NYSE$RYZ

Ryerson Holding Corporation · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Ryerson reported a net loss for Q4 2022 and generated revenue of $1.3 billion.

Ryerson reported Q4 2022 results, including a revenue of $1.3 billion and a net loss attributable to Ryerson Holding Corporation of $24.1 million. The company generated operating cash flow of $181.6 million and reduced debt to $367 million. Despite a challenging quarter with margin compression, Ryerson expressed optimism for improved industry conditions moving into 2023.

  • Generated full-year revenue of $6.3 billion and fourth quarter revenue of $1.3 billion.
  • Record full-year Diluted EPS of $10.21 and fourth quarter loss per share of $0.65.
  • Generated operating cash flow of $501.2 million for the full-year and $181.6 million in the fourth quarter.
  • Reduced debt to $367 million and net debt to $328 million from $639 million and $588 million, respectively, compared to December 31, 2021.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.29B

Previous: $1.53B-16.0%
EPS (adj)

-$0.65

Previous: $2.68-124.3%
Tons sold

465.0K

Previous: 474.0K-1.9%
Cash conversion cycle (days)

91.6

Previous: 83.8+9.3%
Capital Expenditures

$33.9M

Previous: $34.3M-1.2%
Free Cash Flow

$148M

Previous: $72.8M+102.9%
Net Income

-$23.8M

Previous: $106M-122.4%
Operating Income

-$27.4M

Previous: $148M-118.5%
Gross Profit

$163M

Previous: $327M-50.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$39.2M

Previous: $51M-23.1%
Total Assets

$2.33B

Previous: $2.37B-1.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.6M

Previous: $1.2M+116.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Ryerson · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.29B

Q4 2022-16%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 7 of 16 quarters(44%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ryerson · $1.27B total across 3 segments · Q4 2022

  • Carbon Steel
    $684M-18.9%
  • Stainless Steel
    $313M-23.1%
  • Aluminum
    $269M+1.1%

Forward guidance

Ryerson anticipates first quarter net sales to be in the range of $1.37 billion to $1.43 billion, with pricing decreasing 1% to 3%, and shipment volumes increasing 10% to 12%. LIFO expense in the first quarter of 2023 is expected to be $5 million. We expect adjusted EBITDA, excluding LIFO in the range of $78 million to $82 million and earnings per diluted share in the range of $0.98 to $1.06.

Tailwinds

  • Net sales to be in the range of $1.37 billion to $1.43 billion.
  • Shipment volumes increasing 10% to 12%.
  • Adjusted EBITDA, excluding LIFO in the range of $78 million to $82 million
  • Earnings per diluted share in the range of $0.98 to $1.06
  • Improving sequential margin and demand conditions

Headwinds

  • Pricing decreasing 1% to 3%
  • LIFO expense in the first quarter of 2023 is expected to be $5 million.
  • Elevated levels of economic uncertainty engendered by inflation
  • Macro-policy, and geo-political risks
  • Normal holiday seasonal slowdown of our manufacturing customers

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-3.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.3%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

19 / 47 earnings

Positive

+35.2%

Q1 2015

Best reaction

-26.6%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2025———
Q1 2026+3.5%-15.3%-4.0%
Q4 2025+17.5%-6.7%-20.7%
Q3 2025-6.6%-11.2%-2.8%
Q1 2025-14.8%-9.6%-11.2%
Q4 2024+5.9%+12.7%-0.3%
Q3 2024-2.7%-5.0%+12.7%
Q2 2024-5.9%-19.4%-21.2%
Q1 2024-19.4%-25.7%-24.8%
Q4 2023-6.2%+1.4%+11.0%
Q3 2023+6.6%+6.3%+11.9%
Q2 2023-15.0%-28.1%-27.4%
Q1 2023+1.9%-8.7%-10.0%
Q4 2022-3.9%-8.5%-10.9%
Q3 2022-26.6%-21.4%-8.7%
Q2 2022-1.2%-1.8%+5.6%
Q1 2022-11.6%-14.7%-19.4%
Q4 2021-8.1%+7.5%+57.8%
Q3 2021+1.8%+9.6%-9.8%
Q2 2021+18.6%+24.9%+55.6%
Q1 2021+3.9%+2.3%+0.8%
Q4 2020-15.0%-11.7%+13.0%
Q3 2020+12.1%+13.9%+56.8%
Q2 2020+2.4%-1.4%-2.6%
Q1 2020+2.5%+1.8%+45.8%
Q4 2019+7.9%-6.8%-50.3%
Q3 2019-3.8%+1.6%+20.1%
Q2 2019-7.4%-9.7%-8.3%
Q1 2019+13.3%+25.0%-10.8%
Q4 2018-7.0%+1.7%+12.7%
Q3 2018-6.4%+1.1%-10.8%
Q2 2018-6.9%+0.0%-10.0%
Q1 2018+11.7%+17.9%+29.6%
Q4 2017-8.8%-3.4%-18.6%
Q3 2017-0.6%-0.6%+2.8%
Q2 2017-0.6%-4.1%+0.6%
Q1 2017-20.9%-25.5%-34.2%
Q4 2016+8.9%+24.1%+31.9%
Q3 2016-14.9%-9.5%+46.8%
Q2 2016-10.7%-20.2%-10.8%
Q1 2016+8.4%——
Q4 2015-5.5%——
Q3 2015-5.4%——
Q2 2015+12.6%——
Q1 2015+35.2%——
Q4 2014+3.0%——
Q3 2014-16.9%——
Q4 2013-0.4%——
Q1 2014———
Q3 2013———
Q2 2013———
Q1 2013———
Q4 2012———
Q3 2012———
Q2 2012———
Q1 2012———
Q4 2011———
Q3 2011———
Q2 2011———
Q1 2011———
Q4 2010———
Q3 2010———
Q2 2010———
Q1 2010———

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