NYSE$QTWO

Q2 Holdings Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced fourth quarter and full-year 2023 financial results.

Q2 Holdings reported Q4 revenue of $162.1 million, up 11% year-over-year, and adjusted EBITDA of $23.2 million. The company closed out 2023 with its best bookings performance in company history.

  • Signed four Tier 1 digital banking contracts.
  • Signed a new Top 4 U.S. bank to a relationship pricing solution contract.
  • Subscription Annualized Recurring Revenue increased to $593.9 million, up 19 percent year-over-year.
  • Remaining Performance Obligation total, or Backlog, increased by $269.2 million sequentially, resulting in total committed Backlog of approximately $1.8 billion at quarter-end.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$162M

Previous: $147M+10.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.27

Previous: $0.06+350.0%
GAAP Gross Margin

50.2%

Previous: 45.2%+11.1%
Adjusted EBITDA

$23.2M

Previous: $8.35M+177.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$6.75M

Previous: $2.21M-405.7%
Net Income

-$18.1M

Previous: -$32.4M+44.2%
Operating Income

-$18M

Previous: -$32.5M+44.5%
Gross Profit

$81.4M

Previous: $66.2M+22.9%
R&D Expense

$34.3M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$19.4M

Previous: $13.9M+38.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Q2 · Revenue · Quarterly

$162M

Q4 2023+10.6%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Q2 Holdings is providing guidance for its first quarter of 2024 and full-year 2024.

Tailwinds

  • Total non-GAAP revenue of $161.7 million to $164.7 million, which would represent year-over-year growth of 6 to 8 percent.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $22.0 million to $24.0 million, representing 13 to 15 percent of non-GAAP revenue for the quarter.
  • Total non-GAAP revenue of $683.0 million to $689.0 million, which would represent year-over-year growth of 9 to 10 percent.
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $107.0 million to $111.0 million, representing approximately 16 percent of non-GAAP revenue for the year.
  • Average annual subscription revenue growth of approximately 14 percent (2024 through 2026).

Headwinds

  • GAAP net loss is the most comparable GAAP measure to adjusted EBITDA.
  • Q2 Holdings is unable to predict with reasonable certainty the ultimate outcome of these exclusions without unreasonable effort.
  • Q2 Holdings has not provided guidance for GAAP net loss or a reconciliation of the forward-looking adjusted EBITDA guidance to GAAP net loss.
  • These excluded items could be material to our results computed in accordance with GAAP in future periods.
  • Forward-looking statements are based on current expectations and are subject to risks and uncertainties.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+3.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.2%

Avg return

30 days after

65%

31 / 48 earnings

Positive

+18.5%

Q3 2024

Best reaction

-8.2%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.8%-0.3%-9.9%
Q4 2025-7.4%-7.1%-14.7%
Q3 2025+15.3%+20.1%+20.3%
Q1 2025+13.1%+15.5%+13.6%
Q4 2024+0.9%+1.8%-17.6%
Q3 2024+18.5%+18.4%+28.6%
Q2 2024+5.5%-1.9%+11.7%
Q1 2024+15.9%+19.7%+18.3%
Q4 2023+9.1%+10.6%+21.9%
Q3 2023+9.9%+11.9%+24.9%
Q2 2023-6.2%-4.5%-1.7%
Q1 2023+12.1%+9.6%+24.9%
Q4 2022-2.3%-5.6%-31.6%
Q3 2022-8.2%+7.7%-4.2%
Q2 2022+0.1%-2.3%-15.8%
Q1 2022-4.7%-12.3%-0.3%
Q4 2021+4.6%-1.3%-3.8%
Q3 2021+14.3%+13.2%-5.6%
Q2 2021-6.1%-11.2%-7.9%
Q1 2021-3.5%-6.2%-3.2%
Q4 2020-6.5%-7.7%-27.1%
Q3 2020+7.6%+10.8%+24.5%
Q2 2020+5.3%-4.5%-4.8%
Q1 2020+5.9%+2.1%+5.5%
Q4 2019+2.1%-4.6%-36.6%
Q3 2019-0.8%+7.1%+17.6%
Q2 2019+15.2%+15.5%+17.2%
Q1 2019-6.3%-2.0%-4.9%
Q4 2018+4.0%+3.9%+6.2%
Q3 2018+3.7%+1.6%-1.0%
Q2 2018-3.2%-1.9%+2.8%
Q1 2018+10.2%+9.2%+14.1%
Q4 2017+3.8%+5.8%+8.8%
Q3 2017-3.8%-1.3%-2.7%
Q2 2017-2.5%-2.7%+4.7%
Q1 2017-1.0%-1.3%+3.5%
Q4 2016+12.1%+13.2%+13.2%
Q3 2016-3.7%+5.5%+2.0%
Q2 2016-5.1%-14.2%-5.5%
Q1 2016+6.7%
Q4 2015+13.3%
Q3 2015+10.6%
Q2 2015+1.7%
Q1 2015+13.8%
Q4 2014+7.4%
Q3 2014-7.1%
Q2 2014+9.1%
Q1 2014+2.4%
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013
Q4 2012
Q3 2012

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