumer Packaging and Industrial Paper Packaging segments.
  • Generated $617 million of operating cash flow in the first nine months of 2023 due to strong GAAP Net Income and disciplined working capital management.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.71B

Previous: $1.89B-9.5%
EPS (adj)

$1.46

Previous: $1.60-8.8%
Adjusted Operating Profit

$213M

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA

$280M

Previous: $225M+24.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$255M

Previous: -$237M-7.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$124M

Previous: -$115M-8.4%
Net Income

$131M

Previous: $122M+7.0%
Operating Income

$163M

Previous: $182M-10.4%
Gross Profit

$364M

Previous: $367M-0.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$258M

Previous: $182M+41.5%
Total Assets

$7.27B

Previous: $6.98B+4.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.91M

Previous: $6.39M-7.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Sonoco · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.71B

Q3 2023-9.5%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 2 of 15 quarters(13%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Sonoco · $1.52B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Consumer Packaging
    $938M-9.0%
  • Industrial Paper Packaging
    $580M-12.3%

Forward guidance

For the fourth quarter, Sonoco expects seasonally lower demand volumes and unfavorable index-based pricing impacts. They are raising full year Adjusted EPS and Adjusted Earnings guidance based on year-to-date results and their fourth quarter guidance. Additionally, they are expecting full year operating cash flow to be $850 - $900 million and free cash flow to be $600 - $690 million based on lower operating cash flow and lower capital expenses.

Tailwinds

  • Raising full year Adjusted EPS guidance based on year-to-date results and fourth quarter guidance.
  • Expecting full year operating cash flow to be $850 - $900 million.
  • Expecting free cash flow to be $600 - $690 million.
  • Focused on supporting customers.
  • Focused on continuous improvement programs.

Headwinds

  • Expect seasonally lower demand volumes in the fourth quarter.
  • Expect unfavorable index-based pricing impacts in the fourth quarter.
  • Weak macroeconomic backdrop.
  • Inflationary pricing pressures impact year-over-year demand in the Consumer segment.
  • Metal aerosol cans were below forecasts on persistent end market demand softness.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

-0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.7%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

27 / 68 earnings

Positive

+9.7%

Q4 2025

Best reaction

-12.3%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.6%-0.6%-2.5%
Q4 2025+9.7%+9.3%+0.3%
Q3 2025-0.2%-3.2%-1.1%
Q1 2025-12.3%-3.8%-2.6%
Q4 2024-3.7%-3.2%-3.0%
Q3 2024-2.5%-4.2%-1.1%
Q2 2024-1.0%-6.8%+6.4%
Q1 2024-1.0%-0.8%+4.7%
Q4 2023+2.8%+0.0%+2.4%
Q3 2023+5.6%+7.5%+7.6%
Q2 2023+1.4%-2.1%-1.1%
Q1 2023-1.7%-0.8%-1.3%
Q4 2022-0.3%+0.4%-6.6%
Q3 2022-9.7%-10.6%-5.4%
Q2 2022+3.9%+5.3%+8.9%
Q1 2022-4.4%-8.5%-14.6%
Q4 2021-2.0%+0.4%-2.7%
Q3 2021-3.3%-3.7%-0.7%
Q2 2021-5.1%-4.1%-1.6%
Q1 2021+0.1%-0.4%+3.6%
Q4 2020-2.8%-3.0%+2.5%
Q3 2020-4.2%-9.2%+3.3%
Q2 2020+2.1%-0.1%+2.9%
Q1 2020+2.4%-4.4%-6.9%
Q4 2019+0.0%-0.1%-17.2%
Q3 2019-0.4%+0.1%+1.1%
Q2 2019-4.5%-5.0%-10.8%
Q1 2019-1.1%+0.6%+3.7%
Q4 2018-3.1%-1.3%-2.7%
Q3 2018+5.3%+1.8%+9.0%
Q2 2018+6.5%+5.2%+4.8%
Q1 2018+3.6%+3.6%+3.8%
Q4 2017-1.8%-3.3%-5.3%
Q3 2017+4.0%+2.4%+0.8%
Q2 2017-6.9%-6.7%-8.8%
Q1 2017+3.2%+2.9%-2.4%
Q4 2016-3.2%-2.1%-2.1%
Q3 2016-0.4%-2.2%+5.2%
Q2 2016+1.0%+1.8%+1.8%
Q1 2016-3.3%
Q4 2015+1.0%
Q3 2015+0.6%
Q2 2015-4.8%
Q1 2015-2.5%
Q4 2014+1.1%
Q3 2014+3.4%
Q2 2014-1.8%
Q1 2014+0.7%
Q4 2013+1.1%
Q3 2013+3.3%
Q2 2013+2.3%
Q1 2013-1.9%
Q4 2012+0.7%
Q3 2012+0.2%
Q2 2012-1.4%
Q1 2012+0.9%
Q4 2011+2.7%
Q3 2011+4.2%
Q2 2011-6.8%
Q1 2010-0.6%
Q1 2011-0.3%
Q4 2008-1.6%
Q4 2010-1.6%
Q3 2009-0.8%
Q3 2010-0.8%
Q4 2009-0.0%
Q2 2009-0.0%
Q2 2010-0.0%

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