NYSE$RMAX

RE/MAX Holdings · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

RE/MAX Holdings reported results for Q4 2019, which included a revenue increase due to the acquisition of the Marketing Funds and a decrease in net income.

RE/MAX Holdings reported a Q4 revenue of $68.2 million, up 34.1% year-over-year, primarily driven by the acquisition of the Marketing Funds. Net income attributable to RE/MAX Holdings was $2.9 million, a decrease of $3.3 million compared to the prior year. The company's total agent count increased by 5.3% to 130,889 agents.

  • Total revenue increased 34.1% to $68.2 million due to the acquisition of the Marketing Funds.
  • Net income attributable to RE/MAX Holdings decreased to $2.9 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA was $22.5 million, a decrease of 3.3% year-over-year.
  • Total agent count grew by 5.3% to 130,889 agents.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$68.2M

Previous: $50.8M+34.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.47

Previous: $0.49-4.1%
Total agent count

130.9K

Previous: 124.3K+5.3%
Net Income

$5.2M

Previous: $6.27M-17.1%
Operating Income

$9.98M

Previous: $21.4M-53.4%
Gross Profit

$50.8M

Previous: $50.8M-0.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$83M

Previous: $60M+38.4%
Total Assets

$542M

Previous: $428M+26.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$6.07M

Previous: $3.04M+100.1%

Revenue & EPS history

RE/MAX · Revenue · Quarterly

$68.2M

Q4 2019+34.1%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

RE/MAX · $92.2M total across 5 segments · Q2 2022

  • Continuing franchise fees
    $34.1M
  • Marketing Funds fees
    $22.9M
  • Broker fees
    $19.3M
  • Annual dues
    $9.02M
  • Franchise sales and other revenue
    $6.8M

Forward guidance

RE/MAX Holdings provided guidance for Q1 and full-year 2020, including expectations for agent count growth, revenue, and Adjusted EBITDA. The company anticipates that the First acquisition will be dilutive to 2020 Adjusted EPS but accretive to 2021 Adjusted EBITDA margin and Adjusted EPS.

Tailwinds

  • Agent count to increase 4.0% to 5.0% over first quarter 2019
  • Revenue in a range of $68.0 million to $71.0 million (including revenue from the Marketing Funds in a range of $17.5 million to $18.5 million)
  • Adjusted EBITDA in a range of $18.0 million to $20.0 million
  • Agent count to increase 3.0% to 5.0% over full-year 2019
  • Revenue in a range of $285.5 million to $289.5 million (including revenue from the Marketing Funds in a range of $73.0 million to $75.0 million)

Headwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA in a range of $96.0 million to $99.0 million
  • The acquisition to be dilutive to 2020 Adjusted EPS by $0.04 to $0.06 per share
  • Estimate to forgo $2 million to $3 million in non-Marketing Fund related revenue through the third quarter of this year.
  • First's legacy customer base transition
  • Effective U.S. GAAP tax rate attributable to RE/MAX Holdings is estimated to be between 18% and 20% in 2020.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.4%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.2%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

28 / 51 earnings

Positive

+13.0%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-13.7%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.7%-13.0%-10.0%
Q4 2025-2.2%-7.5%-16.1%
Q3 2025-3.3%-6.8%-0.6%
Q2 2025-9.2%-11.9%+10.6%
Q1 2025+3.4%+2.6%-3.1%
Q4 2024-10.2%-7.8%-12.3%
Q3 2024-7.7%+0.7%+7.0%
Q2 2024+13.0%+17.6%+26.2%
Q1 2024+7.1%+12.1%+12.4%
Q4 2023-3.5%-5.0%-11.5%
Q3 2023+2.7%-12.9%-14.7%
Q2 2023-1.6%+2.8%-16.1%
Q1 2023+2.6%-1.3%+1.9%
Q4 2022-13.7%-18.3%-25.9%
Q3 2022+1.0%-5.7%+12.2%
Q2 2022+2.4%+5.4%-12.8%
Q1 2022-2.4%+0.3%+2.2%
Q4 2021+1.5%+1.1%-4.5%
Q3 2021-6.3%-11.4%-0.1%
Q2 2021+2.3%+2.2%-0.3%
Q1 2021-1.6%-3.7%-6.3%
Q4 2020+1.3%-1.9%-5.2%
Q3 2020-3.8%-5.0%-2.6%
Q2 2020+6.5%+11.2%+5.7%
Q1 2020+3.3%+9.8%+39.4%
Q4 2019-12.8%-19.6%-54.4%
Q3 2019+9.6%+9.5%+13.7%
Q2 2019-2.9%-6.8%-11.7%
Q1 2019-6.0%-9.5%-30.4%
Q4 2018-1.2%-3.9%-9.3%
Q3 2018-6.0%-8.7%-11.8%
Q2 2018+1.5%+0.3%-0.5%
Q1 2018+0.1%+0.2%-3.4%
Q3 2017+8.6%+10.0%+12.8%
Q4 2017+8.6%+10.0%+12.8%
Q2 2017+9.4%+5.2%+7.2%
Q1 2017-1.9%-2.8%-7.5%
Q4 2016-3.2%-4.9%-6.1%
Q3 2016+5.9%+9.4%+23.3%
Q2 2016+1.4%+1.1%+0.1%
Q1 2016+1.8%
Q4 2015-1.2%
Q3 2015+2.9%
Q2 2015-0.7%
Q1 2015+6.0%
Q4 2014+3.9%
Q3 2014+1.1%
Q2 2014+5.0%
Q1 2014-4.3%
Q4 2013-4.7%
Q3 2013+3.5%
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012

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