NYSE$PHM

PulteGroup Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

PulteGroup's financial performance reflected strength in the housing market, driven by a 24% increase in net new orders and a 220 basis point increase in gross margin.

PulteGroup reported a strong fourth quarter with net income of $1.62 per share. Net new orders increased 24% and home sale revenues increased 5%. The company's backlog grew 44% to 15,158 homes.

  • Net income of $1.62 per share was reported.
  • Net new orders increased 24% to 7,056 homes; order value increased 33% to $3.3 billion.
  • Home sale revenues increased 5% to $3.1 billion.
  • Backlog increased 44% to 15,158 homes with a value of $6.8 billion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.19B

Previous: $3.02B+5.8%
EPS (adj)

$1.49

Previous: $1.14+30.7%
Total Closings

6.9K

Previous: 6.8K+0.6%
Avg Selling Price

$446K

Previous: $429K+4.0%
Backlog Units

15.2K

Previous: 10.5K+44.3%
Backlog Value

$6.8B

Previous: $4.5B+51.1%
Capital Expenditures

$11.4M

Previous: $15M-23.6%
Free Cash Flow

$504M

Previous: $480M+5.1%
Net Income

$438M

Previous: $336M+30.5%
Operating Income

$485M

Previous: $402M+20.5%
Gross Profit

$809M

Previous: $701M+15.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$2.58B

Previous: $1.22B+112.0%
Total Assets

$12.2B

Previous: $10.7B+13.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$7.83M

Previous: $6.98M+12.2%

Revenue & EPS history

PulteGroup · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.19B

Q4 2020+5.8%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

PulteGroup · $106M total across 1 segment · Q4 2020

  • Financial Services
    $106M+51.8%

Forward guidance

PulteGroup enters 2021 with tremendous momentum supported by outstanding operating metrics and a backlog of more than 15,000 homes.

Tailwinds

  • Ongoing strength in demand for new homes.
  • Low mortgage rates.
  • Years of underbuilding new homes.
  • Limited supply of homes for sale.
  • Increasing desire for homeownership and single-family living.

Headwinds

  • Interest rate changes and the availability of mortgage financing.
  • Competition within the industries in which we operate.
  • The availability and cost of land and other raw materials used by us in our homebuilding operations.
  • The impact of any changes to our strategy in responding to the cyclical nature of the industry
  • The availability and cost of insurance covering risks associated with our businesses.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+1.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.6%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

41 / 69 earnings

Positive

+19.9%

Q2 2012

Best reaction

-11.3%

Q2 2013

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.8%-2.1%-8.7%
Q4 2025+1.5%+5.8%+11.3%
Q3 2025-0.1%-2.2%-7.2%
Q2 2025-1.1%+0.3%+5.5%
Q1 2025+8.4%+9.4%+5.9%
Q4 2024+4.9%-2.3%-8.6%
Q3 2024-7.7%-8.2%-11.2%
Q2 2024-2.5%+3.5%+2.8%
Q1 2024+4.1%+5.5%+4.6%
Q4 2023-1.4%-0.1%+2.2%
Q3 2023+0.6%+1.9%+24.6%
Q2 2023+7.3%+8.0%-0.2%
Q1 2023+1.2%+5.2%+4.2%
Q4 2022+12.4%+13.1%+4.4%
Q3 2022+2.4%+6.2%+17.8%
Q2 2022-2.3%-2.4%-3.7%
Q1 2022+0.3%+4.7%+9.7%
Q4 2021+3.2%-7.5%-6.5%
Q3 2021-2.2%-3.6%+5.6%
Q2 2021-1.4%+2.8%+0.9%
Q1 2021+7.1%+7.9%+5.6%
Q4 2020-7.9%-2.7%-4.5%
Q3 2020-2.8%-8.6%-3.5%
Q2 2020+8.1%+10.3%+20.4%
Q1 2020+6.5%+20.4%+38.4%
Q4 2019+3.9%+0.8%-5.8%
Q3 2019+4.3%+5.8%+2.1%
Q2 2019-7.7%-4.8%-1.0%
Q1 2019+5.4%+4.1%+4.5%
Q4 2018+0.8%+1.2%-0.1%
Q3 2018+6.0%+14.6%+22.9%
Q2 2018-2.9%-1.7%-1.5%
Q1 2018+5.9%+7.8%+4.5%
Q4 2017-4.8%-8.2%-14.1%
Q3 2017+4.8%+7.8%+17.7%
Q2 2017-0.5%-0.3%+2.0%
Q1 2017-1.6%-1.8%-0.8%
Q4 2016+4.0%+5.2%+6.3%
Q3 2016-4.1%-6.6%-5.2%
Q2 2016+7.0%+8.2%+3.8%
Q1 2016-0.7%
Q4 2015+4.2%
Q3 2015-5.7%
Q2 2015-3.3%
Q1 2015-7.2%
Q4 2014+0.0%
Q3 2014+1.9%
Q2 2014-5.6%
Q1 2014-0.7%
Q4 2013+4.6%
Q3 2013+8.2%
Q2 2013-11.3%
Q1 2013+8.4%
Q4 2012-3.3%
Q3 2012-1.0%
Q2 2012+19.9%
Q1 2012+15.7%
Q4 2010+1.6%
Q4 2011+1.6%
Q3 2011-4.3%
Q2 2011-9.0%
Q1 2010+1.9%
Q1 2011+0.5%
Q4 2008-2.2%
Q3 2010+2.6%
Q3 2009+2.6%
Q2 2010+3.5%
Q4 2009+3.5%
Q2 2009+3.5%

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