NYSE$MTN

Vail Resorts Inc · Q2 2024 earnings

Q2 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported an increase in net income and Resort Reported EBITDA despite challenging weather conditions, and updated fiscal 2024 guidance.

Vail Resorts reported a net income of $219.3 million for the second fiscal quarter of 2024, compared to $208.7 million in the same period of the prior year. Resort Reported EBITDA increased to $425.0 million, which included $2.1 million of acquisition related expenses. The company updated its fiscal year 2024 guidance, expecting net income to be between $270 million and $325 million, and Resort Reported EBITDA to be between $849 million and $885 million.

  • Net income attributable to Vail Resorts, Inc. was $219.3 million, up from $208.7 million in the same period last year.
  • Resort Reported EBITDA increased to $425.0 million, including $2.1 million of acquisition related expenses.
  • Season-to-date total skier visits decreased 9.7%, while total lift revenue increased 2.6% through March 3, 2024.
  • The Company increased its quarterly cash dividend by 8% to $2.22 per share.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.08B

Previous: $1.1B-2.2%
EPS

$5.76

Previous: $5.16+11.6%
Total Skier Visits

7.3M

Previous: 8.3M-12.6%
Effective Ticket Price

$83.08

Previous: $71.33+16.5%
Cash Dividend Per Share

$2.06

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$219M

Previous: $209M+5.1%
Net Income

$219M

Previous: $209M+5.1%
Operating Income

$351M

Previous: $328M+6.9%
Gross Profit

$1.08B

Previous: $1.1B-2.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$812M

Previous: $1.3B-37.3%
Total Assets

$5.85B

Previous: $6.56B-10.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$7.34M

Previous: $6.84M+7.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Vail Resorts · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.08B

Q2 2024-2.2%vs Q2 2023
Beat estimate in 8 of 16 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Vail Resorts · $255M total across 3 segments · Q1 2024

  • Mountain
    $172M-14.5%
  • Lodging
    $78.4M+6.0%
  • Real Estate
    $4.29M

Forward guidance

Due to the season-to-date underperformance, the company is lowering its guidance for fiscal 2024. Net income attributable to Vail Resorts, Inc. for fiscal 2024 is expected to be between $270 million and $325 million, and Resort Reported EBITDA for fiscal 2024 is expected to be between $849 million and $885 million.

Tailwinds

  • Expecting improved performance compared to the season-to-date period.
  • Expected shift in visitation patterns into March and April.
  • Significant base of pre-committed guests and guest historical behavior patterns.
  • Improvement in conditions across western North American and Northeast resorts.
  • Lodging booking trends for the Spring Break period.

Headwinds

  • Season-to-date underperformance.
  • Weather disruptions
  • Lowering guidance for the fiscal year.
  • Includes an estimated $4 million of acquisition related expenses specific to Crans-Montana.
  • Does not include any estimate for the closing costs, operating results or integration expense associated with the Crans-Montana acquisition.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2024

Historical avgQ2 2024

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.2%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

37 / 68 earnings

Positive

+13.9%

Q2 2015

Best reaction

-13.7%

Q1 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026-4.4%-2.7%
Q2 2026+0.9%-1.6%-3.3%
Q1 2026+9.2%+11.7%-2.7%
Q4 2025+0.9%+6.1%-1.9%
Q3 2025+0.0%+3.4%+5.7%
Q2 2025+7.7%+3.9%-9.0%
Q1 2025+2.5%-0.1%-5.5%
Q4 2024-1.2%-5.3%-8.0%
Q3 2024-9.8%-6.0%-9.6%
Q2 2024+1.1%-2.3%+3.6%
Q1 2024+5.7%+7.0%-1.7%
Q4 2023-6.0%-11.9%-12.5%
Q3 2023-6.4%-2.7%-4.8%
Q2 2023-5.5%-7.6%+0.4%
Q1 2023+4.7%+8.1%+0.6%
Q4 2022+4.7%+4.8%+6.3%
Q3 2022-3.1%-10.0%-15.7%
Q2 2022+3.2%+12.7%+6.7%
Q1 2022-1.7%-5.6%-10.7%
Q4 2021+9.4%+6.6%+10.3%
Q3 2021-2.1%-4.0%-3.6%
Q2 2021+3.2%+1.5%-0.3%
Q1 2021-2.9%-3.6%-2.5%
Q4 2020-1.5%-6.4%+9.4%
Q3 2020-2.6%-6.6%-9.5%
Q2 2020-9.5%-13.6%-19.8%
Q1 2020+0.1%+4.3%+6.8%
Q4 2019+0.4%-3.2%-0.1%
Q3 2019+8.6%+6.3%+2.2%
Q2 2019+9.0%+7.8%+8.4%
Q1 2019-13.7%-17.2%-19.9%
Q4 2018-7.2%-10.1%-16.9%
Q3 2018+6.2%+7.9%+9.5%
Q2 2018+4.7%+2.1%+3.3%
Q1 2018+1.9%-1.2%-6.3%
Q4 2017+0.0%-2.8%-0.3%
Q3 2017-6.0%-4.5%-5.9%
Q2 2017+3.7%+3.6%+5.2%
Q1 2017+3.2%+1.7%+2.2%
Q4 2016-2.9%-2.3%-2.8%
Q3 2016+5.4%+2.0%+3.7%
Q2 2016-1.4%
Q1 2016+5.1%
Q4 2015-5.7%
Q3 2015-2.9%
Q2 2015+13.9%
Q1 2015-0.9%
Q4 2014-1.4%
Q3 2014+7.1%
Q2 2014-2.7%
Q1 2014-1.9%
Q4 2013+0.6%
Q3 2013+1.5%
Q2 2013+6.9%
Q1 2013-6.1%
Q4 2012+8.5%
Q3 2012+6.8%
Q2 2012+7.7%
Q1 2012+0.7%
Q4 2010-6.3%
Q4 2011-6.3%
Q4 2009-6.3%
Q3 2011+0.1%
Q3 2010+0.1%
Q2 2011-0.5%
Q2 2010-0.5%
Q1 2011+4.4%
Q1 2010+4.4%

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