NYSE$RSG

Republic Services Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Republic Services reported solid revenue growth and improved profitability in Q4 2024.

Republic Services saw a 5.6% increase in revenue, driven by strong pricing and strategic acquisitions. Net income and EPS grew significantly, supported by higher margins and cost efficiencies.

  • Revenue grew 5.6% YoY to $4,046,000,000, supported by pricing and acquisitions.
  • Net income increased by 16.4% YoY, reaching $512,000,000.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded by 110 basis points to 31.0%.
  • EPS rose 17.3% YoY to $1.63, with adjusted EPS at $1.58 (+12.1%).

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$4.05B

Previous: $3.83B+5.6%
EPS (adj)

$1.58

Previous: $1.41+12.1%
Capital Expenditures

-$498M

Previous: -$548M+9.2%
Free Cash Flow

$524M

No prior period
Net Income

$512M

Previous: $440M+16.5%
Operating Income

$803M

Previous: $701M+14.6%
Gross Profit

$1.73B

Previous: $1.14B+51.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Republic Services · Revenue · Quarterly

$4.05B

Q4 2024+5.6%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Republic Services · $3.46B total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Collection
    $2.62B+7.8%
  • Landfill (net)
    $436M+5.8%
  • Environmental Solutions (net)
    $405M+1.9%

Forward guidance

Republic Services expects continued revenue growth and profitability in 2025, driven by pricing, acquisitions, and operational efficiencies.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue expected to grow to $16,850,000,000 - $16,950,000,000 in 2025.
  • Adjusted EBITDA projected to reach $5,275,000,000 - $5,325,000,000.
  • Adjusted EPS guidance of $6.82 - $6.90 for FY 2025.
  • Continued investment in sustainability and digital tools for efficiency.
  • Approximately $1 billion planned for acquisitions to drive growth.

Headwinds

  • Volume growth remains a challenge, with a projected range of -0.25% to 0.25%.
  • Cost inflation could impact margins despite pricing strategies.
  • Higher interest expenses may affect net income growth.
  • Potential macroeconomic headwinds could slow customer demand.
  • Increased capital expenditures for sustainability initiatives may weigh on free cash flow.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.0%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

44 / 73 earnings

Positive

+5.9%

Q4 2013

Best reaction

-6.6%

Q3 2012

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.8%+1.1%+4.5%
Q4 2025+0.4%+0.0%-0.9%
Q3 2025-2.1%-1.7%+3.4%
Q2 2025-0.4%+0.2%+1.0%
Q1 2025+1.2%+4.1%+5.0%
Q4 2024+3.1%+2.3%+3.3%
Q3 2024-0.8%-0.9%+8.9%
Q2 2024-4.9%-3.5%+3.6%
Q1 2024-3.8%-4.1%-5.9%
Q4 2023+0.6%-0.7%+3.6%
Q3 2023-1.1%+0.6%+8.7%
Q2 2023+0.4%-2.0%-3.7%
Q1 2023+5.4%+5.6%+2.8%
Q4 2022+4.1%+5.7%+4.7%
Q3 2022-0.3%-1.8%+2.4%
Q2 2022+1.1%+1.7%+1.7%
Q1 2022+1.2%-3.3%+0.6%
Q4 2021-5.8%-7.2%-0.9%
Q3 2021+4.2%+3.9%+4.6%
Q2 2021+2.6%+3.8%+7.1%
Q1 2021+1.9%+3.1%+0.5%
Q4 2020-1.8%-1.7%+8.4%
Q3 2020+3.4%+8.7%+1.9%
Q2 2020+4.7%+5.1%+8.1%
Q1 2020+1.7%+5.3%+12.5%
Q4 2019+2.0%+1.8%-13.7%
Q3 2019-0.4%-1.9%+0.9%
Q2 2019+4.1%+3.2%+0.8%
Q1 2019+1.6%+4.4%+6.6%
Q4 2018-0.9%+0.3%+0.7%
Q3 2018+1.0%+4.0%+9.6%
Q2 2018+2.7%+2.7%+3.7%
Q1 2018+3.9%+5.1%+5.1%
Q4 2017-4.1%-2.0%+6.7%
Q3 2017-1.0%-0.6%-0.5%
Q2 2017-0.8%-0.3%-0.7%
Q1 2017-0.4%+0.2%-0.3%
Q4 2016+2.8%+3.6%+7.2%
Q3 2016+1.3%+0.0%+8.5%
Q2 2016-0.8%-1.4%-2.2%
Q1 2016+1.2%
Q4 2015-0.2%
Q3 2015+0.1%
Q2 2015+2.3%
Q1 2015+3.7%
Q4 2014-3.2%
Q3 2014-2.4%
Q2 2014+0.9%
Q1 2014-1.3%
Q4 2013+5.9%
Q3 2013+3.0%
Q2 2013-2.4%
Q1 2013+3.3%
Q4 2012-1.4%
Q3 2012-6.6%
Q2 2012+3.9%
Q1 2012-0.1%
Q4 2011+0.1%
Q3 2011-3.6%
Q2 2011+0.0%
Q1 2011-0.1%
Q4 2007-1.4%
Q4 2010-1.4%
Q3 2010-5.0%
Q2 2010+1.5%
Q1 2009+4.7%
Q1 2010+0.2%
Q4 2009+1.7%
Q3 2008+3.2%
Q3 2009+3.2%
Q2 2009+2.6%
Q4 2008+2.6%
Q2 2008+2.6%

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