NYSE$RL

Ralph Lauren Corp · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Ralph Lauren's Q3 2021 earnings were impacted by COVID-19, but Asia exceeded expectations and digital commerce grew.

Ralph Lauren reported Q3 Fiscal 2021 results with revenue of $1.4 billion, down 18% year-over-year. Despite the revenue decline, the company saw stronger than expected gross and operating margins driven by increased average unit retail and expense reductions. Asia outperformed expectations with mid-teens growth, and global digital commerce sales increased more than 20%.

  • Third quarter revenues were $1.4 billion, reflecting continued recovery from COVID-19 impacts.
  • Asia exceeded expectations with mid-teens growth.
  • Global digital commerce sales increased more than 20%, with double-digit growth across all regions and continued expansion in profitability.
  • Gross and operating margins were stronger than expected, driven by a 19% increase in average unit retail and continued expense reductions.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.43B

Previous: $1.75B-18.2%
EPS (adj)

$1.67

Previous: $2.86-41.6%
Ralph Lauren Stores

548

Previous: 532+3.0%
Free Cash Flow

$120M

Previous: $334M-64.1%
Net Income

$120M

Previous: $334M-64.1%
Operating Income

$170M

Previous: $224M-24.1%
Gross Profit

$930M

Previous: $1.09B-14.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$2.62B

Previous: $1.08B+142.8%
Total Assets

$8.17B

Previous: $7.45B+9.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$19.8M

Previous: $22.1M-10.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Ralph Lauren · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.43B

Q3 2021-18.2%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ralph Lauren · $1.43B total across 4 segments · Q3 2021

  • North America
    $715M-21.4%
  • Asia
    $330M+13.8%
  • Europe
    $316M-27.9%
  • Other
    $72.2M-35.9%

Forward guidance

For the fourth quarter, the company expects revenues to decline approximately mid-to-high single digits to last year.

Tailwinds

  • Gross margin expansion continuing through the fourth quarter, albeit at a more moderate rate compared to the first three quarters of the year.
  • Excluding marketing investments, we expect operating expenses to decline low single-digits compared to last year.
  • Based on our current outlook, we plan to reinstate the Company's quarterly dividend in the first half of Fiscal 2022.

Headwinds

  • Ongoing high level of uncertainty and evolving situation surrounding COVID-19 impacting the timing and path of recovery in each market, including the potential for further resurgences of the pandemic across various markets.
  • Financial results for both the fourth quarter and full year Fiscal 2021 to continue to be adversely impacted by the pandemic and prolonged demand recovery.
  • Revenues to decline approximately mid-to-high single digits to last year, a sequential improvement from the first three quarters of the fiscal year.
  • Outlook reflects confirmed government-mandated lockdowns and other COVID-related restrictions across several of our key markets, notably in Europe and Japan.
  • Current outlook could be negatively impacted if government-mandated lockdowns or restrictions are extended or more severe measures are applied.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2021

Historical avgQ3 2021

+1.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.6%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

36 / 69 earnings

Positive

+20.8%

Q2 2016

Best reaction

-24.5%

Q3 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026+12.6%+14.2%+25.2%
Q3 2026-4.5%+0.4%-4.6%
Q2 2026-0.6%+5.3%+16.3%
Q1 2026-6.4%-1.1%+3.0%
Q4 2025+1.1%+4.5%-3.5%
Q3 2025+9.7%+9.3%-6.6%
Q2 2025+7.0%+0.7%+10.9%
Q1 2025-2.0%-3.6%+4.8%
Q4 2024+5.6%+10.4%+11.2%
Q3 2024+18.9%+19.2%+19.6%
Q2 2024+3.3%+2.2%+16.7%
Q1 2024-5.5%-6.9%-9.0%
Q4 2023+4.2%+1.0%+10.5%
Q3 2023+1.0%+4.3%-3.2%
Q2 2023+15.7%+15.1%+19.1%
Q1 2023-5.6%-2.3%-6.9%
Q4 2022+3.0%+8.7%+2.6%
Q3 2022+4.4%+9.7%+2.1%
Q2 2022-5.2%-1.7%-8.2%
Q1 2022+4.4%+4.4%-0.4%
Q4 2021-7.6%-7.2%-13.4%
Q3 2021+3.1%+4.9%+16.2%
Q2 2021-10.0%-7.0%+18.4%
Q1 2021-1.7%-5.4%+6.4%
Q4 2020-1.7%-5.7%-16.8%
Q3 2020+8.2%+6.4%-4.5%
Q2 2020+12.8%+10.4%+10.7%
Q1 2020-6.3%-11.1%-20.9%
Q4 2019-2.2%-4.9%-4.8%
Q3 2019+10.1%+9.1%+7.7%
Q2 2019-6.9%-9.4%-20.4%
Q1 2019-5.2%-4.1%-3.0%
Q4 2018+15.6%+17.7%+11.7%
Q3 2018-3.9%-6.6%-6.9%
Q2 2018+1.4%-5.0%+6.9%
Q1 2018+11.4%+7.2%+13.6%
Q4 2017-4.8%-6.9%-0.9%
Q3 2017-12.8%-13.0%-8.7%
Q2 2017+4.8%+10.8%+6.7%
Q1 2017+14.3%+14.8%+6.0%
Q4 2016+1.2%
Q3 2016-24.5%
Q2 2016+20.8%
Q1 2016-2.5%
Q4 2015-1.1%
Q3 2015-17.0%
Q2 2015+3.2%
Q1 2015+1.0%
Q4 2014-3.1%
Q3 2014-1.3%
Q2 2014+0.9%
Q1 2014-6.2%
Q4 2013-3.8%
Q3 2013+8.0%
Q2 2013+1.4%
Q1 2013-3.0%
Q4 2009-0.0%
Q4 2012+2.5%
Q3 2012+9.8%
Q2 2012-4.9%
Q1 2012+8.9%
Q4 2011+10.2%
Q2 2011+10.2%
Q3 2010+9.7%
Q3 2011+9.7%
Q2 2010-5.5%
Q1 2011-5.5%
Q4 2010-5.5%
Q1 2010-5.5%

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