NYSE$MPC

Marathon Petroleum Corporation · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Marathon Petroleum reported net income of $443 million and adjusted income of $1.0 billion for Q4 2019.

Marathon Petroleum Corp. reported a net income of $443 million, or $0.68 per diluted share, for the fourth quarter of 2019. Adjusted net income for the quarter was $1.0 billion, or $1.56 per diluted share. The company realized $420 million in synergies and generated $2.4 billion of operating cash flow.

  • Reported fourth-quarter income of $443 million, or $0.68 per diluted share; adjusted income of $1.0 billion, or $1.56 per diluted share
  • Generated $2.4 billion of operating cash flow in the fourth quarter
  • Executed across all business segments in the fourth quarter: $420 million of realized synergies, strong refining margin and utilization, solid retail margin capture, and continued progress across midstream projects
  • Announced a 9.4% increase in its quarterly dividend to $0.58 per share

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$31.4B

Previous: $32.5B-3.6%
EPS (adj)

$1.56

Previous: $2.41-35.3%
Refined product sales

3.8K

No prior period
Crude utilization

94.0%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$1.55B

Previous: $1.26B+22.8%
Free Cash Flow

$858M

Previous: $1.46B-41.4%
Net Income

$443M

Previous: $951M-53.4%
Operating Income

$841M

Previous: $2.13B-60.5%
Gross Profit

$3.44B

Previous: $4.12B-16.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.53B

Previous: $1.69B-9.5%
Total Assets

$98.6B

Previous: $92.9B+6.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$161M

Previous: $133M+21.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Marathon Petroleum · Revenue · Quarterly

$31.4B

Q4 2019-3.6%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 8 of 16 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

MPC provided guidance for the first quarter of 2020, including refining operating costs per barrel of $6.05, distribution costs of $1.3 billion, refining planned turnaround costs of $425 million, and depreciation and amortization of $440 million. Refinery throughputs are expected to be 2,775 mbpd for crude oil refined and 200 mbpd for other charge and blendstocks. Retail fuel sales are projected to be between 2,325 and 2,450 million gallons, with merchandise sales between $1,450 and $1,550 million. Corporate and unallocated items are estimated to be $225 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.2%

Avg return

30 days after

58%

38 / 66 earnings

Positive

+8.9%

Q4 2020

Best reaction

-13.2%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.9%-3.0%+3.2%
Q4 2025+5.2%+14.7%+22.9%
Q3 2025-6.1%-1.0%-2.9%
Q2 2025+0.6%-4.2%+6.6%
Q1 2025+1.0%+5.3%+10.4%
Q4 2024+6.7%+2.1%-6.4%
Q3 2024+7.1%+6.1%+3.6%
Q2 2024+4.5%+8.5%+4.0%
Q1 2024-10.7%-9.0%-14.2%
Q4 2023+3.4%+3.9%+5.7%
Q3 2023+5.7%+2.7%+1.6%
Q2 2023+2.1%+3.7%+7.3%
Q1 2023-10.1%-12.7%-13.5%
Q4 2022-4.8%-8.5%+0.4%
Q3 2022+1.0%+3.5%+5.8%
Q2 2022+2.6%-0.1%+7.1%
Q1 2022+8.1%+7.6%+17.0%
Q4 2021+4.0%+7.8%+5.0%
Q3 2021-5.3%-2.2%-5.8%
Q2 2021+1.0%+2.3%+4.1%
Q1 2021+3.9%+5.0%+10.7%
Q4 2020+8.9%+1.8%-0.1%
Q3 2020+8.2%+7.1%+37.6%
Q2 2020-1.3%-4.0%-8.4%
Q1 2020-6.3%+4.8%+20.6%
Q4 2019+2.7%-1.6%-10.4%
Q3 2019+0.4%+0.4%-8.4%
Q2 2019-4.9%-12.1%-12.7%
Q1 2019-10.9%-14.7%-20.9%
Q4 2018-6.2%-7.5%-14.0%
Q3 2018-1.4%-3.0%-7.5%
Q2 2018+8.4%+8.2%+12.2%
Q1 2018-10.5%-5.5%-2.3%
Q4 2017-2.7%-5.2%-5.9%
Q3 2017+3.6%+5.8%+9.9%
Q2 2017-1.2%+1.6%-7.1%
Q1 2017+2.7%+3.7%+6.5%
Q4 2016-0.3%+0.7%+6.7%
Q3 2016-3.3%-4.3%+8.9%
Q2 2016+4.1%+2.5%+10.6%
Q1 2016-5.5%
Q4 2015-13.2%
Q3 2015+3.9%
Q2 2015-2.0%
Q1 2015+0.1%
Q4 2014+1.5%
Q3 2014+4.0%
Q2 2014+5.8%
Q1 2014+3.0%
Q4 2013+5.2%
Q3 2013-2.3%
Q2 2013-1.9%
Q1 2013-10.8%
Q4 2012+3.1%
Q3 2012-3.4%
Q2 2012-1.4%
Q1 2011-0.8%
Q1 2012-2.1%
Q4 2011+2.5%
Q4 2009+2.5%
Q1 2010+2.5%
Q3 2010-1.1%
Q3 2011-1.1%
Q4 2010+8.6%
Q2 2011+8.6%
Q2 2010+8.6%

Discussion

Share your read of this quarter. Sign-in carries your eToro identity.

Join the conversation

Sign in with eToro to post your read of this quarter and vote on others'.

Sign in with eToro