NYSE$RL

Ralph Lauren Corp · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Ralph Lauren's Q3 2023 earnings exceeded expectations, driven by positive sales growth across all regions and operating expense discipline.

Ralph Lauren reported a 1% increase in revenue (7% in constant currency) and EPS of $3.20 ($3.35 adjusted) for Q3 2023. The company's performance was driven by strong consumer demand and growth in key regions like Asia and Europe.

  • Revenue increased by 1% on a reported basis and 7% in constant currency, exceeding expectations.
  • Operating margin was 15.4% on a reported basis, with an adjusted operating margin of 16.0%.
  • The company continued to invest in strategic priorities while returning approximately $560 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases year-to-date.
  • Full year fiscal 2023 outlook reiterated with high-single digit net revenue growth in constant currency and adjusted operating margin expected in the range of 13.5% to 14.0% in constant currency.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.83B

Previous: $1.82B+0.9%
EPS (adj)

$3.35

Previous: $2.94+13.9%
Free Cash Flow

$217M

Previous: $218M-0.6%
Net Income

$217M

Previous: $218M-0.6%
Operating Income

$282M

Previous: $289M-2.4%
Gross Profit

$1.19B

Previous: $1.2B-0.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.57B

Previous: $2.28B-31.2%
Total Assets

$7.04B

Previous: $8.14B-13.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$19.2M

Previous: $22M-12.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Ralph Lauren · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.83B

Q3 2023+0.9%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ralph Lauren · $1.83B total across 4 segments · Q3 2023

  • North America
    $938M+1.0%
  • Europe
    $469M+1.4%
  • Asia
    $386M+0.9%
  • Other
    $39.2M-4.9%

Forward guidance

The Company expects revenue to increase mid- to high-single digits in constant currency to last year on a 13-week comparable basis. Operating margin for the fourth quarter is expected to be approximately 5.5% in constant currency.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue to increase mid- to high-single digits in constant currency to last year on a 13-week comparable basis.
  • Operating expense leverage more than offsetting continued long-term investments in new consumer recruitment and key city ecosystem expansion.
  • Full year Fiscal 2023 tax rate is expected in the range of approximately 24% to 25%.
  • Company continues to expect constant currency revenues to increase approximately high-single digits to last year, or about 8%, on a 52-week comparable basis.
  • Company moderated its plan for capital expenditures for Fiscal 2023 to approximately $240 million to $250 million based on timing of projects.

Headwinds

  • Foreign currency is expected to negatively impact revenue growth by approximately 500 basis points.
  • Foreign currency is expected to negatively impact fourth quarter operating margin by approximately 160 basis points and gross margin by approximately 140 basis points.
  • Fourth quarter tax rate is expected at approximately 29%, assuming a continuation of current tax laws.
  • Foreign currency is now expected to negatively impact revenue growth by approximately 600 basis points in Fiscal 2023.
  • Operating margin for Fiscal 2023 in the range of 13.5% to 14.0% in constant currency, slightly below the previous outlook of approximately 14.0% on moderated gross margin expectations.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+1.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.6%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

36 / 69 earnings

Positive

+20.8%

Q2 2016

Best reaction

-24.5%

Q3 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026+12.6%+14.2%+25.2%
Q3 2026-4.5%+0.4%-4.6%
Q2 2026-0.6%+5.3%+16.3%
Q1 2026-6.4%-1.1%+3.0%
Q4 2025+1.1%+4.5%-3.5%
Q3 2025+9.7%+9.3%-6.6%
Q2 2025+7.0%+0.7%+10.9%
Q1 2025-2.0%-3.6%+4.8%
Q4 2024+5.6%+10.4%+11.2%
Q3 2024+18.9%+19.2%+19.6%
Q2 2024+3.3%+2.2%+16.7%
Q1 2024-5.5%-6.9%-9.0%
Q4 2023+4.2%+1.0%+10.5%
Q3 2023+1.0%+4.3%-3.2%
Q2 2023+15.7%+15.1%+19.1%
Q1 2023-5.6%-2.3%-6.9%
Q4 2022+3.0%+8.7%+2.6%
Q3 2022+4.4%+9.7%+2.1%
Q2 2022-5.2%-1.7%-8.2%
Q1 2022+4.4%+4.4%-0.4%
Q4 2021-7.6%-7.2%-13.4%
Q3 2021+3.1%+4.9%+16.2%
Q2 2021-10.0%-7.0%+18.4%
Q1 2021-1.7%-5.4%+6.4%
Q4 2020-1.7%-5.7%-16.8%
Q3 2020+8.2%+6.4%-4.5%
Q2 2020+12.8%+10.4%+10.7%
Q1 2020-6.3%-11.1%-20.9%
Q4 2019-2.2%-4.9%-4.8%
Q3 2019+10.1%+9.1%+7.7%
Q2 2019-6.9%-9.4%-20.4%
Q1 2019-5.2%-4.1%-3.0%
Q4 2018+15.6%+17.7%+11.7%
Q3 2018-3.9%-6.6%-6.9%
Q2 2018+1.4%-5.0%+6.9%
Q1 2018+11.4%+7.2%+13.6%
Q4 2017-4.8%-6.9%-0.9%
Q3 2017-12.8%-13.0%-8.7%
Q2 2017+4.8%+10.8%+6.7%
Q1 2017+14.3%+14.8%+6.0%
Q4 2016+1.2%
Q3 2016-24.5%
Q2 2016+20.8%
Q1 2016-2.5%
Q4 2015-1.1%
Q3 2015-17.0%
Q2 2015+3.2%
Q1 2015+1.0%
Q4 2014-3.1%
Q3 2014-1.3%
Q2 2014+0.9%
Q1 2014-6.2%
Q4 2013-3.8%
Q3 2013+8.0%
Q2 2013+1.4%
Q1 2013-3.0%
Q4 2009-0.0%
Q4 2012+2.5%
Q3 2012+9.8%
Q2 2012-4.9%
Q1 2012+8.9%
Q4 2011+10.2%
Q2 2011+10.2%
Q3 2010+9.7%
Q3 2011+9.7%
Q2 2010-5.5%
Q1 2011-5.5%
Q4 2010-5.5%
Q1 2010-5.5%

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