NYSE$MPC

Marathon Petroleum Corporation · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported net income for the fourth quarter of 2021, driven by strategic initiatives and capital returns.

Marathon Petroleum Corp. reported a net income of $774 million for Q4 2021, a significant increase compared to $285 million in Q4 2020. Adjusted net income was $794 million, compared to an adjusted net loss of $608 million in the same period last year. The company has been actively returning capital to shareholders, completing 55% of its $10 billion capital return program and announcing an additional $5 billion share repurchase authorization.

  • Reported fourth-quarter net income of $774 million, or $1.27 per diluted share; adjusted net income of $794 million, or $1.30 per diluted share.
  • Returned approximately $3 billion of capital through share repurchases since Oct 31; completed approximately 55% of $10 billion repurchase program through Jan 31; announced an incremental $5 billion repurchase authorization.
  • Announced 2022 MPC standalone capital spending outlook of $1.7 billion; approximately 50% of growth capital for Martinez refinery conversion.
  • Martinez renewable fuels project total cost of $1.2 billion; approximately $300 million spent to date, $700 million for 2022, and $200 million for 2023.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$35.6B

Previous: $18.2B+95.8%
EPS (adj)

$1.30

Previous: -$0.94+238.3%
Refined product sales

3.6K

No prior period
Crude utilization

94.0%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$481M

Previous: $457M+5.3%
Free Cash Flow

$3.19B

Previous: $871M+266.6%
Net Income

$774M

Previous: $192M+303.1%
Operating Income

$1.8B

Previous: $390M+361.5%
Gross Profit

$3.25B

Previous: $1.99B+63.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$5.29B

Previous: $540M+879.8%
Total Assets

$32.6B

Previous: $85.2B-61.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$88M

Previous: $100M-12.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Marathon Petroleum · Revenue · Quarterly

$35.6B

Q4 2021+95.8%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Marathon Petroleum provided its first quarter 2022 outlook, including refining operating costs per barrel, distribution costs, refining planned turnaround costs, depreciation and amortization, refinery throughputs, and corporate expenses.

Tailwinds

  • MPC’s capital spending outlook for 2022 is $1.7 billion.
  • Approximately 80% of overall spending is focused on growth capital and 20% on sustaining capital.
  • Of the $1.3 billion of growth capital, approximately 50% is currently allocated to completing the Martinez refinery conversion.
  • Total project cost for Martinez is expected to be $1.2 billion with approximately $200 million remaining in 2023.
  • The Martinez facility is expected to produce 260 million gallons per year of renewable diesel by the second half of 2022, with pretreatment capabilities coming online in 2023.

Headwinds

  • Refining operating costs per barrel: $5.10
  • Distribution costs (in millions): $1,300
  • Refining planned turnaround costs (in millions): $155
  • Depreciation and amortization (in millions): $465
  • Corporate (in millions): $170

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.2%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

38 / 66 earnings

Positive

+8.9%

Q4 2020

Best reaction

-13.2%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.9%-3.0%+3.2%
Q4 2025+5.2%+14.7%+22.9%
Q3 2025-6.1%-1.0%-2.9%
Q2 2025+0.6%-4.2%+6.6%
Q1 2025+1.0%+5.3%+10.4%
Q4 2024+6.7%+2.1%-6.4%
Q3 2024+7.1%+6.1%+3.6%
Q2 2024+4.5%+8.5%+4.0%
Q1 2024-10.7%-9.0%-14.2%
Q4 2023+3.4%+3.9%+5.7%
Q3 2023+5.7%+2.7%+1.6%
Q2 2023+2.1%+3.7%+7.3%
Q1 2023-10.1%-12.7%-13.5%
Q4 2022-4.8%-8.5%+0.4%
Q3 2022+1.0%+3.5%+5.8%
Q2 2022+2.6%-0.1%+7.1%
Q1 2022+8.1%+7.6%+17.0%
Q4 2021+4.0%+7.8%+5.0%
Q3 2021-5.3%-2.2%-5.8%
Q2 2021+1.0%+2.3%+4.1%
Q1 2021+3.9%+5.0%+10.7%
Q4 2020+8.9%+1.8%-0.1%
Q3 2020+8.2%+7.1%+37.6%
Q2 2020-1.3%-4.0%-8.4%
Q1 2020-6.3%+4.8%+20.6%
Q4 2019+2.7%-1.6%-10.4%
Q3 2019+0.4%+0.4%-8.4%
Q2 2019-4.9%-12.1%-12.7%
Q1 2019-10.9%-14.7%-20.9%
Q4 2018-6.2%-7.5%-14.0%
Q3 2018-1.4%-3.0%-7.5%
Q2 2018+8.4%+8.2%+12.2%
Q1 2018-10.5%-5.5%-2.3%
Q4 2017-2.7%-5.2%-5.9%
Q3 2017+3.6%+5.8%+9.9%
Q2 2017-1.2%+1.6%-7.1%
Q1 2017+2.7%+3.7%+6.5%
Q4 2016-0.3%+0.7%+6.7%
Q3 2016-3.3%-4.3%+8.9%
Q2 2016+4.1%+2.5%+10.6%
Q1 2016-5.5%
Q4 2015-13.2%
Q3 2015+3.9%
Q2 2015-2.0%
Q1 2015+0.1%
Q4 2014+1.5%
Q3 2014+4.0%
Q2 2014+5.8%
Q1 2014+3.0%
Q4 2013+5.2%
Q3 2013-2.3%
Q2 2013-1.9%
Q1 2013-10.8%
Q4 2012+3.1%
Q3 2012-3.4%
Q2 2012-1.4%
Q1 2011-0.8%
Q1 2012-2.1%
Q4 2011+2.5%
Q4 2009+2.5%
Q1 2010+2.5%
Q3 2010-1.1%
Q3 2011-1.1%
Q4 2010+8.6%
Q2 2011+8.6%
Q2 2010+8.6%

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