NYSE$MTN

Vail Resorts Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported results for the first quarter of fiscal 2021, which were negatively impacted by COVID-19 related limitations, restrictions and closures and provided season pass sales results.

Vail Resorts reported a net loss of $153.8 million for the first quarter of fiscal 2021, impacted by COVID-19. Season pass sales increased approximately 20% in units but were flat in sales dollars.

  • Net loss attributable to Vail Resorts, Inc. was $153.8 million, a decrease of 44.4% compared to the first fiscal quarter of 2020, primarily as a result of the negative impacts of COVID-19.
  • Resort Reported EBITDA loss was $94.8 million, compared to a Resort Reported EBITDA loss of $76.7 million for the first fiscal quarter of 2020, primarily as a result of the negative impacts of COVID-19.
  • Season pass sales through December 6, 2020 increased approximately 20% in units and were flat in sales dollars as compared to the prior year.
  • Company maintain significant liquidity with $614 million of cash on hand as of November 30, 2020.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$132M

Previous: $268M-50.8%
EPS (adj)

-$3.82

Previous: -$2.47-54.7%
Total Skier Visits

287

Previous: 934-69.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$154M

Previous: -$106M-44.4%
Net Income

-$154M

Previous: -$106M-44.4%
Operating Income

-$164M

Previous: -$136M-21.0%
Gross Profit

$132M

Previous: $268M-50.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$462M

Previous: $136M+239.0%
Total Assets

$5.39B

Previous: $5.16B+4.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.75M

Previous: $5.25M+9.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Vail Resorts · Revenue · Quarterly

$132M

Q1 2021-50.8%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Vail Resorts · $131M total across 3 segments · Q1 2021

  • Mountain
    $94.7M
  • Lodging
    $35.6M
  • Real Estate
    $254K

Forward guidance

Given the uncertainty COVID-19 has created for travel demand, operating restrictions and the ultimate visitation to and spending at our resorts, the Company will not be providing full year guidance for fiscal 2021 at this time.

Tailwinds

  • Pleased with the results of season pass sales.
  • Strong foundation of visitation and revenue that creates heading into the season.
  • Implemented operating procedures that we believe will enable us to operate safely across our 34 North American ski resorts throughout the season.
  • The reservation system continues to have available capacity for almost all days during the core season across our resorts.
  • Disciplined cost management has been a primary focus, with significant actions taken to date to tightly manage our costs with reduced revenue expectations.

Headwinds

  • Expect material declines in visitation to our resorts and associated revenue declines in fiscal 2021 relative to our original expectations for fiscal 2020.
  • Expected declines in visitation from non-pass, lift ticket purchases due to reduced destination visitation, with more material declines specifically among international guests.
  • Mandated capacity limitations will have a negative impact on our visitation during peak periods
  • Expect additional negative impacts to visitation in select regions where heightened restrictions exist, including Whistler Blackcomb, given Canadian border closures and domestic travel guidance, and Vermont as a result of the quarantine policy for out-of-state travelers.
  • Expect significant negative financial impacts on our ancillary lines of business, materially in excess of the decline in visitation, as a result of significant COVID-19 limitations and restrictions, particularly in food and beverage and ski school.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.2%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

37 / 68 earnings

Positive

+13.9%

Q2 2015

Best reaction

-13.7%

Q1 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026-4.4%-2.7%
Q2 2026+0.9%-1.6%-3.3%
Q1 2026+9.2%+11.7%-2.7%
Q4 2025+0.9%+6.1%-1.9%
Q3 2025+0.0%+3.4%+5.7%
Q2 2025+7.7%+3.9%-9.0%
Q1 2025+2.5%-0.1%-5.5%
Q4 2024-1.2%-5.3%-8.0%
Q3 2024-9.8%-6.0%-9.6%
Q2 2024+1.1%-2.3%+3.6%
Q1 2024+5.7%+7.0%-1.7%
Q4 2023-6.0%-11.9%-12.5%
Q3 2023-6.4%-2.7%-4.8%
Q2 2023-5.5%-7.6%+0.4%
Q1 2023+4.7%+8.1%+0.6%
Q4 2022+4.7%+4.8%+6.3%
Q3 2022-3.1%-10.0%-15.7%
Q2 2022+3.2%+12.7%+6.7%
Q1 2022-1.7%-5.6%-10.7%
Q4 2021+9.4%+6.6%+10.3%
Q3 2021-2.1%-4.0%-3.6%
Q2 2021+3.2%+1.5%-0.3%
Q1 2021-2.9%-3.6%-2.5%
Q4 2020-1.5%-6.4%+9.4%
Q3 2020-2.6%-6.6%-9.5%
Q2 2020-9.5%-13.6%-19.8%
Q1 2020+0.1%+4.3%+6.8%
Q4 2019+0.4%-3.2%-0.1%
Q3 2019+8.6%+6.3%+2.2%
Q2 2019+9.0%+7.8%+8.4%
Q1 2019-13.7%-17.2%-19.9%
Q4 2018-7.2%-10.1%-16.9%
Q3 2018+6.2%+7.9%+9.5%
Q2 2018+4.7%+2.1%+3.3%
Q1 2018+1.9%-1.2%-6.3%
Q4 2017+0.0%-2.8%-0.3%
Q3 2017-6.0%-4.5%-5.9%
Q2 2017+3.7%+3.6%+5.2%
Q1 2017+3.2%+1.7%+2.2%
Q4 2016-2.9%-2.3%-2.8%
Q3 2016+5.4%+2.0%+3.7%
Q2 2016-1.4%
Q1 2016+5.1%
Q4 2015-5.7%
Q3 2015-2.9%
Q2 2015+13.9%
Q1 2015-0.9%
Q4 2014-1.4%
Q3 2014+7.1%
Q2 2014-2.7%
Q1 2014-1.9%
Q4 2013+0.6%
Q3 2013+1.5%
Q2 2013+6.9%
Q1 2013-6.1%
Q4 2012+8.5%
Q3 2012+6.8%
Q2 2012+7.7%
Q1 2012+0.7%
Q4 2010-6.3%
Q4 2011-6.3%
Q4 2009-6.3%
Q3 2011+0.1%
Q3 2010+0.1%
Q2 2011-0.5%
Q2 2010-0.5%
Q1 2011+4.4%
Q1 2010+4.4%

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