NYSE$RYZ

Ryerson Holding Corporation · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Ryerson reported a net loss but generated strong operating cash flow and free cash flow.

Ryerson reported Q3 2024 results with a net loss of $6.6 million, but generated $1.13 billion in revenue. The company also generated strong operating cash flow of $134.6 million and free cash flow of $103.4 million. They anticipate Q4 net sales to be in the range of $1.00 billion to $1.04 billion.

  • Revenue was $1.13 billion from 485,000 tons shipped with an average selling price of $2,323 per ton.
  • Net loss attributable to Ryerson Holding Corporation was $6.6 million, with a diluted loss per share of $0.20.
  • Operating cash flow was $134.6 million and free cash flow was $103.4 million.
  • The company expects customer shipments to seasonally and counter-cyclically decrease 8% to 10% in Q4.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.13B

Previous: $1.25B-9.6%
EPS

-$0.20

Previous: $1.00-120.0%
Tons sold

485.0K

Previous: 478.0K+1.5%
Gross margin

17.9%

Previous: 20.0%-10.5%
Gross margin, excl. LIFO

16.3%

Previous: 17.3%-5.8%
Adj. EBITDA, excl. LIFO

$21M

No prior period
Adj. EBITDA, excl. LIFO margin

1.9%

No prior period
Total debt

$522M

No prior period
Net debt

$487M

No prior period
Net debt / LTM Adj. EBITDA, excl. LIFO

3.8

No prior period
Cash conversion cycle (days)

79.3

No prior period
Avg selling price per ton

$2.32K

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$76.1M

Previous: -$96.5M+21.1%
Free Cash Flow

-$82.7M

Previous: -$61.5M-34.5%
Net Income

-$6.6M

Previous: $35M-118.9%
Operating Income

$5.3M

Previous: $56.3M-90.6%
Gross Profit

$202M

Previous: $249M-19.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$35M

Previous: $37.4M-6.4%
Total Assets

$2.53B

Previous: $2.43B+4.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.4M

Previous: $3.8M-10.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Ryerson · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.13B

Q3 2024-9.6%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 7 of 16 quarters(44%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ryerson · $1.22B total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Carbon Steel
    $647M—
  • Stainless Steel
    $304M—
  • Aluminum
    $273M—

Forward guidance

For the fourth quarter of 2024, Ryerson expects customer shipments to seasonally and counter-cyclically decrease 8% to 10%, quarter-over-quarter. The Company anticipates fourth-quarter net sales to be in the range of $1.00 billion to $1.04 billion, with average selling prices between decreasing 1% to increasing 1%. LIFO income in the fourth quarter of 2024 is expected to be $10 million. We expect adjusted EBITDA, excluding LIFO in the range of $10 million to $12 million and loss per diluted share in the range of $0.53 to $0.47.

Tailwinds

  • Net sales are expected to be in the range of $1.00 billion to $1.04 billion.
  • Average selling prices are expected to decrease 1% to increase 1%.
  • LIFO income is expected to be $10 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA, excluding LIFO, is expected to be in the range of $10 million to $12 million.
  • Ongoing cost-reduction work across our North America service center network

Headwinds

  • Customer shipments are expected to seasonally and counter-cyclically decrease 8% to 10%, quarter-over-quarter.
  • Loss per diluted share is expected to be in the range of $0.53 to $0.47.
  • Industry is experiencing a cyclical bottoming marked by twenty-four months of moving average demand and price contraction
  • Compressed margins, most notably in carbon steels and across the commodity spectrum with lagging OEM customer contract price resets
  • Investment related growth pains and disruptions across our network

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

-1.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

-3.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.3%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

19 / 47 earnings

Positive

+35.2%

Q1 2015

Best reaction

-26.6%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2025———
Q1 2026+3.5%-15.3%-4.0%
Q4 2025+17.5%-6.7%-20.7%
Q3 2025-6.6%-11.2%-2.8%
Q1 2025-14.8%-9.6%-11.2%
Q4 2024+5.9%+12.7%-0.3%
Q3 2024-2.7%-5.0%+12.7%
Q2 2024-5.9%-19.4%-21.2%
Q1 2024-19.4%-25.7%-24.8%
Q4 2023-6.2%+1.4%+11.0%
Q3 2023+6.6%+6.3%+11.9%
Q2 2023-15.0%-28.1%-27.4%
Q1 2023+1.9%-8.7%-10.0%
Q4 2022-3.9%-8.5%-10.9%
Q3 2022-26.6%-21.4%-8.7%
Q2 2022-1.2%-1.8%+5.6%
Q1 2022-11.6%-14.7%-19.4%
Q4 2021-8.1%+7.5%+57.8%
Q3 2021+1.8%+9.6%-9.8%
Q2 2021+18.6%+24.9%+55.6%
Q1 2021+3.9%+2.3%+0.8%
Q4 2020-15.0%-11.7%+13.0%
Q3 2020+12.1%+13.9%+56.8%
Q2 2020+2.4%-1.4%-2.6%
Q1 2020+2.5%+1.8%+45.8%
Q4 2019+7.9%-6.8%-50.3%
Q3 2019-3.8%+1.6%+20.1%
Q2 2019-7.4%-9.7%-8.3%
Q1 2019+13.3%+25.0%-10.8%
Q4 2018-7.0%+1.7%+12.7%
Q3 2018-6.4%+1.1%-10.8%
Q2 2018-6.9%+0.0%-10.0%
Q1 2018+11.7%+17.9%+29.6%
Q4 2017-8.8%-3.4%-18.6%
Q3 2017-0.6%-0.6%+2.8%
Q2 2017-0.6%-4.1%+0.6%
Q1 2017-20.9%-25.5%-34.2%
Q4 2016+8.9%+24.1%+31.9%
Q3 2016-14.9%-9.5%+46.8%
Q2 2016-10.7%-20.2%-10.8%
Q1 2016+8.4%——
Q4 2015-5.5%——
Q3 2015-5.4%——
Q2 2015+12.6%——
Q1 2015+35.2%——
Q4 2014+3.0%——
Q3 2014-16.9%——
Q4 2013-0.4%——
Q1 2014———
Q3 2013———
Q2 2013———
Q1 2013———
Q4 2012———
Q3 2012———
Q2 2012———
Q1 2012———
Q4 2011———
Q3 2011———
Q2 2011———
Q1 2011———
Q4 2010———
Q3 2010———
Q2 2010———
Q1 2010———

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