NYSE$RYZ

Ryerson Holding Corporation · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Ryerson reported strong operating cash flow generation and a sequential reduction in debt, alongside an increase in the book value of equity.

Ryerson reported Q3 2022 results with a diluted EPS of $1.46 on $1.54 billion in revenue. The company generated $151.6 million in operating cash flow and $124.0 million in free cash flow, while also redeeming the final $50 million outstanding balance of senior secured notes. Ryerson reduced debt to $477 million and net debt to $426 million and increased book value of equity to $893 million.

  • Diluted EPS was $1.46 on $1.54 billion of revenue.
  • Net Income was $55.1 million and Adjusted EBITDA, excluding LIFO, was $78.5 million.
  • Operating Cash Flow was $151.6 million and Free Cash Flow was $124.0 million.
  • The final $50 million outstanding balance of 8.50% senior secured notes due 2028 was redeemed.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.54B

Previous: $1.58B-2.0%
EPS (adj)

$1.48

Previous: $3.25-54.5%
Net debt / LTM Adj. EBITDA, excl. LIFO

0.5

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$71.2M

Previous: -$25M-184.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$16.1M

Previous: $24.7M-165.2%
Net Income

$55.1M

Previous: $49.7M+10.9%
Operating Income

$84.5M

Previous: $184M-54.2%
Gross Profit

$271M

Previous: $365M-25.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$50.9M

Previous: $39.9M+27.6%
Total Assets

$2.55B

Previous: $2.44B+4.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.6M

Previous: $1.2M+116.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Ryerson · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.54B

Q3 2022-2%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 7 of 15 quarters(47%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ryerson · $1.22B total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Carbon Steel
    $647M
  • Stainless Steel
    $304M
  • Aluminum
    $273M

Forward guidance

Ryerson expects counter-cyclical business conditions to continue through the fourth quarter of 2022. Ryerson anticipates fourth quarter 2022 revenues in the range of $1.25 billion to $1.30 billion, with a sequential average selling price decrease of 7% to 11%, and a shipment volume decrease of 8% to 10%. LIFO income in the fourth quarter of 2022 is expected to be $20 million. We expect adjusted EBITDA, excluding LIFO in the range of $40 million to $44 million and earnings per diluted share in the range of $0.70 to $0.78.

Tailwinds

  • Benchmark carbon, aluminum and nickel price decreases are anticipated to continue into the fourth quarter
  • LIFO income in the fourth quarter of 2022 is expected to be $20 million

Headwinds

  • Sales volumes experience slow-down driven by seasonal declines in buying
  • Economies are decelerating in North America
  • Economies are decelerating in Europe
  • Economies are decelerating in China
  • Sequential average selling price decrease of 7% to 11%
  • Shipment volume decrease of 8% to 10%

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

-1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-3.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.3%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

19 / 47 earnings

Positive

+35.2%

Q1 2015

Best reaction

-26.6%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+3.5%-15.3%-4.0%
Q4 2025+17.5%-6.7%-20.7%
Q3 2025-6.6%-11.2%-2.8%
Q1 2025-14.8%-9.6%-11.2%
Q4 2024+5.9%+12.7%-0.3%
Q3 2024-2.7%-5.0%+12.7%
Q2 2024-5.9%-19.4%-21.2%
Q1 2024-19.4%-25.7%-24.8%
Q4 2023-6.2%+1.4%+11.0%
Q3 2023+6.6%+6.3%+11.9%
Q2 2023-15.0%-28.1%-27.4%
Q1 2023+1.9%-8.7%-10.0%
Q4 2022-3.9%-8.5%-10.9%
Q3 2022-26.6%-21.4%-8.7%
Q2 2022-1.2%-1.8%+5.6%
Q1 2022-11.6%-14.7%-19.4%
Q4 2021-8.1%+7.5%+57.8%
Q3 2021+1.8%+9.6%-9.8%
Q2 2021+18.6%+24.9%+55.6%
Q1 2021+3.9%+2.3%+0.8%
Q4 2020-15.0%-11.7%+13.0%
Q3 2020+12.1%+13.9%+56.8%
Q2 2020+2.4%-1.4%-2.6%
Q1 2020+2.5%+1.8%+45.8%
Q4 2019+7.9%-6.8%-50.3%
Q3 2019-3.8%+1.6%+20.1%
Q2 2019-7.4%-9.7%-8.3%
Q1 2019+13.3%+25.0%-10.8%
Q4 2018-7.0%+1.7%+12.7%
Q3 2018-6.4%+1.1%-10.8%
Q2 2018-6.9%+0.0%-10.0%
Q1 2018+11.7%+17.9%+29.6%
Q4 2017-8.8%-3.4%-18.6%
Q3 2017-0.6%-0.6%+2.8%
Q2 2017-0.6%-4.1%+0.6%
Q1 2017-20.9%-25.5%-34.2%
Q4 2016+8.9%+24.1%+31.9%
Q3 2016-14.9%-9.5%+46.8%
Q2 2016-10.7%-20.2%-10.8%
Q1 2016+8.4%
Q4 2015-5.5%
Q3 2015-5.4%
Q2 2015+12.6%
Q1 2015+35.2%
Q4 2014+3.0%
Q3 2014-16.9%
Q4 2013-0.4%
Q1 2014
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012
Q2 2012
Q1 2012
Q4 2011
Q3 2011
Q2 2011
Q1 2011
Q4 2010
Q3 2010
Q2 2010
Q1 2010

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