NYSE$MTN

Vail Resorts Inc · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported second quarter results and withdrew fiscal year 2020 guidance due to coronavirus uncertainty.

Vail Resorts reported its fiscal year 2020 second quarter results, showing a slight increase in net income compared to the previous year. However, due to the uncertain impact of the coronavirus, the company withdrew its fiscal year 2020 guidance.

  • Net income attributable to Vail Resorts, Inc. was $206.4 million, slightly up from $206.3 million in the prior year.
  • Resort Reported EBITDA was $378.3 million, including acquisition and integration related expenses and favorable foreign exchange impacts.
  • The company withdrew its fiscal 2020 guidance due to the uncertain impact of the coronavirus on the U.S. travel market.
  • Total lift revenue increased 8.2%, driven by 8.8% growth in skier visitation, including results from Peak Resorts.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$925M

Previous: $850M+8.8%
EPS (adj)

$5.04

Previous: $5.02+0.4%
Total Skier Visits

7.1M

No prior period
Effective Ticket Price

$68.26

No prior period
Cash Dividend Per Share

$1.76

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$206M

Previous: $206M+0.0%
Net Income

$206M

Previous: $206M+0.0%
Operating Income

$311M

Previous: $302M+2.9%
Gross Profit

$925M

Previous: $850M+8.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$127M

Previous: $159M-20.0%
Total Assets

$5.11B

Previous: $4.24B+20.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.54M

Previous: $5.15M+7.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Vail Resorts · Revenue · Quarterly

$925M

Q2 2020+8.8%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Vail Resorts · $925M total across 3 segments · Q2 2020

  • Mountain
    $846M
  • Lodging
    $78.9M
  • Real Estate
    $206K

Forward guidance

Due to the uncertainty surrounding the impact of the coronavirus on the broader U.S. travel market, the company is not issuing guidance at this time for fiscal year 2020 and is withdrawing its previous guidance issued on January 17, 2020.

Tailwinds

  • Strong cash flow generation and stability of business model.
  • Commitment to strategic, high-return capital projects.
  • Continuous investment in people.
  • Strategic acquisition opportunities.
  • Returning capital to shareholders through quarterly dividend and share repurchase programs.

Headwinds

  • Uncertainty surrounding the impact of the coronavirus on the broader U.S. travel market.
  • Marked negative change in performance from the prior week.
  • Destination skier visits modestly below expectations.
  • Expectation that this trend will continue and potentially worsen in upcoming weeks.
  • Decision on a dividend increase is deferred until June due to current market instability caused by the coronavirus.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.2%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

37 / 68 earnings

Positive

+13.9%

Q2 2015

Best reaction

-13.7%

Q1 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026-4.4%-2.7%
Q2 2026+0.9%-1.6%-3.3%
Q1 2026+9.2%+11.7%-2.7%
Q4 2025+0.9%+6.1%-1.9%
Q3 2025+0.0%+3.4%+5.7%
Q2 2025+7.7%+3.9%-9.0%
Q1 2025+2.5%-0.1%-5.5%
Q4 2024-1.2%-5.3%-8.0%
Q3 2024-9.8%-6.0%-9.6%
Q2 2024+1.1%-2.3%+3.6%
Q1 2024+5.7%+7.0%-1.7%
Q4 2023-6.0%-11.9%-12.5%
Q3 2023-6.4%-2.7%-4.8%
Q2 2023-5.5%-7.6%+0.4%
Q1 2023+4.7%+8.1%+0.6%
Q4 2022+4.7%+4.8%+6.3%
Q3 2022-3.1%-10.0%-15.7%
Q2 2022+3.2%+12.7%+6.7%
Q1 2022-1.7%-5.6%-10.7%
Q4 2021+9.4%+6.6%+10.3%
Q3 2021-2.1%-4.0%-3.6%
Q2 2021+3.2%+1.5%-0.3%
Q1 2021-2.9%-3.6%-2.5%
Q4 2020-1.5%-6.4%+9.4%
Q3 2020-2.6%-6.6%-9.5%
Q2 2020-9.5%-13.6%-19.8%
Q1 2020+0.1%+4.3%+6.8%
Q4 2019+0.4%-3.2%-0.1%
Q3 2019+8.6%+6.3%+2.2%
Q2 2019+9.0%+7.8%+8.4%
Q1 2019-13.7%-17.2%-19.9%
Q4 2018-7.2%-10.1%-16.9%
Q3 2018+6.2%+7.9%+9.5%
Q2 2018+4.7%+2.1%+3.3%
Q1 2018+1.9%-1.2%-6.3%
Q4 2017+0.0%-2.8%-0.3%
Q3 2017-6.0%-4.5%-5.9%
Q2 2017+3.7%+3.6%+5.2%
Q1 2017+3.2%+1.7%+2.2%
Q4 2016-2.9%-2.3%-2.8%
Q3 2016+5.4%+2.0%+3.7%
Q2 2016-1.4%
Q1 2016+5.1%
Q4 2015-5.7%
Q3 2015-2.9%
Q2 2015+13.9%
Q1 2015-0.9%
Q4 2014-1.4%
Q3 2014+7.1%
Q2 2014-2.7%
Q1 2014-1.9%
Q4 2013+0.6%
Q3 2013+1.5%
Q2 2013+6.9%
Q1 2013-6.1%
Q4 2012+8.5%
Q3 2012+6.8%
Q2 2012+7.7%
Q1 2012+0.7%
Q4 2010-6.3%
Q4 2011-6.3%
Q4 2009-6.3%
Q3 2011+0.1%
Q3 2010+0.1%
Q2 2011-0.5%
Q2 2010-0.5%
Q1 2011+4.4%
Q1 2010+4.4%

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