NYSE$MTN

Vail Resorts Inc · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported fiscal year 2021 fourth quarter and full year results and provided fiscal year 2022 outlook.

Vail Resorts reported its fiscal 2021 fourth quarter and full year results, which were negatively impacted by COVID-19. Despite these challenges, the company highlighted its data-driven marketing capabilities, the value of its pass products, and the resiliency of demand for its resorts.

  • Net income attributable to Vail Resorts, Inc. was $127.9 million for fiscal 2021, an increase of 29.4% compared to fiscal 2020.
  • Resort Reported EBITDA was $544.7 million for fiscal 2021, an increase of 8.2% compared to fiscal 2020.
  • Pass product sales through September 17, 2021 for the upcoming 2021/2022 North American ski season increased approximately 42% in units and approximately 17% in sales dollars as compared to the period in the prior year through September 18, 2020.
  • The Company issued its fiscal 2022 guidance range and expects Resort Reported EBITDA to be between $785 million and $835 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$204M

Previous: $77.2M+164.5%
EPS (adj)

-$3.49

Previous: -$3.82+8.6%
Net Income

$128M

Previous: -$158M+181.0%
Operating Income

-$170M

Previous: -$170M-0.2%
Gross Profit

-$14M

Previous: -$52.7M+73.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.2B

Previous: $391M+206.9%
Total Assets

$2.85B

Previous: $1.32B+116.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.88M

Previous: $4.89M+20.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Vail Resorts · Revenue · Quarterly

$204M

Q4 2021+164.5%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Vail Resorts · $255M total across 3 segments · Q1 2024

  • Mountain
    $172M-14.5%
  • Lodging
    $78.4M+6.0%
  • Real Estate
    $4.29M

Forward guidance

Vail Resorts provided guidance for fiscal year 2022, anticipating net income attributable to Vail Resorts, Inc. to be between $278 million and $349 million, and Resort Reported EBITDA to be between $785 million and $835 million.

Tailwinds

  • Robust demand from guests.
  • Strength of advance commitment product sales.
  • Continued focus on enhancing the guest experience.
  • Maintaining cost discipline.
  • Normal weather conditions and a continuation of the current economic environment are assumed.

Headwinds

  • COVID-19 impacts associated with Australia in the first quarter of fiscal 2022.
  • Anticipated slower recovery in international visitation.
  • Slower recovery in group/conference business.
  • Uncertainty regarding the ultimate impact of COVID-19 on business results.
  • Potential changes in consumer behavior resulting from COVID-19.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.2%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

37 / 68 earnings

Positive

+13.9%

Q2 2015

Best reaction

-13.7%

Q1 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026-4.4%-2.7%
Q2 2026+0.9%-1.6%-3.3%
Q1 2026+9.2%+11.7%-2.7%
Q4 2025+0.9%+6.1%-1.9%
Q3 2025+0.0%+3.4%+5.7%
Q2 2025+7.7%+3.9%-9.0%
Q1 2025+2.5%-0.1%-5.5%
Q4 2024-1.2%-5.3%-8.0%
Q3 2024-9.8%-6.0%-9.6%
Q2 2024+1.1%-2.3%+3.6%
Q1 2024+5.7%+7.0%-1.7%
Q4 2023-6.0%-11.9%-12.5%
Q3 2023-6.4%-2.7%-4.8%
Q2 2023-5.5%-7.6%+0.4%
Q1 2023+4.7%+8.1%+0.6%
Q4 2022+4.7%+4.8%+6.3%
Q3 2022-3.1%-10.0%-15.7%
Q2 2022+3.2%+12.7%+6.7%
Q1 2022-1.7%-5.6%-10.7%
Q4 2021+9.4%+6.6%+10.3%
Q3 2021-2.1%-4.0%-3.6%
Q2 2021+3.2%+1.5%-0.3%
Q1 2021-2.9%-3.6%-2.5%
Q4 2020-1.5%-6.4%+9.4%
Q3 2020-2.6%-6.6%-9.5%
Q2 2020-9.5%-13.6%-19.8%
Q1 2020+0.1%+4.3%+6.8%
Q4 2019+0.4%-3.2%-0.1%
Q3 2019+8.6%+6.3%+2.2%
Q2 2019+9.0%+7.8%+8.4%
Q1 2019-13.7%-17.2%-19.9%
Q4 2018-7.2%-10.1%-16.9%
Q3 2018+6.2%+7.9%+9.5%
Q2 2018+4.7%+2.1%+3.3%
Q1 2018+1.9%-1.2%-6.3%
Q4 2017+0.0%-2.8%-0.3%
Q3 2017-6.0%-4.5%-5.9%
Q2 2017+3.7%+3.6%+5.2%
Q1 2017+3.2%+1.7%+2.2%
Q4 2016-2.9%-2.3%-2.8%
Q3 2016+5.4%+2.0%+3.7%
Q2 2016-1.4%
Q1 2016+5.1%
Q4 2015-5.7%
Q3 2015-2.9%
Q2 2015+13.9%
Q1 2015-0.9%
Q4 2014-1.4%
Q3 2014+7.1%
Q2 2014-2.7%
Q1 2014-1.9%
Q4 2013+0.6%
Q3 2013+1.5%
Q2 2013+6.9%
Q1 2013-6.1%
Q4 2012+8.5%
Q3 2012+6.8%
Q2 2012+7.7%
Q1 2012+0.7%
Q4 2010-6.3%
Q4 2011-6.3%
Q4 2009-6.3%
Q3 2011+0.1%
Q3 2010+0.1%
Q2 2011-0.5%
Q2 2010-0.5%
Q1 2011+4.4%
Q1 2010+4.4%

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