NYSE$RVLV

Revolve Group Inc · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Revolve Group announced financial results, achieving record EPS and operating cash flow, and improved inventory turns.

Revolve Group reported a decrease in net sales by 12% year-over-year, but achieved record EPS of $0.20 and record operating cash flow of $54 million. The company's REVOLVE segment inventory turned approximately 30% faster year-over-year, contributing to strong cash flow. Despite the decline in net sales, net income and Adjusted EBITDA increased year-over-year due to effective cost controls and operating efficiencies.

  • Record EPS of $0.20 was achieved during the quarter.
  • Record operating cash flow of $54 million was generated.
  • REVOLVE segment inventory turned approximately 30% faster year-over-year.
  • Net sales comparisons improved each month throughout the second quarter, with June 2020 increasing YoY.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$143M

Previous: $162M-11.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.20

Previous: $0.18+11.1%
Gross Margin

50.5%

Previous: 55.8%-9.5%
Active Customers

1.5K

Previous: 1.4K+12.8%
Average Order Value

$204.00

Previous: $275.00-25.8%
Capital Expenditures

$830K

Previous: -$9.76M+108.5%
Free Cash Flow

$14.2M

Previous: $2.99M+376.8%
Net Income

$14.2M

Previous: $12.7M+11.7%
Operating Income

$18.8M

Previous: $17.7M+6.1%
Gross Profit

$72.1M

Previous: $90.4M-20.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$151M

Previous: $44.8M+236.2%
Total Assets

$272M

Previous: $216M+26.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$868K

Previous: $521K+66.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Revolve · Revenue · Quarterly

$143M

Q2 2020-11.8%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 7 of 8 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Revolve · $143M total across 2 segments · Q2 2020

  • REVOLVE Segment
    $127M-11.8%
  • FWRD Segment
    $15.9M-11.6%

Forward guidance

Since the end of Q2 2020, COVID-19 has continued to have a negative impact on REVOLVE’s operations and financial results. During the approximately 6 weeks since the end of the second quarter on June 30, 2020 (July 1, 2020 through August 10, 2020), net sales growth remained positive and has increased by a low single-digit percentage year-over-year during the period.

Tailwinds

  • Net sales growth remained positive.
  • Net sales have increased by a low single-digit percentage year-over-year.
  • Net sales in the beauty category increased more than 100% for the fourth consecutive month.
  • Sales of other “at home” categories also increased significantly year-over-year.
  • Newly sourced and expanded relationships with third-party vendors and owned brand suppliers.

Headwinds

  • COVID-19 has continued to have a negative impact on REVOLVE’s operations and financial results
  • Majority of REVOLVE employees continue to work from their homes
  • All in-person brand marketing events remain on hold for the foreseeable future
  • Macro environment also remains highly uncertain
  • Net sales trends in dresses have improved in recent months, although YoY comparisons remain negative.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

-0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-4.7%

Avg return

30 days after

38%

12 / 32 earnings

Positive

+31.7%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-19.3%

Q4 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.0%-11.0%-17.6%
Q4 2025-5.4%-7.0%-15.4%
Q3 2025+12.2%+10.9%+30.0%
Q1 2025-9.6%+4.5%+17.6%
Q4 2024-5.0%-11.7%-21.4%
Q3 2024+31.7%+24.5%+43.1%
Q2 2024+30.8%+26.2%+21.2%
Q1 2024+4.6%+2.9%-13.5%
Q4 2023+25.8%+33.9%+24.7%
Q3 2023-2.9%-3.1%+5.9%
Q2 2023-7.5%-6.7%-21.3%
Q1 2023-7.8%-8.1%-17.6%
Q4 2022+1.1%+6.3%-1.2%
Q3 2022-3.4%-11.3%+20.5%
Q2 2022-8.2%+2.7%-19.1%
Q1 2022-16.0%-25.0%-29.6%
Q4 2021-1.6%-9.7%+3.4%
Q3 2021+6.2%+12.5%-9.0%
Q2 2021-17.4%-11.1%-17.8%
Q1 2021+9.8%-5.3%+6.7%
Q4 2020+8.3%+25.8%+20.4%
Q3 2020-3.8%-4.5%+10.2%
Q2 2020+27.6%+17.2%-4.8%
Q1 2019-8.4%-6.9%+3.2%
Q1 2020+3.0%-6.8%+4.3%
Q4 2017-19.3%-18.4%-57.0%
Q4 2019-11.0%-13.6%-51.3%
Q3 2019-16.9%-21.1%-14.9%
Q3 2018-16.9%-21.1%-14.9%
Q4 2018-1.4%-9.3%-4.1%
Q2 2018-1.4%-9.3%-4.1%
Q2 2019-12.9%-14.1%-25.9%
Q1 2018
Q3 2017
Q2 2017
Q1 2017

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