NYSE$RSG

Republic Services Inc · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Republic Services reported an increase in adjusted EBITDA margin and double-digit growth in adjusted earnings and adjusted free cash flow.

Republic Services reported net income of $260.0 million, or $0.81 per diluted share, for the three months ended September 30, 2020. On an adjusted basis, net income was $319.3 million, or $1.00 per diluted share. The company expanded adjusted EBITDA margin by 230 basis points and raised its full-year adjusted free cash flow guidance while reinstating full-year adjusted EPS guidance. The board authorized $2 billion for share repurchases.

  • Third quarter EPS was $0.81 per share; adjusted EPS was $1.00 per share, an increase of approximately 11 percent over the prior year.
  • Third quarter core price increased revenue by 4.5 percent, which consisted of 5.4 percent in the open market and 3.2 percent in the restricted portion of the business.
  • Third quarter adjusted EBITDA was $781 million, an increase of $41 million versus the prior year.
  • Third quarter adjusted EBITDA margin was 30.3 percent of revenue, increasing 230 basis points over the prior year, including a 70 basis point benefit from higher recycled commodity prices and lower fuel costs.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.05B

Previous: $3.14B-2.6%
EPS (adj)

$1.00

Previous: $0.91+9.9%
Adjusted EBITDA

$781M

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

30.3%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$889M

Previous: -$908M+2.1%
Free Cash Flow

-$629M

Previous: -$610M-3.1%
Net Income

$260M

Previous: $298M-12.8%
Operating Income

$448M

Previous: $468M-4.3%
Gross Profit

$1.52B

Previous: $1.5B+0.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$406M

Previous: $55.6M+630.9%
Total Assets

$23.1B

Previous: $22.3B+3.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$9.6M

Previous: $9.1M+5.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Republic Services · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.05B

Q3 2020-2.6%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 16 of 16 quarters(100%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Republic Services · $2.28B total across 3 segments · Q3 2020

  • Collection
    $1.92B
  • Landfill (net)
    $334M
  • Environmental Solutions (net)
    $24.1M

Forward guidance

Republic reinstated its full-year 2020 adjusted EPS guidance, expecting to generate $3.37 - $3.40. The Company now expects to generate $1.15 billion to $1.20 billion of adjusted free cash flow for the full year, assuming continued gradual improvement in economic activity through the remainder of the year.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.0%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

44 / 73 earnings

Positive

+5.9%

Q4 2013

Best reaction

-6.6%

Q3 2012

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.8%+1.1%+4.5%
Q4 2025+0.4%+0.0%-0.9%
Q3 2025-2.1%-1.7%+3.4%
Q2 2025-0.4%+0.2%+1.0%
Q1 2025+1.2%+4.1%+5.0%
Q4 2024+3.1%+2.3%+3.3%
Q3 2024-0.8%-0.9%+8.9%
Q2 2024-4.9%-3.5%+3.6%
Q1 2024-3.8%-4.1%-5.9%
Q4 2023+0.6%-0.7%+3.6%
Q3 2023-1.1%+0.6%+8.7%
Q2 2023+0.4%-2.0%-3.7%
Q1 2023+5.4%+5.6%+2.8%
Q4 2022+4.1%+5.7%+4.7%
Q3 2022-0.3%-1.8%+2.4%
Q2 2022+1.1%+1.7%+1.7%
Q1 2022+1.2%-3.3%+0.6%
Q4 2021-5.8%-7.2%-0.9%
Q3 2021+4.2%+3.9%+4.6%
Q2 2021+2.6%+3.8%+7.1%
Q1 2021+1.9%+3.1%+0.5%
Q4 2020-1.8%-1.7%+8.4%
Q3 2020+3.4%+8.7%+1.9%
Q2 2020+4.7%+5.1%+8.1%
Q1 2020+1.7%+5.3%+12.5%
Q4 2019+2.0%+1.8%-13.7%
Q3 2019-0.4%-1.9%+0.9%
Q2 2019+4.1%+3.2%+0.8%
Q1 2019+1.6%+4.4%+6.6%
Q4 2018-0.9%+0.3%+0.7%
Q3 2018+1.0%+4.0%+9.6%
Q2 2018+2.7%+2.7%+3.7%
Q1 2018+3.9%+5.1%+5.1%
Q4 2017-4.1%-2.0%+6.7%
Q3 2017-1.0%-0.6%-0.5%
Q2 2017-0.8%-0.3%-0.7%
Q1 2017-0.4%+0.2%-0.3%
Q4 2016+2.8%+3.6%+7.2%
Q3 2016+1.3%+0.0%+8.5%
Q2 2016-0.8%-1.4%-2.2%
Q1 2016+1.2%
Q4 2015-0.2%
Q3 2015+0.1%
Q2 2015+2.3%
Q1 2015+3.7%
Q4 2014-3.2%
Q3 2014-2.4%
Q2 2014+0.9%
Q1 2014-1.3%
Q4 2013+5.9%
Q3 2013+3.0%
Q2 2013-2.4%
Q1 2013+3.3%
Q4 2012-1.4%
Q3 2012-6.6%
Q2 2012+3.9%
Q1 2012-0.1%
Q4 2011+0.1%
Q3 2011-3.6%
Q2 2011+0.0%
Q1 2011-0.1%
Q4 2007-1.4%
Q4 2010-1.4%
Q3 2010-5.0%
Q2 2010+1.5%
Q1 2009+4.7%
Q1 2010+0.2%
Q4 2009+1.7%
Q3 2008+3.2%
Q3 2009+3.2%
Q2 2009+2.6%
Q4 2008+2.6%
Q2 2008+2.6%

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