NYSE$RL

Ralph Lauren Corp · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong third quarter performance with double-digit revenue growth across all regions and raised fiscal year 2022 outlook.

Ralph Lauren reported a strong Q3 2022 with revenue up 27% to $1.8 billion and EPS of $2.93. The company raised its fiscal year 2022 outlook, expecting revenue growth of 39% to 41% in constant currency and an adjusted operating margin of approximately 13%.

  • All regions reported double-digit revenue growth, exceeding expectations and surpassing pre-pandemic levels, particularly in North America.
  • Ralph Lauren's digital ecosystem revenue increased by over 40%, with owned digital commerce growing by more than 30%.
  • Operating margin was 15.9%, up 400 basis points on a reported basis and 260 basis points on an adjusted basis.
  • The company repurchased 2.5 million shares during the quarter and authorized a new $1.5 billion stock repurchase program.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.82B

Previous: $1.43B+26.7%
EPS (adj)

$2.94

Previous: $1.67+76.0%
Free Cash Flow

$218M

Previous: $120M+81.7%
Net Income

$218M

Previous: $120M+81.7%
Operating Income

$289M

Previous: $170M+69.7%
Gross Profit

$1.2B

Previous: $930M+28.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$2.28B

Previous: $2.62B-13.1%
Total Assets

$8.14B

Previous: $8.17B-0.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$22M

Previous: $19.8M+11.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Ralph Lauren · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.82B

Q3 2022+26.7%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ralph Lauren · $1.82B total across 4 segments · Q3 2022

  • North America
    $929M+29.8%
  • Europe
    $463M+46.7%
  • Asia
    $383M+16.1%
  • Other
    $41.2M-42.9%

Forward guidance

The company expects revenue to increase approximately 17% to 18% in constant currency and operating margin for the fourth quarter is expected to be approximately 4.2% in constant currency.

Tailwinds

  • Company now expects constant currency revenue growth of approximately 39% to 41% to last year on a 53-week reported basis
  • The Company also raised its outlook for operating margin for Fiscal 2022 to approximately 13% on both a reported and constant currency basis
  • Gross margin is expected to increase 70 to 90 basis points to last year, up from 50 to 70 basis points previously, with stronger AUR growth and favorable product mix more than offsetting increased freight headwinds.

Headwinds

  • Foreign currency is expected to negatively impact revenue growth by approximately 400 basis points.
  • Foreign currency is expected to negatively impact operating margin by approximately 120 basis points.
  • The Company continues to note the ongoing uncertainty and evolving situation surrounding COVID-19 impacting the timing and path of recovery in each market, including the potential for further outbreaks or resurgences of the pandemic across various markets as well as potential global supply chain disruptions.
  • The Company’s outlook is based on its best assessment of the current macro environment, including global supply chain, inflationary pressures, the Omicron variant and other COVID-related disruptions.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+1.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.2%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.6%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

36 / 69 earnings

Positive

+20.8%

Q2 2016

Best reaction

-24.5%

Q3 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026+12.6%+14.2%+25.2%
Q3 2026-4.5%+0.4%-4.6%
Q2 2026-0.6%+5.3%+16.3%
Q1 2026-6.4%-1.1%+3.0%
Q4 2025+1.1%+4.5%-3.5%
Q3 2025+9.7%+9.3%-6.6%
Q2 2025+7.0%+0.7%+10.9%
Q1 2025-2.0%-3.6%+4.8%
Q4 2024+5.6%+10.4%+11.2%
Q3 2024+18.9%+19.2%+19.6%
Q2 2024+3.3%+2.2%+16.7%
Q1 2024-5.5%-6.9%-9.0%
Q4 2023+4.2%+1.0%+10.5%
Q3 2023+1.0%+4.3%-3.2%
Q2 2023+15.7%+15.1%+19.1%
Q1 2023-5.6%-2.3%-6.9%
Q4 2022+3.0%+8.7%+2.6%
Q3 2022+4.4%+9.7%+2.1%
Q2 2022-5.2%-1.7%-8.2%
Q1 2022+4.4%+4.4%-0.4%
Q4 2021-7.6%-7.2%-13.4%
Q3 2021+3.1%+4.9%+16.2%
Q2 2021-10.0%-7.0%+18.4%
Q1 2021-1.7%-5.4%+6.4%
Q4 2020-1.7%-5.7%-16.8%
Q3 2020+8.2%+6.4%-4.5%
Q2 2020+12.8%+10.4%+10.7%
Q1 2020-6.3%-11.1%-20.9%
Q4 2019-2.2%-4.9%-4.8%
Q3 2019+10.1%+9.1%+7.7%
Q2 2019-6.9%-9.4%-20.4%
Q1 2019-5.2%-4.1%-3.0%
Q4 2018+15.6%+17.7%+11.7%
Q3 2018-3.9%-6.6%-6.9%
Q2 2018+1.4%-5.0%+6.9%
Q1 2018+11.4%+7.2%+13.6%
Q4 2017-4.8%-6.9%-0.9%
Q3 2017-12.8%-13.0%-8.7%
Q2 2017+4.8%+10.8%+6.7%
Q1 2017+14.3%+14.8%+6.0%
Q4 2016+1.2%
Q3 2016-24.5%
Q2 2016+20.8%
Q1 2016-2.5%
Q4 2015-1.1%
Q3 2015-17.0%
Q2 2015+3.2%
Q1 2015+1.0%
Q4 2014-3.1%
Q3 2014-1.3%
Q2 2014+0.9%
Q1 2014-6.2%
Q4 2013-3.8%
Q3 2013+8.0%
Q2 2013+1.4%
Q1 2013-3.0%
Q4 2009-0.0%
Q4 2012+2.5%
Q3 2012+9.8%
Q2 2012-4.9%
Q1 2012+8.9%
Q4 2011+10.2%
Q2 2011+10.2%
Q3 2010+9.7%
Q3 2011+9.7%
Q2 2010-5.5%
Q1 2011-5.5%
Q4 2010-5.5%
Q1 2010-5.5%

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