NYSE$RL

Ralph Lauren Corp · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Ralph Lauren's Q4 2021 results exceeded expectations with revenue growth and improved margins.

Ralph Lauren reported a 1% increase in revenue to $1.29 billion for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2021, with positive growth in Asia and Europe. The company's global digital commerce sales accelerated to 52%. Reported EPS was ($1.01), while adjusted EPS was $0.38.

  • Revenues increased 1% to $1.29 billion, exceeding expectations with positive growth in Asia and Europe.
  • Global digital commerce sales accelerated to 52%, driven by all regions.
  • Gross and operating margins improved due to a 30% increase in average unit retail and expense reductions.
  • Strategic Realignment Plan announced with anticipated sale of Club Monaco.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.29B

Previous: $1.27B+1.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.38

Previous: -$0.68+155.9%
Net Income

-$74.1M

Previous: -$249M+70.2%
Operating Income

-$25.7M

Previous: -$284M+90.9%
Gross Profit

$783M

Previous: $594M+31.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$2.58B

Previous: $1.62B+59.2%
Total Assets

$7.89B

Previous: $7.28B+8.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$18.3M

Previous: $27.7M-33.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Ralph Lauren · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.29B

Q4 2021+1%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ralph Lauren · $1.29B total across 4 segments · Q4 2021

  • North America
    $569M-9.6%
  • Europe
    $370M+4.7%
  • Asia
    $289M+35.4%
  • Other
    $58.5M-24.7%

Forward guidance

The Company expects constant currency revenues to increase approximately 20% to 25% to last year on a 52-week comparable basis. The 53rd week is expected to contribute approximately 140 basis points to revenue growth. Foreign currency is expected to negatively impact revenue growth by approximately 50 to 70 basis points in Fiscal 2022. The Company expects operating margin for Fiscal 2022 of about 11.0%, an increase of approximately 620 basis points on a reported basis.

Tailwinds

  • Constant currency revenues are expected to increase approximately 20% to 25%.
  • The 53rd week is expected to contribute approximately 140 basis points to revenue growth.
  • Operating margin for Fiscal 2022 is expected to be about 11.0%, an increase of approximately 620 basis points on a reported basis.
  • Operating margin expansion is expected to be driven by operating expense leverage.
  • First quarter revenues are expected to increase approximately 140% to 150% in constant currency to last year.

Headwinds

  • Foreign currency is expected to negatively impact revenue growth by approximately 50 to 70 basis points in Fiscal 2022.
  • Gross margin is expected to be down 40 to 60 basis points as mix normalizes.
  • Gross margin is expected to contract approximately 575 basis points to last year as the Company laps unusual COVID-related mix benefits from the prior year, when the majority of our stores across North America and Europe were closed.
  • The Company continues to note the ongoing uncertainty and evolving situation surrounding COVID-19 impacting the timing and path of recovery in each market, including the potential for further resurgences of the pandemic across various markets.
  • The Company's current outlook could be negatively impacted if government-mandated lockdowns or restrictions are extended or more severe measures are applied.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

+1.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.6%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

36 / 69 earnings

Positive

+20.8%

Q2 2016

Best reaction

-24.5%

Q3 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026+12.6%+14.2%+25.2%
Q3 2026-4.5%+0.4%-4.6%
Q2 2026-0.6%+5.3%+16.3%
Q1 2026-6.4%-1.1%+3.0%
Q4 2025+1.1%+4.5%-3.5%
Q3 2025+9.7%+9.3%-6.6%
Q2 2025+7.0%+0.7%+10.9%
Q1 2025-2.0%-3.6%+4.8%
Q4 2024+5.6%+10.4%+11.2%
Q3 2024+18.9%+19.2%+19.6%
Q2 2024+3.3%+2.2%+16.7%
Q1 2024-5.5%-6.9%-9.0%
Q4 2023+4.2%+1.0%+10.5%
Q3 2023+1.0%+4.3%-3.2%
Q2 2023+15.7%+15.1%+19.1%
Q1 2023-5.6%-2.3%-6.9%
Q4 2022+3.0%+8.7%+2.6%
Q3 2022+4.4%+9.7%+2.1%
Q2 2022-5.2%-1.7%-8.2%
Q1 2022+4.4%+4.4%-0.4%
Q4 2021-7.6%-7.2%-13.4%
Q3 2021+3.1%+4.9%+16.2%
Q2 2021-10.0%-7.0%+18.4%
Q1 2021-1.7%-5.4%+6.4%
Q4 2020-1.7%-5.7%-16.8%
Q3 2020+8.2%+6.4%-4.5%
Q2 2020+12.8%+10.4%+10.7%
Q1 2020-6.3%-11.1%-20.9%
Q4 2019-2.2%-4.9%-4.8%
Q3 2019+10.1%+9.1%+7.7%
Q2 2019-6.9%-9.4%-20.4%
Q1 2019-5.2%-4.1%-3.0%
Q4 2018+15.6%+17.7%+11.7%
Q3 2018-3.9%-6.6%-6.9%
Q2 2018+1.4%-5.0%+6.9%
Q1 2018+11.4%+7.2%+13.6%
Q4 2017-4.8%-6.9%-0.9%
Q3 2017-12.8%-13.0%-8.7%
Q2 2017+4.8%+10.8%+6.7%
Q1 2017+14.3%+14.8%+6.0%
Q4 2016+1.2%
Q3 2016-24.5%
Q2 2016+20.8%
Q1 2016-2.5%
Q4 2015-1.1%
Q3 2015-17.0%
Q2 2015+3.2%
Q1 2015+1.0%
Q4 2014-3.1%
Q3 2014-1.3%
Q2 2014+0.9%
Q1 2014-6.2%
Q4 2013-3.8%
Q3 2013+8.0%
Q2 2013+1.4%
Q1 2013-3.0%
Q4 2009-0.0%
Q4 2012+2.5%
Q3 2012+9.8%
Q2 2012-4.9%
Q1 2012+8.9%
Q4 2011+10.2%
Q2 2011+10.2%
Q3 2010+9.7%
Q3 2011+9.7%
Q2 2010-5.5%
Q1 2011-5.5%
Q4 2010-5.5%
Q1 2010-5.5%

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