NYSE$RVLV

Revolve Group Inc · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Achieved record results driven by strong execution on merchandising and operational initiatives.

Revolve Group reported strong Q3 2020 results with record net income of $19 million and record Adjusted EBITDA of $24 million, which increased 66% year-over-year. The company's highest-ever gross margin for a third quarter was a key driver of increased profitability.

  • Net sales decreased by 2% year-over-year, reflecting a 10-point improvement compared to Q2 2020.
  • REVOLVE segment net sales were $130.6 million, a decrease of 3.6% year-over-year.
  • FORWARD segment net sales were $20.5 million, an increase of 9.0% year-over-year.
  • International net sales increased 18% year-over-year, outperforming domestic net sales.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$151M

Previous: $154M-2.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.27

Previous: $0.13+107.7%
Gross Margin

55.3%

Previous: 53.6%+3.2%
Active Customers

1.5M

Previous: 1.4M+4.6%
Total Orders Placed

1.1M

Previous: 1.2M-4.4%
Average Order Value

$232.00

Previous: $275.00-15.6%
Adjusted EBITDA

$24M

Previous: $14.4M+66.4%
Capital Expenditures

-$1.84M

Previous: -$11.5M+83.9%
Free Cash Flow

$17.6M

Previous: -$1.9M+1027.0%
Net Income

$19.4M

Previous: $9.56M+103.3%
Operating Income

$21.8M

Previous: $12.8M+69.8%
Gross Profit

$83.5M

Previous: $82.7M+1.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$159M

Previous: $51.1M+210.3%
Total Assets

$291M

Previous: $222M+31.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$980K

Previous: $513K+91.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Revolve · Revenue · Quarterly

$151M

Q3 2020-2%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 8 of 9 quarters(89%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Revolve · $151M total across 2 segments · Q3 2020

  • REVOLVE Segment
    $131M-3.6%
  • FWRD Segment
    $20.5M+9.0%

Forward guidance

COVID-19 has continued to have a negative impact on REVOLVE’s operations and financial results in recent weeks since the end of the third quarter. During the month of October 2020, net sales declined by a high single digit percentage year-over-year.

Tailwinds

  • Categories such as beauty, accessories, intimates, sweaters / knits and swimwear remained strong in the third quarter.
  • Beauty was the standout with net sales increasing more than 100% YoY for the second consecutive quarter.
  • Customer shopping and purchasing behavior continues to be influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Sales of apparel products frequently worn at home and styles for active lifestyles have remained strong.
  • Rapid expansion of net sales into newer categories like beauty creates an exciting opportunity to acquire new customers.

Headwinds

  • The macro environment remains highly uncertain, as demonstrated by many U.S. states and international countries reporting higher levels of COVID-19 cases in recent weeks, and in many instances, imposing additional social distancing restrictions.
  • We believe the absence of an expanded U.S. stimulus measure in recent months, combined with high unemployment rates, adds to the challenging climate for our customer demographic.
  • During the month of October 2020, net sales declined by a high single digit percentage year-over-year.
  • Outfits for special occasions, such as dresses and skirts, continued to face tough YoY comparisons as many social events have remained on pause.
  • COVID-19 has continued to have a negative impact on REVOLVE’s operations and financial results in recent weeks since the end of the third quarter.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

-0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-4.7%

Avg return

30 days after

38%

12 / 32 earnings

Positive

+31.7%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-19.3%

Q4 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.0%-11.0%-17.6%
Q4 2025-5.4%-7.0%-15.4%
Q3 2025+12.2%+10.9%+30.0%
Q1 2025-9.6%+4.5%+17.6%
Q4 2024-5.0%-11.7%-21.4%
Q3 2024+31.7%+24.5%+43.1%
Q2 2024+30.8%+26.2%+21.2%
Q1 2024+4.6%+2.9%-13.5%
Q4 2023+25.8%+33.9%+24.7%
Q3 2023-2.9%-3.1%+5.9%
Q2 2023-7.5%-6.7%-21.3%
Q1 2023-7.8%-8.1%-17.6%
Q4 2022+1.1%+6.3%-1.2%
Q3 2022-3.4%-11.3%+20.5%
Q2 2022-8.2%+2.7%-19.1%
Q1 2022-16.0%-25.0%-29.6%
Q4 2021-1.6%-9.7%+3.4%
Q3 2021+6.2%+12.5%-9.0%
Q2 2021-17.4%-11.1%-17.8%
Q1 2021+9.8%-5.3%+6.7%
Q4 2020+8.3%+25.8%+20.4%
Q3 2020-3.8%-4.5%+10.2%
Q2 2020+27.6%+17.2%-4.8%
Q1 2019-8.4%-6.9%+3.2%
Q1 2020+3.0%-6.8%+4.3%
Q4 2017-19.3%-18.4%-57.0%
Q4 2019-11.0%-13.6%-51.3%
Q3 2019-16.9%-21.1%-14.9%
Q3 2018-16.9%-21.1%-14.9%
Q4 2018-1.4%-9.3%-4.1%
Q2 2018-1.4%-9.3%-4.1%
Q2 2019-12.9%-14.1%-25.9%
Q1 2018
Q3 2017
Q2 2017
Q1 2017

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