NYSE$RSG

Republic Services Inc · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Republic Services reported a revenue increase driven by organic growth and acquisitions, expanded margins, and raised full-year financial guidance.

Republic Services reported strong second-quarter results with a 9 percent increase in total revenue, driven by organic growth and acquisitions. The company expanded net income margin by 60 basis points and adjusted EBITDA margin by 40 basis points. As a result, the company raised its full-year financial guidance.

  • Total revenue growth of 9.1 percent includes 4.7 percent of organic growth and 4.4 percent of growth from acquisitions.
  • Adjusted EPS was $1.41 per share, an increase of 6.8 percent over the prior year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $1,116.1 million and adjusted EBITDA margin was 30.0 percent of revenue.
  • Year-to-date cash invested in acquisitions was $926.9 million, all of which was in the recycling and solid waste business.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$4.32B

Previous: $3.96B+9.2%
EPS (adj)

$1.41

Previous: $1.32+6.8%
Adjusted EBITDA

$1.12B

Previous: $1.01B+10.5%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin

30.0%

Previous: 29.6%+1.4%
Net Income Margin

11.5%

Previous: 10.9%+5.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$714M

Previous: -$647M-10.4%
Free Cash Flow

-$287M

Previous: -$275M-4.2%
Net Income

$427M

Previous: $372M+14.9%
Operating Income

$707M

Previous: $590M+19.9%
Gross Profit

$2.1B

Previous: $1.89B+10.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$182M

Previous: $119M+52.1%
Total Assets

$29.8B

Previous: $28.2B+5.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$9.8M

Previous: $8.8M+11.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Republic Services · Revenue · Quarterly

$4.32B

Q2 2023+9.2%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Republic Services · $3.37B total across 3 segments · Q2 2023

  • Collection
    $2.54B+9.1%
  • Landfill (net)
    $431M+6.1%
  • Environmental Solutions (net)
    $398M+35.3%

Forward guidance

Republic Services raised its full-year 2023 financial guidance, expecting revenue to be in the range of $14.775 billion to $14.850 billion, adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $4.340 billion to $4.360 billion, adjusted diluted earnings per share to be in the range of $5.33 to $5.38, and adjusted free cash flow to be in the range of $1.900 billion to $1.925 billion.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue is expected to be in the range of $14.775 billion to $14.850 billion.
  • Growth from average yield on total revenue of approximately 6.0%.
  • Volume growth to be approximately 0.5%.
  • Average yield on related business revenue is expected to be approximately 7.0%.
  • Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be in the range of $4.340 billion to $4.360 billion.

Headwinds

  • Financial guidance is based on current economic conditions.
  • Guidance does not assume any significant changes in the overall economy in 2023.
  • New risk factors emerge from time to time and it is not possible to predict all such risk factors.
  • The impacts of the overall global economy and increasing interest rates.
  • Our ability to effectively integrate and manage companies we acquire, including US Ecology, and to realize the anticipated benefits of any such acquisitions.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.0%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

44 / 73 earnings

Positive

+5.9%

Q4 2013

Best reaction

-6.6%

Q3 2012

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.8%+1.1%+4.5%
Q4 2025+0.4%+0.0%-0.9%
Q3 2025-2.1%-1.7%+3.4%
Q2 2025-0.4%+0.2%+1.0%
Q1 2025+1.2%+4.1%+5.0%
Q4 2024+3.1%+2.3%+3.3%
Q3 2024-0.8%-0.9%+8.9%
Q2 2024-4.9%-3.5%+3.6%
Q1 2024-3.8%-4.1%-5.9%
Q4 2023+0.6%-0.7%+3.6%
Q3 2023-1.1%+0.6%+8.7%
Q2 2023+0.4%-2.0%-3.7%
Q1 2023+5.4%+5.6%+2.8%
Q4 2022+4.1%+5.7%+4.7%
Q3 2022-0.3%-1.8%+2.4%
Q2 2022+1.1%+1.7%+1.7%
Q1 2022+1.2%-3.3%+0.6%
Q4 2021-5.8%-7.2%-0.9%
Q3 2021+4.2%+3.9%+4.6%
Q2 2021+2.6%+3.8%+7.1%
Q1 2021+1.9%+3.1%+0.5%
Q4 2020-1.8%-1.7%+8.4%
Q3 2020+3.4%+8.7%+1.9%
Q2 2020+4.7%+5.1%+8.1%
Q1 2020+1.7%+5.3%+12.5%
Q4 2019+2.0%+1.8%-13.7%
Q3 2019-0.4%-1.9%+0.9%
Q2 2019+4.1%+3.2%+0.8%
Q1 2019+1.6%+4.4%+6.6%
Q4 2018-0.9%+0.3%+0.7%
Q3 2018+1.0%+4.0%+9.6%
Q2 2018+2.7%+2.7%+3.7%
Q1 2018+3.9%+5.1%+5.1%
Q4 2017-4.1%-2.0%+6.7%
Q3 2017-1.0%-0.6%-0.5%
Q2 2017-0.8%-0.3%-0.7%
Q1 2017-0.4%+0.2%-0.3%
Q4 2016+2.8%+3.6%+7.2%
Q3 2016+1.3%+0.0%+8.5%
Q2 2016-0.8%-1.4%-2.2%
Q1 2016+1.2%
Q4 2015-0.2%
Q3 2015+0.1%
Q2 2015+2.3%
Q1 2015+3.7%
Q4 2014-3.2%
Q3 2014-2.4%
Q2 2014+0.9%
Q1 2014-1.3%
Q4 2013+5.9%
Q3 2013+3.0%
Q2 2013-2.4%
Q1 2013+3.3%
Q4 2012-1.4%
Q3 2012-6.6%
Q2 2012+3.9%
Q1 2012-0.1%
Q4 2011+0.1%
Q3 2011-3.6%
Q2 2011+0.0%
Q1 2011-0.1%
Q4 2007-1.4%
Q4 2010-1.4%
Q3 2010-5.0%
Q2 2010+1.5%
Q1 2009+4.7%
Q1 2010+0.2%
Q4 2009+1.7%
Q3 2008+3.2%
Q3 2009+3.2%
Q2 2009+2.6%
Q4 2008+2.6%
Q2 2008+2.6%

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