NYSE$RMAX

RE/MAX Holdings · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported encouraging results driven by strategic execution and a strong U.S. housing market.

RE/MAX Holdings reported a total revenue of $71.1 million for Q3 2020, a slight decrease of 0.7% compared to Q3 2019. Net income attributable to RE/MAX Holdings was $3.6 million, with GAAP EPS at $0.19 and adjusted EPS at $0.64. The company's agent count increased by 5.1% to 134,769 agents.

  • Total agent count increased 5.1% to 134,769 agents.
  • U.S. and Canada combined agent count decreased 0.3% to 83,802 agents.
  • Total open Motto Mortgage franchises increased 27.9% to 133 offices.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased 7.7% from the third quarter of 2019.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$71.1M

Previous: $71.5M-0.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.64

Previous: $0.61+4.9%
Total agent count

134.8K

Previous: 128.3K+5.1%
Free Cash Flow

$3.55M

Previous: $9.17M-61.3%
Net Income

$3.55M

Previous: $9.17M-61.3%
Operating Income

$10.8M

Previous: $23.4M-53.9%
Gross Profit

$25K

Previous: $1.52M-98.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$89.1M

Previous: $87.8M+1.6%
Total Assets

$543M

Previous: $532M+2.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.41M

Previous: -$987K+445.9%

Revenue & EPS history

RE/MAX · Revenue · Quarterly

$71.1M

Q3 2020-0.7%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

RE/MAX · $71.1M total across 5 segments · Q3 2020

  • Continuing franchise fees
    $24.3M
  • Marketing Funds fees
    $17.3M
  • Broker fees
    $15.5M
  • Annual dues
    $8.64M
  • Franchise sales and other revenue
    $5.35M

Forward guidance

The Company's fourth quarter and full-year 2020 Outlook assumes no further currency movements, acquisitions or divestitures.

Tailwinds

  • Agent count to increase 4.25% to 5.25% over fourth quarter 2019
  • Revenue in a range of $69.0 million to $72.0 million (including revenue from the Marketing Funds in a range of $17.5 million to $18.5 million)
  • Adjusted EBITDA in a range of $20.0 million to $23.0 million
  • Agent count to increase 4.25% to 5.25% over full-year 2019
  • Revenue in a range of $262.5 million to $265.5 million (including revenue from the Marketing Funds in a range of $64.0 million to $65.0 million)

Headwinds

  • The effective U.S. GAAP tax rate attributable to RE/MAX Holdings is estimated to be between 27% and 29% in 2020.
  • Global COVID-19 pandemic poses risks to business, agents, and franchisees.
  • Potential for sustained material revenue declines.
  • Changes in the real estate market or interest rates.
  • The Company's ability to attract and retain quality franchisees.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.4%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.2%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

28 / 51 earnings

Positive

+13.0%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-13.7%

Q4 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.7%-13.0%-10.0%
Q4 2025-2.2%-7.5%-16.1%
Q3 2025-3.3%-6.8%-0.6%
Q2 2025-9.2%-11.9%+10.6%
Q1 2025+3.4%+2.6%-3.1%
Q4 2024-10.2%-7.8%-12.3%
Q3 2024-7.7%+0.7%+7.0%
Q2 2024+13.0%+17.6%+26.2%
Q1 2024+7.1%+12.1%+12.4%
Q4 2023-3.5%-5.0%-11.5%
Q3 2023+2.7%-12.9%-14.7%
Q2 2023-1.6%+2.8%-16.1%
Q1 2023+2.6%-1.3%+1.9%
Q4 2022-13.7%-18.3%-25.9%
Q3 2022+1.0%-5.7%+12.2%
Q2 2022+2.4%+5.4%-12.8%
Q1 2022-2.4%+0.3%+2.2%
Q4 2021+1.5%+1.1%-4.5%
Q3 2021-6.3%-11.4%-0.1%
Q2 2021+2.3%+2.2%-0.3%
Q1 2021-1.6%-3.7%-6.3%
Q4 2020+1.3%-1.9%-5.2%
Q3 2020-3.8%-5.0%-2.6%
Q2 2020+6.5%+11.2%+5.7%
Q1 2020+3.3%+9.8%+39.4%
Q4 2019-12.8%-19.6%-54.4%
Q3 2019+9.6%+9.5%+13.7%
Q2 2019-2.9%-6.8%-11.7%
Q1 2019-6.0%-9.5%-30.4%
Q4 2018-1.2%-3.9%-9.3%
Q3 2018-6.0%-8.7%-11.8%
Q2 2018+1.5%+0.3%-0.5%
Q1 2018+0.1%+0.2%-3.4%
Q3 2017+8.6%+10.0%+12.8%
Q4 2017+8.6%+10.0%+12.8%
Q2 2017+9.4%+5.2%+7.2%
Q1 2017-1.9%-2.8%-7.5%
Q4 2016-3.2%-4.9%-6.1%
Q3 2016+5.9%+9.4%+23.3%
Q2 2016+1.4%+1.1%+0.1%
Q1 2016+1.8%
Q4 2015-1.2%
Q3 2015+2.9%
Q2 2015-0.7%
Q1 2015+6.0%
Q4 2014+3.9%
Q3 2014+1.1%
Q2 2014+5.0%
Q1 2014-4.3%
Q4 2013-4.7%
Q3 2013+3.5%
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012

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