NYSE$RYZ

Ryerson Holding Corporation · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Ryerson reported a net loss for Q4 2022 and generated revenue of $1.3 billion.

Ryerson reported Q4 2022 results, including a revenue of $1.3 billion and a net loss attributable to Ryerson Holding Corporation of $24.1 million. The company generated operating cash flow of $181.6 million and reduced debt to $367 million. Despite a challenging quarter with margin compression, Ryerson expressed optimism for improved industry conditions moving into 2023.

  • Generated full-year revenue of $6.3 billion and fourth quarter revenue of $1.3 billion.
  • Record full-year Diluted EPS of $10.21 and fourth quarter loss per share of $0.65.
  • Generated operating cash flow of $501.2 million for the full-year and $181.6 million in the fourth quarter.
  • Reduced debt to $367 million and net debt to $328 million from $639 million and $588 million, respectively, compared to December 31, 2021.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.29B

Previous: $1.53B-16.0%
EPS (adj)

-$0.65

Previous: $2.68-124.3%
Tons shipped

465.0K

Previous: 474.0K-1.9%
Cash conversion cycle (days)

91.6

Previous: 83.8+9.3%
Capital Expenditures

$33.9M

Previous: $34.3M-1.2%
Free Cash Flow

$148M

Previous: $72.8M+102.9%
Net Income

-$23.8M

Previous: $106M-122.4%
Operating Income

-$27.4M

Previous: $148M-118.5%
Gross Profit

$163M

Previous: $327M-50.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$39.2M

Previous: $51M-23.1%
Total Assets

$2.33B

Previous: $2.37B-1.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.6M

Previous: $1.2M+116.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Ryerson · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.29B

Q4 2022-16%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 7 of 15 quarters(47%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ryerson · $1.27B total across 3 segments · Q4 2022

  • Carbon Steel
    $684M-18.9%
  • Stainless Steel
    $313M-23.1%
  • Aluminum
    $269M+1.1%

Forward guidance

Ryerson anticipates first quarter net sales to be in the range of $1.37 billion to $1.43 billion, with pricing decreasing 1% to 3%, and shipment volumes increasing 10% to 12%. LIFO expense in the first quarter of 2023 is expected to be $5 million. We expect adjusted EBITDA, excluding LIFO in the range of $78 million to $82 million and earnings per diluted share in the range of $0.98 to $1.06.

Tailwinds

  • Net sales to be in the range of $1.37 billion to $1.43 billion.
  • Shipment volumes increasing 10% to 12%.
  • Adjusted EBITDA, excluding LIFO in the range of $78 million to $82 million
  • Earnings per diluted share in the range of $0.98 to $1.06
  • Improving sequential margin and demand conditions

Headwinds

  • Pricing decreasing 1% to 3%
  • LIFO expense in the first quarter of 2023 is expected to be $5 million.
  • Elevated levels of economic uncertainty engendered by inflation
  • Macro-policy, and geo-political risks
  • Normal holiday seasonal slowdown of our manufacturing customers

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-3.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.3%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

19 / 47 earnings

Positive

+35.2%

Q1 2015

Best reaction

-26.6%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.5%-15.3%-4.0%
Q4 2025+17.5%-6.7%-20.7%
Q3 2025-6.6%-11.2%-2.8%
Q1 2025-14.8%-9.6%-11.2%
Q4 2024+5.9%+12.7%-0.3%
Q3 2024-2.7%-5.0%+12.7%
Q2 2024-5.9%-19.4%-21.2%
Q1 2024-19.4%-25.7%-24.8%
Q4 2023-6.2%+1.4%+11.0%
Q3 2023+6.6%+6.3%+11.9%
Q2 2023-15.0%-28.1%-27.4%
Q1 2023+1.9%-8.7%-10.0%
Q4 2022-3.9%-8.5%-10.9%
Q3 2022-26.6%-21.4%-8.7%
Q2 2022-1.2%-1.8%+5.6%
Q1 2022-11.6%-14.7%-19.4%
Q4 2021-8.1%+7.5%+57.8%
Q3 2021+1.8%+9.6%-9.8%
Q2 2021+18.6%+24.9%+55.6%
Q1 2021+3.9%+2.3%+0.8%
Q4 2020-15.0%-11.7%+13.0%
Q3 2020+12.1%+13.9%+56.8%
Q2 2020+2.4%-1.4%-2.6%
Q1 2020+2.5%+1.8%+45.8%
Q4 2019+7.9%-6.8%-50.3%
Q3 2019-3.8%+1.6%+20.1%
Q2 2019-7.4%-9.7%-8.3%
Q1 2019+13.3%+25.0%-10.8%
Q4 2018-7.0%+1.7%+12.7%
Q3 2018-6.4%+1.1%-10.8%
Q2 2018-6.9%+0.0%-10.0%
Q1 2018+11.7%+17.9%+29.6%
Q4 2017-8.8%-3.4%-18.6%
Q3 2017-0.6%-0.6%+2.8%
Q2 2017-0.6%-4.1%+0.6%
Q1 2017-20.9%-25.5%-34.2%
Q4 2016+8.9%+24.1%+31.9%
Q3 2016-14.9%-9.5%+46.8%
Q2 2016-10.7%-20.2%-10.8%
Q1 2016+8.4%
Q4 2015-5.5%
Q3 2015-5.4%
Q2 2015+12.6%
Q1 2015+35.2%
Q4 2014+3.0%
Q3 2014-16.9%
Q4 2013-0.4%
Q1 2014
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012
Q4 2011
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q4 2010
Q3 2010
Q2 2010
Q1 2010

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